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Short-term forecast of wind speed and wave height considering time correlation
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Ji YAO1, 2, 3, Xue-liang WANG1, 2, Wen-hua WU3, Xue-kang GU1, 2, Xin-yu ZHANG1, 2
Journal of Ship Mechanics | 2024, 28(6) : 832 - 842
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Journal of Ship Mechanics | 2024, 28(6): 832-842
Hydrodynamics
Short-term forecast of wind speed and wave height considering time correlation
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Ji YAO1, 2, 3, Xue-liang WANG1, 2, Wen-hua WU3, Xue-kang GU1, 2, Xin-yu ZHANG1, 2
Affiliations
  • 1.China Ship Science Research Center, Wuxi 214082, China
  • 2.Taihu Laboratory of Deepsea Technological Science, Wuxi 214082, China
  • 3.Faculty of Vehicle Engineering and Mechanics, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China
Published: 2024-06-20 doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1007-7294.2024.06.003
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As wind speed and wave height are the main loading parameters in offshore facility operations, their accurate prediction is of great importance. In order to solve the problem of wind speed and wave height prediction with complex and changeable characteristics, a wave height forecast model was established based on prototype monitoring data and Long-Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network. Firstly, the correlation analysis of wind speed and wave height was carried out based on prototype monitoring data. Then, a one-step-ahead wind speed forecast model and wave height forecast method were established based on LSTM neural network. Different prediction models with different time intervals (t=0.5 h, 1 h, 3 h) were built to verify the accuracy. Finally, a joint prediction model based on two forecast models was obtained with a prediction error of only 0.12 m at the time interval of 0.5 h.

correlation analysis  /  LSTM  /  wind speed forecast  /  wave height forecast  /  joint prediction model
Ji YAO, Xue-liang WANG, Wen-hua WU, Xue-kang GU, Xin-yu ZHANG. Short-term forecast of wind speed and wave height considering time correlation[J]. Journal of Ship Mechanics, 2024 , 28 (6) : 832 -842 . DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1007-7294.2024.06.003
Year 2024 volume 28 Issue 6
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Article Info
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1007-7294.2024.06.003
  • Receive Date:2023-11-21
  • Online Date:2026-03-21
  • Published:2024-06-20
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  • Received:2023-11-21
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Affiliations
    1.China Ship Science Research Center, Wuxi 214082, China
    2.Taihu Laboratory of Deepsea Technological Science, Wuxi 214082, China
    3.Faculty of Vehicle Engineering and Mechanics, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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