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Short term electricity price prediction based on variational mode decomposition and hybrid deep neural network
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Yixuan LIU, Zhao YANG
Electrical Engineering | 2025, 26(3) : 30 - 35
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Electrical Engineering | 2025, 26(3): 30-35
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Short term electricity price prediction based on variational mode decomposition and hybrid deep neural network
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Yixuan LIU, Zhao YANG
Affiliations
  • Ultra High Voltage Company of State Grid Shaanxi Electric Power Co., Ltd, Xi'an 710025
Published: 2025-03-15
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A short term electricity price prediction method based on variational mode decomposition and hybrid deep neural network is proposed to address the characteristics of nonlinearity, volatility, and timeliness in electricity price data in the electricity market. Firstly, the original electricity price sequence is decomposed into multiple stationary subsequences using variational mode decomposition (VMD). Secondly, a hybrid deep neural network prediction model is used to predict and superimpose each subsequence separately, obtaining the final electricity price prediction result. This model combines convolutional neural network (CNN) and bidirectional long short term memory (BiLSTM) network to effectively extract spatial and temporal features of the original electricity price data, and combines attention mechanism to effectively distinguish the importance of electricity price data at different times in the original electricity price sequence. Finally, simulation analysis is conducted using actual electricity price data from the PJM electricity market in the United States, and the effectiveness of the proposed method is verified by comparing multiple electricity price prediction models.

short term electricity price prediction  /  variational mode decomposition (VMD)  /  convolutional neural networks (CNN)  /  bidirectional long short term memory (BiLSTM) network  /  attention mechanism
Yixuan LIU, Zhao YANG. Short term electricity price prediction based on variational mode decomposition and hybrid deep neural network[J]. Electrical Engineering, 2025 , 26 (3) : 30 -35 .
Year 2025 volume 26 Issue 3
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Article Info
  • Receive Date:2024-07-22
  • Online Date:2025-11-10
  • Published:2025-03-15
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  • Received:2024-07-22
  • Revised:2024-09-20
Affiliations
    Ultra High Voltage Company of State Grid Shaanxi Electric Power Co., Ltd, Xi'an 710025
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

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Number of
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Number of
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占总种数比例
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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