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Integrated Energy System Load Forecasting Based on LASSO and LSTM-GRU
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Fajin ZHAO, Zhengyu SHU, Can WANG, Wencan LIU, Qiyun HUANG
Electric Drive | 2025, 55(8) : 51 - 57
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Electric Drive | 2025, 55(8): 51-57
Integrated Energy System Load Forecasting Based on LASSO and LSTM-GRU
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Fajin ZHAO, Zhengyu SHU, Can WANG, Wencan LIU, Qiyun HUANG
Affiliations
  • College of Electrical Engineering & New Energy,China Three Gorges University,Yichang 443002,Hubei,China
Published: 2025-08-20 doi: 10.19457/j.1001-2095.dqcd25820
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Accurate and efficient multi-load forecasting is of great significance for the operation control and scheduling of integrated energy system(IES),in order to improve the load forecasting effect,a integrated energy system load prediction model based on least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)and LSTM-GRU neural network was proposed. Firstly,in order to solve the problem of complex data caused by meteorological factors in the integrated energy system,a big data selection and analysis algorithm based on LASSO was studied to select and analyze the meteorological factors to obtain an effective data set. Secondly,the long short-term memory(LSTM)neural network was used to predict the system load,and the preliminary prediction value was obtained. Subsequently,the gated recurrent unit(GRU)was used to construct the error compensation model,and the compensation value of the prediction error was obtained through the training and learning of the prediction error. Finally,by reconstructing the output of the two,a more ideal prediction result was obtained. Through the simulation of the example,the proposed prediction model has higher prediction accuracy than the traditional LSTM neural network prediction model and the LSTM model optimized by particle swarm optimizer(PSO).

load forecasting  /  integrated energy system(IES)  /  LASSO algorithm  /  error compensation  /  long short-term memory(LSTM)nerural network
Fajin ZHAO, Zhengyu SHU, Can WANG, Wencan LIU, Qiyun HUANG. Integrated Energy System Load Forecasting Based on LASSO and LSTM-GRU[J]. Electric Drive, 2025 , 55 (8) : 51 -57 . DOI: 10.19457/j.1001-2095.dqcd25820
Year 2025 volume 55 Issue 8
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doi: 10.19457/j.1001-2095.dqcd25820
  • Receive Date:2024-04-09
  • Online Date:2025-10-29
  • Published:2025-08-20
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  • Received:2024-04-09
  • Revised:2024-04-19
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    College of Electrical Engineering & New Energy,China Three Gorges University,Yichang 443002,Hubei,China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

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Number of
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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