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2. School of Public Health(Shenzhen), Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen 518100, China;
3. College of Architecture and Civil Engineerin, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China;
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新型冠状病毒在家庭环境中的主要传播途径
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雷浩, 肖胜蓝, 张楠, 魏健健, 金滔
科技导报 | 研究论文 2021,39(9): 78-86
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科技导报 | 研究论文 2021, 39(9): 78-86
新型冠状病毒在家庭环境中的主要传播途径
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雷浩, 肖胜蓝, 张楠, 魏健健, 金滔
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魏健健(通信作者),讲师,研究方向为空气动力学,电子信箱:weijzju@zju.edu.cn
Exploring dominant transmission routes of COVID-19 in households
LEI Hao, XIAO Shenglan, ZHANG Nan, WEI Jianjian, JIN Tao
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出版时间: 2021-05-13 doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2021.09.009
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通过构建数学模型,定量研究了1个3人家庭环境中飞沫传播、接触传播和气溶胶传播在COVID-19传播中的作用。研究表明,飞沫传播和接触传播在COVID-19传播中起着最重要的作用。和患者交流时保持1.5~2 m的空间距离对控制飞沫传播至关重要,洗手和保护环境表面清洁是控制接触传播的最有效手段。虽然通过气溶胶途径传播风险相对较小,但当患者呼出飞沫中病原体浓度较高时(患者可能为超级感染者),在家庭环境中24 h暴露下,气溶胶传播风险依然可以高达26%。
新型冠状病毒  /  飞沫传播  /  接触传播  /  气溶胶传播  /  相对重要性  /  数学模型
By June 19, 2020, there had been 84940 COVID-19 confirmed cases in China, in which 83% of the clustered infections occurred within families. Thus, exploring the relative contributions of different transmission routes is significant for developing efficient intervention strategies in household. In this study, we build a mathematical model to quantify the relative degrees of importance of airborne, droplet and contact route in COVID-19 transmission in household environments. We find that the droplet and contact routes play the dominant role in COVID-19 transmission in household. Keeping a 1.5-2 m distance when communicating with the infector is the key intervention to control droplet transmission. Hand hygiene and surface cleaning are significant for controlling contact transmission. The infection risk by airborne route is relatively small, however, when the virus concentration in the droplets exhaled by the infector is high (possibly super-spreader), e. g. 107 mRNA copy/mL, the infection risk via the airborne route can be as high as 26%. This study may provide a theoretical guidance for developing targeted interventions in household environments.
SARS-CoV-2  /  droplet transmission  /  contact transmission  /  airborne transmission  /  relativeimportance  /  mathematical model
雷浩, 肖胜蓝, 张楠, 魏健健, 金滔. 新型冠状病毒在家庭环境中的主要传播途径. 科技导报, 2021 , 39 (9) : 78 -86 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2021.09.009
LEI Hao, XIAO Shenglan, ZHANG Nan, WEI Jianjian, JIN Tao. Exploring dominant transmission routes of COVID-19 in households[J]. Science & Technology Review, 2021 , 39 (9) : 78 -86 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2021.09.009
2021年第39卷第9期
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doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2021.09.009
  • 接收时间:2020-08-05
  • 首发时间:2021-06-08
  • 出版时间:2021-05-13
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  • 收稿日期:2020-08-05
  • 修回日期:2020-12-21
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魏健健(通信作者),讲师,研究方向为空气动力学,电子信箱:weijzju@zju.edu.cn
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2种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
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Number of
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种数
Number of
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占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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