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Based on panel data from 30 provinces in China from 2011 to 2021, this paper uses the coupling coordination degree model, local spatial autocorrelation analysis, and system GMM regression method to systematically examine the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of the coupling coordination level between China's new quality productivity and carbon emissions. The study found that the annual average of the new quality productivity index increased from 0.1 to 0.23, and the carbon emission intensity decreased from 2.548 to 1.942, indicating a continuous improvement in the synergy level between the two. The coupling coordination degree shows a gradient differentiation of "high in the southeast and low in the northwest". Eastern coastal provinces have risen to high-quality coordination based on digital economy and green technology innovation, while northern energy bases have long been in low value agglomeration due to the "high carbon low efficiency" path dependence. Economic development, opening up to the outside world, and innovation levels significantly promote the improvement of coordination, while environmental regulations have a restraining effect due to the "compliance cost squeeze". Regional heterogeneity analysis shows that the eastern region strengthens technology spillover through global value chain embedding, the northeast is constrained by structural contradictions in heavy industry, and the western region suppresses innovation diffusion due to geographical decline and lagging infrastructure.
, authors=Dong-sheng YU
1, 2, Juan-juan YU
3, *, Meng-yuan CHEN
1, authorsList=Dong-sheng YU, Juan-juan YU, Meng-yuan CHEN, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=Juan-juan YU, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=null, pdfFileSize=null, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null), CN=ArticleExt(id=1314917549725286645, articleId=1314917549138084083, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1234093305789726721, language=CN, title=我国新质生产力与碳排放耦合协调水平时空演进及影响因素, columnId=1234106391661704058, journalTitle=中国环境科学, columnName=碳排放控制, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=
基于2011~2021年中国30个省份面板数据,运用耦合协调度模型、局部空间自相关分析及系统GMM回归方法,系统考察我国新质生产力与碳排放耦合协调水平的时空演进特征及影响因素.研究发现,新质生产力指数年均值由0.1增至0.23,碳排放强度由2.548降至1.942,二者协同水平持续提升;耦合协调度呈现“东南高、西北低”的梯度分异,东部沿海省份依托数字经济和绿色技术创新跃升至优质协调型,北方能源基地因“高碳-低效”路径依赖长期处于低值集聚;经济发展、对外开放和创新水平显著促进协调度提升,环境规制因“合规成本挤压”产生抑制效应;区域异质性分析表明,东部通过全球价值链嵌入强化技术溢出,东北受制于重工业结构矛盾,西部因地理衰减与基建滞后抑制创新扩散.
, authors=余东升
1, 2, 余娟娟
3, *, 陈梦园
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余东升(1988-),男,湖北武汉人,讲师,博士,主要从事新质生产力与环境经济学.发表论文20篇.zuelyds@126.com.
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余东升(1988-),男,湖北武汉人,讲师,博士,主要从事新质生产力与环境经济学.发表论文20篇.zuelyds@126.com.
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