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Comparison of Forecasting Efficiency of Borehole Strain Instruments at the Same Site of Xuzhou Seismic Station
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Ran HAO1, Dongdong LIU2, Mingzhi GAO1, Cen ZHANG2, Bin HE2, Chuanlei DONG2, Bing XU2
Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics | 2026, 46(1) : 115 - 122, 130
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Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics | 2026, 46(1): 115-122, 130
Comparison of Forecasting Efficiency of Borehole Strain Instruments at the Same Site of Xuzhou Seismic Station
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Ran HAO1, Dongdong LIU2, Mingzhi GAO1, Cen ZHANG2, Bin HE2, Chuanlei DONG2, Bing XU2
Affiliations
  • 1 Suqian Earthquake Monitoring Center Station, Xuzhou 221008, China
  • 2 Jiangsu Earthquake Agency, Nanjing 210014, China
Published: 2026-01-15 doi: 10.14075/j.jgg.2025.01.591
Outline
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Based on the observational data of two types of borehole strainmeters at Xuzhou seismic station, we use the R-value test method to calculate and score the forecasting efficiency of trend-breakinganomalies, annual breaking anomalies and rate anomalies recorded by the two instruments. A systematic comparative analysis of the forecasting efficiency of the two borehole strain instruments at the same site is conducted to clarify their complementarity in earthquake precursor monitoring. The results show that the borehole body strainmeter performs well in the forecasting of trend-breaking anomalies and annual breaking anomalies, and is suitable for capturing the earthquake precursor anomaly signals related to long-term geological tectonic activities. The borehole component strainmeter shows a strong ability in the forecasting of trend-breaking anomalies and rate anomalies, and is more adept at capturing the trend-breaking precursor anomaly signals caused by stress state changes of geological body, and has high sensitivity for the monitoring of rapid changes in regional stress and strain. These findings reveal the efficiency differences of borehole strainmeters in earthquake precursor monitoring and provide the application focus and optimization direction of the two types of borehole strainmeters in earthquake forecasting.

borehole strain observation  /  R-value test method  /  precursor anomaly  /  forecasting efficiency
郝冉, 刘冬冬, 高明智, 张岑, 何斌, 董传磊, 许炳. 徐州地震台同场地钻孔应变仪器预报效能对比分析. 大地测量与地球动力学, 2026 , 46 (1) : 115 -122, 130 . DOI: 10.14075/j.jgg.2025.01.591
Ran HAO, Dongdong LIU, Mingzhi GAO, Cen ZHANG, Bin HE, Chuanlei DONG, Bing XU. Comparison of Forecasting Efficiency of Borehole Strain Instruments at the Same Site of Xuzhou Seismic Station[J]. Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics, 2026 , 46 (1) : 115 -122, 130 . DOI: 10.14075/j.jgg.2025.01.591
Year 2026 volume 46 Issue 1
29
12
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Article Info
doi: 10.14075/j.jgg.2025.01.591
  • Receive Date:2025-01-02
  • Online Date:2026-10-29
  • Published:2026-01-15
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  • Received:2025-01-02
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    1 Suqian Earthquake Monitoring Center Station, Xuzhou 221008, China
    2 Jiangsu Earthquake Agency, Nanjing 210014, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)
属
Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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