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Reactivation mechanism and stability trend prediction of the Huangci No.2 landslide, Heifangtai, Gansu Province, China
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Xiaodong DOU1, 2, Yushan LI1, 2, Yateng MENG1, 2, Kai CONG1, 2, Yongjun ZHANG1, 2, Qiang JIA1, 2
Journal of Geomechanics | 2026, 32(4) : 899 - 918
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Journal of Geomechanics | 2026, 32(4): 899-918
• Geo-hazards & Engineering Geology •
Reactivation mechanism and stability trend prediction of the Huangci No.2 landslide, Heifangtai, Gansu Province, China
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Xiaodong DOU1, 2, Yushan LI1, 2, Yateng MENG1, 2, Kai CONG1, 2, Yongjun ZHANG1, 2, Qiang JIA1, 2
Affiliations
  • 1Observation and Research Station of Geological Disasters in Lanzhou, Ministry of Natural Resources, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, China
  • 2Gansu Institute of Geological Environment Monitoring, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, China
Published: 2026-08-28 doi: 10.12090/j.issn.1006-6616.2026014
Outline
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Objective

To investigate the disaster-causing mechanisms, dynamic evolution, and post-disaster stability trends associated with the reactivation of the Huangci No. 2 landslide in Heifangtai, Gansu Province, on December 10, 2025, field geological investigations and the transient electromagnetic (TEM) surveys were conducted to characterize the deep structure of the landslide.

Methods

The entire three-dimensional dynamic sliding process was back-analyzed using the Massflow numerical model, and the three-dimensional limit equilibrium method was employed to quantitatively evaluate the post-event deposit and the stability of the high and steep rear slope and to predict their potential kinematic responses.

Results

(1) The reactivation of the landslide resulted from the coupled effects of slope-toe excavation, long-term irrigation, and winter freezing conditions. The freezing-induced water-retention and pore-pressure buildup effect acted as the direct trigger: surface freezing blocked seepage pathways, causing pore-water pressure to accumulate at depth and triggering a bedding-parallel slide along the loess–mudstone contact. (2) The entire sliding process lasted 22 h 10 min, with a cumulative displacement of 310 m. The Massflow simulation reproduced four stages of the dynamic evolution: creep, accelerated sliding, deceleration and deposition, and stagnation and compaction. The intersection over union (IoU) of the simulated and observed deposition morphologies reached 85.85%. (3) Quantitative calculations indicate that the current deposit has a factor of safety greater than 1.15, suggesting a relatively stable state characterized by settlement and consolidation. However, under extreme saturation conditions, the potential failure volume of the high and steep rear slope could reach 40.9×104 m3, with a maximum sliding distance of approximately 640 m.

Conclusions

The reactivation of the landslide was controlled by freezing-induced water retention and pore-water pressure buildup, together with multiple external disturbances. Although the main landslide body has generally stabilized, the high and steep rear slope remains highly susceptible to secondary failure. A long-term dynamic monitoring system should therefore be established to mitigate the risk of high-elevation secondary hazards.

Significance

This study quantitatively demonstrates freezing-induced water retention and pore-water pressure buildup as a distinctive triggering mechanism for winter loess landslides, extending the conventional understanding of loess landslide initiation beyond single hydrodynamic factors such as rainfall and irrigation. The findings provide direct technical references and theoretical support for winter landslide prevention and mitigation, emergency monitoring deployment, and early identification of geological hazards in Heifangtai and other irrigated loess tablelands, thereby contributing to the protection of local communities and their property.

Huangci landslide  /  freezing-induced water retention  /  numerical simulation  /  reactivation mechanism  /  stability evaluation
窦晓东, 李玉山, 孟亚腾, 丛凯, 张永军, 贾强. 甘肃黑方台黄茨2号滑坡复活机制与稳定性趋势预测. 地质力学学报, 2026 , 32 (4) : 899 -918 . DOI: 10.12090/j.issn.1006-6616.2026014
Xiaodong DOU, Yushan LI, Yateng MENG, Kai CONG, Yongjun ZHANG, Qiang JIA. Reactivation mechanism and stability trend prediction of the Huangci No.2 landslide, Heifangtai, Gansu Province, China[J]. Journal of Geomechanics, 2026 , 32 (4) : 899 -918 . DOI: 10.12090/j.issn.1006-6616.2026014
Year 2026 volume 32 Issue 4
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81
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Article Info
doi: 10.12090/j.issn.1006-6616.2026014
  • Receive Date:2026-01-28
  • Online Date:2026-09-30
  • Published:2026-08-28
Article Data
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History
  • Received:2026-01-28
  • Revised:2026-04-14
  • Accepted:2026-04-15
Affiliations
    1Observation and Research Station of Geological Disasters in Lanzhou, Ministry of Natural Resources, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, China
    2Gansu Institute of Geological Environment Monitoring, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)
属
Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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