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基于2016—2022年省级面板数据,构建新质生产力与人工智能发展水平的综合评价指标体系,运用熵权TOPSIS(逼近理想解排序)法、双重固定效应模型、门槛回归与空间莫兰指数等方法,实证检验人工智能对新质生产力的影响机制、空间关联特征与非线性效应。研究显示:新质生产力与人工智能发展水平总体呈上升趋势,但区域差异显著,东部沿海和中部地区明显高于西部及东北地区;人工智能对新质生产力具有显著促进作用,且通过提升产业水平与高科技产品市场绩效发挥中介效应;人工智能发展存在双重门槛效应,其促进作用随水平提高而增强;人工智能在空间上呈现显著正向集聚特征,莫兰指数表明其分布存在“高-高”与“低-低”集聚现象,中东部省份空间联动效应突出。

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