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装配式建筑推广的整体效能和高质量发展水平依赖于技术扩散,为解决其技术扩散缺乏内在驱动机制与主体决策链条、扩散效率低下等问题,基于技术扩散视角,嵌入数字化平台赋能机制,构建政府、预制构件生产商和开发商三方演化博弈模型,并通过仿真揭示了技术扩散主体决策内在机制。研究表明:数字化平台服务能力的提升显著增强了主体技术扩散的内生驱动力;平台通过增强增量效益的稳定性与可预期性强化了生产商与开发商参与扩散的意愿;增量成本显著抑制生产商和开发商参与意愿,尤其对生产商抑制更为明显;政府补贴在扩散初期具有明显激励效果,但存在边际递减效应,平台协同对补贴激励形成有效补充;惩罚机制对主体策略选择具有正向促进作用,且对生产商的约束作用最为明显。

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