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Short-term load forecasting of electric vehicles based on improved VMD-TCN-LSTM
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Yan Hua1, 2, Peng Li1, 2, Dong Yan1, 2, Xiangkai Zhang1, 2
Electronic Measurement Technology | 2026, 49(6) : 67 - 75
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Electronic Measurement Technology | 2026, 49(6): 67-75
Theory and Algorithms
Short-term load forecasting of electric vehicles based on improved VMD-TCN-LSTM
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Yan Hua1, 2, Peng Li1, 2, Dong Yan1, 2, Xiangkai Zhang1, 2
Affiliations
  • 1.School of Electronics and Information Engineering, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
  • 2.Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Meteorological Observation and Information Processing, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
doi: 10.19651/j.cnki.emt.2519599
Outline
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Electric vehicle charging load forecasting supports power dispatch decisions by addressing load fluctuations from widespread EV grid integration. A new method for predicting short-term EV charging loads is proposed to enhance power grid stability and reliability by improving load forecasting accuracy. First, historical load data is decomposed into subcomponents using VMD, then combined with temperature data and input into multiple TCN-LSTM branches for feature extraction, simplifying EV load sequence complexity. Secondly, a two-stage attention mechanism enhances the LSTM structure, improving load characteristic capture at specific times and feature dimension fusion, boosting complex load pattern recognition. Finally, a time conversion prediction module integrates results via a fully connected layer to enhance prediction accuracy and reduce errors. Case study analyzes real EV charging station load data from a Shaoxing community. Experimental results show the proposed method reduces MSE by 68%, MAE by 60%, and improves the performance index by 4%, demonstrating strong predictive performance.

load forecasting  /  electric vehicles  /  temporal convolutional network  /  long short-term memory network  /  attention mechanism
Yan Hua, Peng Li, Dong Yan, Xiangkai Zhang. Short-term load forecasting of electric vehicles based on improved VMD-TCN-LSTM[J]. Electronic Measurement Technology, 2026 , 49 (6) : 67 -75 . DOI: 10.19651/j.cnki.emt.2519599
Year 2026 volume 49 Issue 6
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doi: 10.19651/j.cnki.emt.2519599
  • Receive Date:2025-08-14
  • Online Date:2026-05-15
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  • Received:2025-08-14
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    1.School of Electronics and Information Engineering, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
    2.Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Meteorological Observation and Information Processing, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

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Number of
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Number of
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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