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In recent years, the scale of wind power is growing rapidly, its economic analysis and cost modeling methods are also constantly improving. In order to summarize the existing methods and clarify the follow-up research ideas, the four stages of the whole life cycle of the wind power project are first explained. Then, the cost composition and modeling method of the whole life cycle of wind power projects are introduced, and the differences between onshore and offshore wind farms in this part are compared, and the relationship between life cycle and investment cost is discussed based on the above contents. In order to introduce the benefits of cost investment, the basic economic evaluation indexes and applicability of wind power projects are compared. On this basis, the future development trend is analyzed according to the existing problems, and some suggestions are put forward for the economic evaluation of wind power in different regions and environments. It is hoped that the work of this paper can provide reference for wind power cost modeling and economic evaluation under the new development trend.
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近年来,风电规模增速迅猛,其经济分析和成本建模方式也在不断改进。为总结现有方法,理清后续研究思路,首先,按照风电项目全生命周期的4个阶段进行阐释;然后,介绍了风电项目全生命周期的成本构成及建模方式,重点比较了陆上和海上风电场在该部分的差异,并结合上述内容探讨了生命周期和投资成本之间的关系;接着,为介绍成本投资效益,对比了风电项目基本经济评价指标及适用性。在上述基础上,根据存在的问题对未来发展趋势进行了分析,并为实现不同地区、不同环境下的风电经济性评价提出了一些建议,以期为新发展趋势下的风电成本建模和经济评价提供参考。
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宋冬然(1983),男,博士,副教授,主要研究方向为风力发电、光伏发电等新能源发电技术,微电网系统建模、优化与控制,能源/电气系统经济分析及优化,songdongran@csu.edu.cn。
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宋冬然(1983),男,博士,副教授,主要研究方向为风力发电、光伏发电等新能源发电技术,微电网系统建模、优化与控制,能源/电气系统经济分析及优化,songdongran@csu.edu.cn。
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