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To clarify the development stages and characteristics of China's major coastal ports since its accession to the WTO, a quantitative study is conducted based on the monthly container throughput data of seven major coastal ports from 2002 to 2023. Multivariate change point analysis is introduced to objectively reflect the stage characteristics of port development, and the Chow test is used to verify the reliability of the quantitative research results. The study shows that the major coastal ports in China can be divided into six development stages over the 22-year research period. By combining the characteristics of port container throughput growth in different stages and considering key events such as China's accession to the WTO at the end of 2001, the outbreak of the global financial crisis in 2008, and the spread of COVID-19 in 2020, the six stages are identified as: rapid growth period (2002~2005), fluctuating development period (2006~2010), recovery growth period (2011~2013), stable platform period (2014~2017), development differentiation period (2018~2020), and resilient growth period (2021~2023). Each development stage exhibits distinct characteristics, closely related to the economic and trade conditions of China and the world during the respective periods.

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为明晰自我国加入世贸组织以来我国沿海主要港口的发展阶段及其特征，基于我国沿海七大主要港口2002年至2023年共计264个月的月度港口集装箱吞吐量数据，使用多元断点分析方法来予以定量研究，并利用Chow检验对定量研究结果进行可靠性检验。研究显示：我国沿海主要港口在跨度为22年的研究期中，大体可分为六大发展阶段，结合不同阶段的港口集装箱吞吐量增长特点，并考虑到2001年底我国加入世贸组织、2008年全球性金融危机爆发、2020年新型冠状病毒感染疫情防控等关键事件，可将六阶段分别命名为：快速成长期（2002年—2005年）、波动发展期（2006年—2010年）、复苏增长期（2011年—2013年）、稳定平台期（2014年—2017年）、发展分化期（2018年—2020年）和韧性增长期（2021年—2023年）。不同发展阶段呈现出不同发展特征，相关特征与各阶段我国及世界经贸形势有着密切联系。

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