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The Relationship between Periodic Classification of Magnitude 8.0 Earthquakes in China's Mainland and Adjacent Areas, Migration of Major Active Zones, and Acceleration-Deceleration of Earth's Rotation
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Hongbin ZHU, Hong LI, Leyin HU, Yuxuan CHEN
Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics | 2025, 45(10) : 997 - 1005
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Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics | 2025, 45(10): 997-1005
The Relationship between Periodic Classification of Magnitude 8.0 Earthquakes in China's Mainland and Adjacent Areas, Migration of Major Active Zones, and Acceleration-Deceleration of Earth's Rotation
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Hongbin ZHU, Hong LI, Leyin HU, Yuxuan CHEN
Affiliations
  • Beijing Earthquake Agency, 28 Suzhou Street, Beijing 100080, China
  • ZHU Hongbin, senior engineer, majors in background of the strong earthquake in north China and tracking prediction of major earthquakes in China's mainland and adjacent areas, E-mail:

About Author:

ZHU Hongbin, senior engineer, majors in background of the strong earthquake in north China and tracking prediction of major earthquakes in China's mainland and adjacent areas, E-mail:

Published: 2025-10-15 doi: 10.14075/j.jgg.2024.09.443
Outline
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By dividing the seismic cycles of MS≥7.8 earthquakes in China's mainland and adjacent regions and studying the migration of main active zones, combined with the acceleration-deceleration changes of Earth's rotation speed, this study explores the spatiotemporal patterns and driving mechanisms of M8.0 seismic activity in the study area. The main conclusions are as follows: 1) Since 1879, the study area has experienced 6 active periods of M8.0 earthquakes. The second active period mainly occurred in the Pamir-Baikal seismic belt, the third in the northeastern margin of the Qinghai-Xizang plateau, the fourth in the southeastern margin, the fifth in Yunnan and north China, and the sixth around the Bayan Har block within the Qinghai-Xizang plateau. The region may currently be in the initial stage of a new active period. 2) Since 1867, Earth's length of day(LOD) variation curve shows 4 acceleration-deceleration cycles and 16 acceleration-deceleration phases. The superposition of S tectonic stress fields with deceleration changes favors M8.0 earthquakes in the Pamir-Baikal belt, while NE-oriented stress fields combined with acceleration changes facilitate M8.0 earthquakes along the Qinghai-Xizang plateau margins and interior. The transition from acceleration to deceleration phases causes the tectonic stress field around the Qinghai-Xizang plateau to shift from NE-dominated to locally restored NS orientation, serving as the main driver for the third, fourth, and sixth active periods. 3) The tectonic stress field in China's mainland and adjacent regions has experienced clockwise rotation from NS to NE and then to NEE orientations over the past century, potentially related to Earth's rotation changes involving significant deceleration before 1913 followed by overall acceleration. This process remains ongoing, with no current signs of concentrated M8.0 earthquakes similar to the second active period. However, vigilance is needed regarding possible continued NEE rotation of the Qinghai-Xizang plateau's stress field, and future emergence of new main active zones cannot be ruled out.

China's mainland and adjacent regions  /  M8.0 earthquakes  /  seismic cycle division  /  main active zones  /  Earth's rotation acceleration-deceleration variations
朱红彬, 李红, 胡乐银, 陈宇轩. 中国大陆及邻区8.0级左右地震周期划分、主体活动区迁移与地球自转加减速的关系. 大地测量与地球动力学, 2025 , 45 (10) : 997 -1005 . DOI: 10.14075/j.jgg.2024.09.443
Hongbin ZHU, Hong LI, Leyin HU, Yuxuan CHEN. The Relationship between Periodic Classification of Magnitude 8.0 Earthquakes in China's Mainland and Adjacent Areas, Migration of Major Active Zones, and Acceleration-Deceleration of Earth's Rotation[J]. Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics, 2025 , 45 (10) : 997 -1005 . DOI: 10.14075/j.jgg.2024.09.443
  • The Spark Program of Earthquake Technology of CEA(XH250103A)
  • Key Research and Transformation Program Projects of Qinghai Province(WXSX)
Year 2025 volume 45 Issue 10
35
16
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Article Info
doi: 10.14075/j.jgg.2024.09.443
  • Receive Date:2024-09-23
  • Online Date:2026-10-29
  • Published:2025-10-15
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  • Received:2024-09-23
Funding
The Spark Program of Earthquake Technology of CEA(XH250103A)
Key Research and Transformation Program Projects of Qinghai Province(WXSX)
Affiliations
    Beijing Earthquake Agency, 28 Suzhou Street, Beijing 100080, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)
属
Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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