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Ultra-short-term Wind Speed Prediction for Multiple Wind Farms Based on Aggregated Spatio-temporal Graph Convolutional Networks
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Chenxiao XU1, Chenggang CUI1, Weimin GUO2, Ning YANG1, Bei LIU2, Qingye MENG2
Journal of Power Supply | 2024, 22(4) : 133 - 142
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Journal of Power Supply | 2024, 22(4): 133-142
Renewable Energy System
Ultra-short-term Wind Speed Prediction for Multiple Wind Farms Based on Aggregated Spatio-temporal Graph Convolutional Networks
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Chenxiao XU1, Chenggang CUI1, Weimin GUO2, Ning YANG1, Bei LIU2, Qingye MENG2
Affiliations
  • 1 College of Automation Engineering Shanghai University of Electrical Power Shanghai 200090 China
  • 2 Rundian Energy Science and Technology Co., Ltd Zhengzhou 450052 China
Published: 2024-07-30 doi: 10.13234/j.issn.2095-2805.2024.4.133
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In a certain environment where regional wind farms distribute irregularly, the traditional convolutional neural network prediction method cannot reflect the distribution states or influence relationship of regional wind farms, and it is difficult to accurately predict the wind speed. First, to solve this problem, the technology of graph convolutional networks is used for feature modeling, and the connected graph and weight matrix are established according to the topology of multiple wind farms and the cross-correlation coefficient of wind speed in each region. Second, depending on the time dynamic characteristics of wind speed at wind farms, an improved parallel convolution structure is used to obtain the correlation between wind speed series in multiple time periods at the same wind farm. Third, based on the spatial correlation and delay effect of wind speed at wind farms, the spatio-temporal characteristics of wind speed in different regions are aggregated by using a second-order aggregation method. Finally, the verification of data from one regional wind farm shows that the proposed method can extract the spatio-temporal characteristics and improve the performance of ultra short-term wind speed prediction for multiple wind farms on 0-4 h prediction scale.

Wind speed prediction  /  aggregated spatio-temporal graph convolutional networks  /  spatio-temporal correlation
Chenxiao XU, Chenggang CUI, Weimin GUO, Ning YANG, Bei LIU, Qingye MENG. Ultra-short-term Wind Speed Prediction for Multiple Wind Farms Based on Aggregated Spatio-temporal Graph Convolutional Networks[J]. Journal of Power Supply, 2024 , 22 (4) : 133 -142 . DOI: 10.13234/j.issn.2095-2805.2024.4.133
  • National Natural Science Foundation of China(51607111)
Year 2024 volume 22 Issue 4
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Article Info
doi: 10.13234/j.issn.2095-2805.2024.4.133
  • Receive Date:2021-12-27
  • Online Date:2025-07-21
  • Published:2024-07-30
Article Data
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History
  • Received:2021-12-27
  • Revised:2022-03-24
  • Accepted:2022-03-25
Funding
National Natural Science Foundation of China(51607111)
Affiliations
    1 College of Automation Engineering Shanghai University of Electrical Power Shanghai 200090 China
    2 Rundian Energy Science and Technology Co., Ltd Zhengzhou 450052 China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

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Number of
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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