Marine operations, such as takeoff and landing of carrier-based aircraft, ship fuel supply, and ship lifting operations, have strict requirements for the movement of ships and need to be carried out within the quiescent period window to ensure operational safety. However, the incidence probability of a quiescent period window under high sea conditions is relatively low. Therefore, it is crucial to assess the probability of the target sea area’s quiescent period in advance for the planning and deployment of offshore operations. This article establishes a ship motion probability model based on the statistical characteristics of ship motion to study the short-term statistical characteristics of quiescent periods. Simulation data is used to verify the statistical characteristics of motion, the joint statistical features of motion amplitude-period, proving the accuracy of the model. Subsequently, the probability of continuous small movements below the operational threshold during the quiescent period have been analyzed. The results indicate that the established ship motion probability model and the ship continuous small amplitude motion probability model can accurately reflect the motion characteristics and probability of quiescent periods of ships under corresponding sea conditions. This study can provide the probability of a quiescent period meeting the operational requirements before the ship enters a certain sea area for operation, and also provide the probability of a quiescent period occurring in a certain period of time before the operation, providing auxiliary decision-making for the navigation operation plan of offshore ships.
| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |