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Extreme Weather Photovoltaic Power Ultra-short-term Forecasting Based on CGAN and CNN-SE-BiLSTM
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Lan TANG1, Liwen HUANG1, Chenglei WANG2
Electric Drive | 2025, 55(8) : 58 - 69
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Electric Drive | 2025, 55(8): 58-69
Extreme Weather Photovoltaic Power Ultra-short-term Forecasting Based on CGAN and CNN-SE-BiLSTM
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Lan TANG1, Liwen HUANG1, Chenglei WANG2
Affiliations
  • 1. School of Electric Power Engineering,Kunming University of Science and Technology,Kunming 650051,Yunnan,China
  • 2. Yunnan Electric Power Research Institute,Yunnan Power Grid Co.,Ltd.,Kunming 650217,Yunnan,China
Published: 2025-08-20 doi: 10.19457/j.1001-2095.dqcd25932
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A K-means clustering algorithm was proposed and a conditional Wasserstein generative adversarial network with gradient penalty(CWGAN-GP)to address the problem of imbalanced photovoltaic generation data caused by the low occurrence probability of extreme weather. A prediction approach combining bidirectional long short-term memory(BFLSTM)with convolutional neural network was introduced and incorporating channel attention mechanism to enhance the PV power prediction performance by integrating spatio-temporal features and dynamically adjusting the importance of feature channels. Firstly,correlation analysis and K-means algorithm were utilized to select and label various environmental factors. Then,extreme weather labels with fewer samples after clustering were selected,and CWGAN-GP was used for data augmentation.Finally,the augmented dataset was used to train the CNN-SE-BiLSTM prediction model for PV power prediction under extreme weather conditions.Simulation modeling was conducted using data from a certain PV power station,and the results demonstrate that augmenting the original extreme weather training set with CGAN-GP helps improve the prediction accuracy of the model. Moreover,CNN-SE-BiLSTM shows higher prediction accuracy among five weather categories compared to other traditional models,indicating that the proposed method is suitable for ultra-short-term photovoltaic power prediction.

photovoltaic power prediction  /  extreme weather generation  /  bidirectional long short-term memory(BiLSTM)  /  conditional Wasserstein generative adversarial network with gradient penalty(CWGAN-GP)  /  K-means clustering algorithm
Lan TANG, Liwen HUANG, Chenglei WANG. Extreme Weather Photovoltaic Power Ultra-short-term Forecasting Based on CGAN and CNN-SE-BiLSTM[J]. Electric Drive, 2025 , 55 (8) : 58 -69 . DOI: 10.19457/j.1001-2095.dqcd25932
Year 2025 volume 55 Issue 8
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Article Info
doi: 10.19457/j.1001-2095.dqcd25932
  • Receive Date:2024-05-13
  • Online Date:2025-10-29
  • Published:2025-08-20
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  • Received:2024-05-13
  • Revised:2024-07-01
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Affiliations
    1. School of Electric Power Engineering,Kunming University of Science and Technology,Kunming 650051,Yunnan,China
    2. Yunnan Electric Power Research Institute,Yunnan Power Grid Co.,Ltd.,Kunming 650217,Yunnan,China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
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Number of
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Number of
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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