With the increased penetration rate of new energy year by year,it is difficult to accurately predict the randomness and fluctuation characteristics of its output,causing a severe challenge to the operation,planning and scheduling of electrical power system. Therefore,modeling for the uncertainty of new energy has attracted more and more attention. To obtain the time sequence characteristics of new energy output scenario more effectively,a new energy scenario generation method was proposed based on data drive,and combined self-attention mechanism with generative adversarial network discriminator with gradient penalty through applying the SA/WGAN model. Through building a deep learning model based on the combination of two models,effectively highlight the timing sequence characteristics of new energy output scenario and enhancing the nonlinear fitting capability in scenario generation. The example results show that,compared with the scenario generation results of original WGAN and WGAN-LSTM,the new energy generation scenario of proposed model can not only effectively improve the accuracy,but also possess the advantages of stable WGAN-GP training results and quick SA calculation speed,which can achieve a more efficient generation of scenarios that is close to the distribution of real new energy scenario.
| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |