Article(id=1297134063857456045, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1296801528146919473, issueId=1297134051446514419, articleNumber=null, orderNo=null, doi=10.12377/1671-4393.26.01.01, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=null, receivedDateStr=null, revisedDate=null, revisedDateStr=null, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1787190460409, onlineDateStr=2026-08-20, pubDate=1769270400000, pubDateStr=2026-01-25, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1787190460409, onlineIssueDateStr=2026-08-20, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1787190460409, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1787190460409, updator=13701087609, issue=Issue{id=1297134051446514419, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1296801528146919473, year='2026', volume='', issue='1', pageStart='2', pageEnd='131', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='1769270400000', pubDateStr='2026-01-25', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=1, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1787190457450, creator='13701087609', updateTime=1787192303515, updator='13701087609', preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, articleTotal=null, ext={EN=IssueExt(id=1297141794467246419, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1296801528146919473, issueId=1297134051446514419, language=EN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=), CN=IssueExt(id=1297141794467246420, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1296801528146919473, issueId=1297134051446514419, language=CN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=)}, issueFiles=null, downloadFileDto=null}, startPage=2, endPage=8, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1297134064046199726, articleId=1297134063857456045, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1296801528146919473, language=EN, title=Research on the Elasticity of Import Demand and Market Pattern of Dairy Products in China--An Empirical Analysis Based on the Rotterdam Model, columnId=1297134052318929652, journalTitle=China Dairy, columnName=DAIRY ECONOMICS, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=

As the world's largest importer and consumer of dairy products, China exhibits distinctive characteristics in its dairy trade, including a widening deficit and high concentration in import markets. Utilizing monthly import data of Chinese dairy products from 2015 to 2023, this study analyzed the current landscape and trends in terms of source countries, import volume, and product structure. The Rotterdam model is employed to estimate the import demand elasticity for dairy products. The findings indicate that China's import demand for dairy products is inelastic, with a pronounced preference for imports from New Zealand and Australia. To address these patterns, it is recommended to strengthen quality regulations and tariff controls, promote diversification of import sources and refinement of supervision mechanisms, and enhance international bargaining power and rule-making influence.

, authors=Lei HE, Shuyang LI, Xiaoyu ZHEN, authorsList=Lei HE, Shuyang LI, Xiaoyu ZHEN, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=null, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=null, pdfFileSize=null, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null), CN=ArticleExt(id=1297134064264303535, articleId=1297134063857456045, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1296801528146919473, language=CN, title=中国乳制品进口需求弹性及市场格局研究——基于Rotterdam模型的实证分析, columnId=1297134054554493687, journalTitle=中国乳业, columnName=奶业经济, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=

中国作为全球最大的乳制品进口国和消费国,乳制品进口贸易呈现逆差不断扩大、进口市场集中度高等显著特点。本文利用2015—2023年中国乳制品进口月度数据,对乳制品的进口来源国、进口总量、进口产品结构等现状及趋势进行分析,运用Rotterdam模型测算乳制品进口需求弹性。结果显示:中国对乳制品进口需求刚性,对新西兰和澳大利亚的乳制品进口具有显著偏好。据此,应强化质量规制与关税调控,推进进口来源多元化与监管精细化,完善国际议价机制与规则话语权,并提出应对进口贸易激增及乳制品进口规制的相应措施。

, authors=贺蕾, 李书阳, 甄小榆, authorsList=贺蕾, 李书阳, 甄小榆, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=null, authorNote=

贺蕾(1983-),女,陕西绥德人,博士,副教授,研究方向为农产品国际贸易、农业经济

李书阳(2001-),女,山西临汾人,在读硕士,研究方向为农业经济、金融

甄小榆(2000-),女,陕西子长人,在读硕士,研究方向为农业经济、企业管理。

, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=发表在《中国乳业》上的论文,视为将本论文的数字化复制权、发行权、汇编权及信息网络传播权许可给《中国乳业》使用。本刊已许可中国学术期刊(光盘版)电子杂志社、北京万方数据股份有限公司等多家单位在其相关数据库产品中以数字化方式复制、汇编、发行、信息网络传播本刊全文。作者向本刊提交文章发表的行为即视为同意我刊授权使用该文著作权。, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=FNvn7LR28R3W2WgJrqTCFg==, magXml=XQZ6WsC+jFLEqYC8O+J6hA==, pdfUrl=null, pdf=qvQ1S0DnXDp49+QWF3lr4Q==, pdfFileSize=1407776, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=Dm8L3/K9kxSbsuO8z8Zf5g==, mapNumber=null, fund=null)}, authors=[Author(id=1297134064536933300, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1296801528146919473, articleId=1297134063857456045, orderNo=0, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=null, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1297134064608236470, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1296801528146919473, articleId=1297134063857456045, authorId=1297134064536933300, language=EN, stringName=Lei HE, firstName=Lei, middleName=null, lastName=HE, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=Shaanxi University of Science & Technology, Xi'an Shaanxi 710021, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1297134064687928247, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1296801528146919473, articleId=1297134063857456045, authorId=1297134064536933300, language=CN, stringName=贺蕾, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=陕西科技大学,陕西 西安 710021, bio={"content":"

