A K-means clustering algorithm was proposed and a conditional Wasserstein generative adversarial network with gradient penalty(CWGAN-GP)to address the problem of imbalanced photovoltaic generation data caused by the low occurrence probability of extreme weather. A prediction approach combining bidirectional long short-term memory(BFLSTM)with convolutional neural network was introduced and incorporating channel attention mechanism to enhance the PV power prediction performance by integrating spatio-temporal features and dynamically adjusting the importance of feature channels. Firstly,correlation analysis and K-means algorithm were utilized to select and label various environmental factors. Then,extreme weather labels with fewer samples after clustering were selected,and CWGAN-GP was used for data augmentation.Finally,the augmented dataset was used to train the CNN-SE-BiLSTM prediction model for PV power prediction under extreme weather conditions.Simulation modeling was conducted using data from a certain PV power station,and the results demonstrate that augmenting the original extreme weather training set with CGAN-GP helps improve the prediction accuracy of the model. Moreover,CNN-SE-BiLSTM shows higher prediction accuracy among five weather categories compared to other traditional models,indicating that the proposed method is suitable for ultra-short-term photovoltaic power prediction.
| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |