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基于2008—2024年中国277个地级市数据,构建生产性服务业发展与城市经济韧性评价指标体系,运用熵权法、耦合协调度、空间自相关和地理探测器模型,分析二者时空耦合及驱动因素。结果显示:二者综合水平均呈增长态势;耦合协调度整体处于低水平协调阶段;空间上由东部沿海初级协调向内陆城市的中度失调过渡,呈现显著空间俱乐部收敛,高-高集聚主要在长三角等城市群,低-低集聚在东北等区域。内外驱动力共同作用,经济密度、投资强度和政府调控效应明显;大型城市规模效应增强驱动效果,空间分异由多重因素交互协同形成。

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