Article(id=1240655519204037373, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1240618002186551303, issueId=1240655508231746242, articleNumber=null, orderNo=null, doi=10.3969/j.issn.1000-4653.2025.02.020, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1703692800000, receivedDateStr=2023-12-28, revisedDate=null, revisedDateStr=null, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1773724926042, onlineDateStr=2026-03-17, pubDate=1750780800000, pubDateStr=2025-06-25, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1773724926042, onlineIssueDateStr=2026-03-17, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1773724926042, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1773724926042, updator=13701087609, issue=Issue{id=1240655508231746242, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1240618002186551303, year='2025', volume='48', issue='2', pageStart='1', pageEnd='180', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='null', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=1, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1773724923427, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1773725151164, updator=13701087609, preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, ext={EN=IssueExt(id=1240656463488667953, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1240618002186551303, issueId=1240655508231746242, language=EN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=), CN=IssueExt(id=1240656463492862258, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1240618002186551303, issueId=1240655508231746242, language=CN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=)}, issueFiles=null}, startPage=159, endPage=165, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1240655519455695633, articleId=1240655519204037373, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1240618002186551303, language=EN, title=Study on transportation mode selection of inland container transport system under low carbon objective, columnId=1240655020656489358, journalTitle=Navigation of China, columnName=Green Shipping, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=

China rivers are abundant in water resources, and inland container transport is the main form of river transport. However, with the rapid development of road construction, the continuous improvement of the comprehensive transport system and increased competition in road transportation resulting in lower freight costs, inland container transport will also face huge challenges. In order to utilise the economical and energy-saving role of inland river transport more effectively, it is necessary to encourage owners of goods to choose the waterway transportation mode. From the perspective of the inland container transport system, this paper conducts a quantitative analysis to address the issue of modal choice between inland container transport and road transport, internalising the economic externality of carbon emission through the total cost of transport. Taking into account the low-carbon objective, a transportation mode choice equilibrium model based on an inland container transport system was constructed. Meanwhile, the paper focuses on analysing the economic characteristics of total transportation costs and related influencing factors using an economic approach. Finally, the model's validity is verified using numerical examples. The results demonstrate that, under the low-carbon objective, it is more economical for owners to choose waterway transportation when the transportation distance is more than 1 100 km.

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我国内河水资源丰富，内河集装箱运输是内陆沿河地区运输系统的主要方式，但随着公路网规模的增加、路网结构的优化及陆运竞争加剧，导致了内河运输的费用下降，内陆集装箱运输面临巨大挑战。为更好地发挥内河水运经济、节能的作用，引导货主选择水路运输方式，文章从内陆集装箱运输系统的角度出发，将碳排放这一经济外部性通过运输总成本进行内部化，针对内河集装箱运输与公路运输的方式选择问题进行了定量分析。在低碳目标影响下，建立了基于内陆集装箱运输系统的运输方式选择均衡模型。同时，文章利用经济学方法重点分析了等运输总成本运距与其相关影响因素的经济学特征，最后用数值算例验证了模型的有效性。算例结果表明运输距离大于1 100 km时，低碳目标下货主选择水路运输更具有经济性。

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管田超（1988—），女，博士，研究方向为综合交通运输系统建模及经济学分析。E-mail:guantianchao@wti.ac.cn

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管田超（1988—），女，博士，研究方向为综合交通运输系统建模及经济学分析。E-mail:guantianchao@wti.ac.cn

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