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Antarctic Heat Flow Prediction Model Based on Stacking Algorithm for Ensemble Learning
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Yiheng CAI1, Xiaoqing ZHANG1, Shinan LANG1, *, Xiangbin CUI2, Yanliang HE1, Heng ZHANG1
Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics | 2026, 46(1) : 55 - 62, 85
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Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics | 2026, 46(1): 55-62, 85
Antarctic Heat Flow Prediction Model Based on Stacking Algorithm for Ensemble Learning
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Yiheng CAI1, Xiaoqing ZHANG1, Shinan LANG1, *, Xiangbin CUI2, Yanliang HE1, Heng ZHANG1
Affiliations
  • 1 School of Information Science and Technology, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
  • 2 Polar Research Institute of China, Shanghai 200136, China
Published: 2026-01-15 doi: 10.14075/j.jgg.2025.02.038
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Heat flow (HF) refers to the heat energy transmitted from the Earth's interior to the surface. It can reveal various processes occurring in the deep Earth and information about energy balance. In the Antarctic region, understanding heat flow is of great significance for simulating the dynamic changes of ice sheets. This study employs the Stacking algorithm in machine learning to construct a heat flow prediction model for Antarctica. The model integrates 13 types of geological and geophysical features related to heat flow as observational input data and incorporates six machine learning algorithms commonly used for regression prediction problems, namely GBDT, XGBoost, RF, LightGBM, ET, and MLP, to predict the distribution characteristics of heat flow. The experimental results show that the prediction accuracy of the Stacking model is superior to that of several benchmark models. The new Antarctic heat flow distribution prediction map obtained through this model is more in line with the actual distribution of heat flow in Antarctica compared with the large-scale estimated heat flow distribution maps drawn by traditional methods, demonstrating more excellent performance.

ensemble learning  /  Stacking algorithm  /  heat flow  /  Antarctica
蔡轶珩, 张晓晴, 稂时楠, 崔祥斌, 何彦良, 张恒. 基于集成学习Stacking算法的南极热流预测模型. 大地测量与地球动力学, 2026 , 46 (1) : 55 -62, 85 . DOI: 10.14075/j.jgg.2025.02.038
Yiheng CAI, Xiaoqing ZHANG, Shinan LANG, Xiangbin CUI, Yanliang HE, Heng ZHANG. Antarctic Heat Flow Prediction Model Based on Stacking Algorithm for Ensemble Learning[J]. Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics, 2026 , 46 (1) : 55 -62, 85 . DOI: 10.14075/j.jgg.2025.02.038
Year 2026 volume 46 Issue 1
47
20
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doi: 10.14075/j.jgg.2025.02.038
  • Receive Date:2025-02-17
  • Online Date:2026-10-29
  • Published:2026-01-15
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  • Received:2025-02-17
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    1 School of Information Science and Technology, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
    2 Polar Research Institute of China, Shanghai 200136, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)
属
Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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