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基于2013—2023年人口、社会经济及夜间灯光数据,运用人口收缩测算、熵值法与地理探测器等方法,分析河南省157个县域人口收缩的时空特征、经济效应及影响因素。结果表明:河南省人口收缩进程加速,2018—2023年收缩县域占比近60%,呈现“南重北轻、连片集聚”格局;县域经济由“单核心集聚”向“多极轴带”演进,但“中心-外围”差异持续存在;人口收缩与经济发展呈“核心协同、外围错配”特征;二三产业占比、城镇化率、路网密度是核心驱动因素,人口收缩通过与其他因子交互间接影响经济活力,在豫南、豫西等人口收缩严重区域,负向交互作用更为显著,进一步加剧区域经济分化。

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