贺蕾(1983-),女,陕西绥德人,博士,副教授,研究方向为农产品国际贸易、农业经济

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贺蕾(1983-),女,陕西绥德人,博士,副教授,研究方向为农产品国际贸易、农业经济

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李书阳(2001-),女,山西临汾人,在读硕士,研究方向为农业经济、金融

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李书阳(2001-),女,山西临汾人,在读硕士,研究方向为农业经济、金融

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甄小榆(2000-),女,陕西子长人,在读硕士,研究方向为农业经济、企业管理。

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甄小榆(2000-),女,陕西子长人,在读硕士,研究方向为农业经济、企业管理。

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中国乳制品进口需求弹性及市场格局研究——基于Rotterdam模型的实证分析
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中国乳业 |奶业经济 2026 , (1) : 2 -8
中国乳制品进口需求弹性及市场格局研究——基于Rotterdam模型的实证分析
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贺蕾, 李书阳, 甄小榆
作者信息
  • 陕西科技大学,陕西 西安 710021
作者简介:

贺蕾(1983-),女,陕西绥德人,博士,副教授,研究方向为农产品国际贸易、农业经济

李书阳(2001-),女,山西临汾人,在读硕士,研究方向为农业经济、金融

甄小榆(2000-),女,陕西子长人,在读硕士,研究方向为农业经济、企业管理。

Research on the Elasticity of Import Demand and Market Pattern of Dairy Products in China--An Empirical Analysis Based on the Rotterdam Model
Lei HE, Shuyang LI, Xiaoyu ZHEN
Affiliations
  • Shaanxi University of Science & Technology, Xi'an Shaanxi 710021
出版时间: 2026-01-25 doi: 10.12377/1671-4393.26.01.01
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中国作为全球最大的乳制品进口国和消费国,乳制品进口贸易呈现逆差不断扩大、进口市场集中度高等显著特点。本文利用2015—2023年中国乳制品进口月度数据,对乳制品的进口来源国、进口总量、进口产品结构等现状及趋势进行分析,运用Rotterdam模型测算乳制品进口需求弹性。结果显示:中国对乳制品进口需求刚性,对新西兰和澳大利亚的乳制品进口具有显著偏好。据此,应强化质量规制与关税调控,推进进口来源多元化与监管精细化,完善国际议价机制与规则话语权,并提出应对进口贸易激增及乳制品进口规制的相应措施。

乳制品  /  进口需求  /  需求弹性  /  Rotterdam模型

As the world's largest importer and consumer of dairy products, China exhibits distinctive characteristics in its dairy trade, including a widening deficit and high concentration in import markets. Utilizing monthly import data of Chinese dairy products from 2015 to 2023, this study analyzed the current landscape and trends in terms of source countries, import volume, and product structure. The Rotterdam model is employed to estimate the import demand elasticity for dairy products. The findings indicate that China's import demand for dairy products is inelastic, with a pronounced preference for imports from New Zealand and Australia. To address these patterns, it is recommended to strengthen quality regulations and tariff controls, promote diversification of import sources and refinement of supervision mechanisms, and enhance international bargaining power and rule-making influence.

dairy products  /  import demand  /  demand elasticity  /  rotterdam model
贺蕾, 李书阳, 甄小榆. 中国乳制品进口需求弹性及市场格局研究——基于Rotterdam模型的实证分析. 中国乳业, 2026 , (1) : 2 -8 . DOI: 10.12377/1671-4393.26.01.01
Lei HE, Shuyang LI, Xiaoyu ZHEN. Research on the Elasticity of Import Demand and Market Pattern of Dairy Products in China--An Empirical Analysis Based on the Rotterdam Model[J]. China Dairy, 2026 , (1) : 2 -8 . DOI: 10.12377/1671-4393.26.01.01
  • 教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目:中国农产品进口贸易脆弱性、韧性与生产协调机制研究(25XJA790001)
  • 陕西省自然科学基础研究计划:逆差越拉越大背景下农业企业出口学习与自选择效应研究(2025JC-YBMS-825)
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doi: 10.12377/1671-4393.26.01.01
  • 首发时间:2026-08-20
  • 出版时间:2026-01-25
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教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目:中国农产品进口贸易脆弱性、韧性与生产协调机制研究(25XJA790001)
陕西省自然科学基础研究计划:逆差越拉越大背景下农业企业出口学习与自选择效应研究(2025JC-YBMS-825)
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    陕西科技大学,陕西 西安 710021
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2种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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