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The implementation of carbon pricing policy will have an important impact on the low-carbon transformation of power industry. This paper constructs a power dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with carbon pricing policy, and systematically investigates the different impacts of carbon trading and carbon tax on emission reduction of the power industry under the goal of carbon emission peak and carbon neutrality. The results show that, the overall impact of carbon trading policy is greater than that of carbon tax policy, and the impact of carbon trading policy on emission reduction is achieved by inhibiting thermal power output under the carbon peak scenario, while it is achieved by encouraging green power output under the carbon neutral scenario. Different mechanism designs of carbon pricing policies, such as carbon trading and carbon tax, will have different impacts on emission reduction in the power industry under the dual carbon target. In the carbon trading policy, especially in the carbon peak scenario, there is a certain upper limit to achieve emission reduction through the market mechanism, and when the upper limit is exceeded, a "back-forcing" mechanism will be formed. In the carbon tax policy, the rebate mechanism will achieve the goal of emission reduction and the expansion of the rebate proportion will strengthen the impact on electricity emission reduction. Based on the above conclusions, relevant policy recommendations are put forward.

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碳定价政策的实施将会对电力行业的低碳转型产生重要影响。构建了一个包含碳定价政策的电力动态随机一般均衡（DSGE）模型，并在此基础上系统考察了“双碳”目标下碳交易和碳税2种不同碳定价政策对电力行业减排的不同影响。结果表明：碳交易政策的整体影响大于碳税政策，且碳交易政策对减排的影响在碳达峰情景下是通过抑制火电产出实现的，而在碳中和情景下则是通过对绿电产出的激励实现的；碳交易和碳税2种碳定价政策不同的机制设计在“双碳”目标下对电力行业减排会产生不同的影响。碳交易政策中，特别是碳达峰情景下，通过市场机制实现减排存在着一定的上限，超过这个上限时反而会形成一种“倒逼”机制。碳税政策中，返还机制会达到减排目的且返还比例的扩大会加强对电力减排的影响。基于上述结论提出了相关政策建议。

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王喜平（1969），女，博士，教授，硕士生导师，主要研究方向为能源经济与可持续发展，hdwxp@126.com。

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王喜平（1969），女，博士，教授，硕士生导师，主要研究方向为能源经济与可持续发展，hdwxp@126.com。

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