Article(id=1242138169227943952, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, issueId=1242138143353287233, articleNumber=null, orderNo=17, doi=10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2020.05.015, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1554048000000, receivedDateStr=2019-04-01, revisedDate=1559145600000, revisedDateStr=2019-05-30, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1587178311703, onlineDateStr=2020-04-18, pubDate=1584028800000, pubDateStr=2020-03-13, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1587178311703, onlineIssueDateStr=2020-04-18, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1774078417352, creator=sys-migrate, updateTime=1774078417352, updator=sys-migrate, issue=Issue{id=1242138143353287233, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, year='2020', volume='38', issue='5', pageStart='1', pageEnd='112', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='1584028800000', pubDateStr='2020-03-13', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=3, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1774078411182, creator='sys-migrate', updateTime=1774078411182, updator='sys-migrate', preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, articleTotal=null, ext=null, issueFiles=null, downloadFileDto=null}, startPage=105, endPage=112, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1242138173669716637, articleId=1242138169227943952, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, language=EN, title=Prediction of cross border e-commerce logistics market in China, columnId=1150494644690366681, journalTitle=Science & Technology Review, columnName=Papers, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=The development status of cross-border logistics, which is an important link in the operation of cross-border ecommerce, has attracted much attention. This article establishes an index system for cross-border e-commerce market size prediction by using grey correlation analysis. Then, it completes an empirical analysis by means of multiple regression and grey prediction. Finally, it predictions the cross-border e-commerce logistics market size with the forecast data of cross-border e market size. The predicted results show that the scale of cross-border e-commerce market in China will reach 10.61024 trillion yuan by 2020. According to the analysis of Vip.com and Amazon's financial report, it is determined that the market scale of cross-border e-commerce logistics in China will reach between 1 trillion and 1.6 trillion yuan by 2020., authors=SHI Yangyan, WANG Erxu, LI Jiajia, authorsList=SHI Yangyan, WANG Erxu, LI Jiajia, authorCompany=School of Economics and Management, Shanxi University, Taiyuan 030006, China, correspAuthors=null, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=slSTa0sAlabwKFu0Ezlz0g==, pdfFileSize=2676586, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null), CN=ArticleExt(id=1242138171186683934, articleId=1242138169227943952, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, language=CN, title=中国跨境电商物流市场规模预测研究, columnId=1146540929516700224, journalTitle=科技导报, columnName=研究论文, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=利用灰色关联分析确立了中国跨境电商市场规模预测研究的指标体系，借助多元回归和灰色预测完成了实证分析，借助跨境电商市场规模的预测数据完成了跨境电商物流市场规模的预测。预测结果显示，至2020年中国跨境电商市场规模将达到10.61024万亿元。根据唯品会和亚马逊财报分析，判定中国跨境电商物流的市场规模至2020年将达到1万亿~1.6万亿元。, authors=史杨焱, 王尔旭, 李佳佳, authorsList=史杨焱, 王尔旭, 李佳佳, authorCompany=山西大学经济与管理学院, 太原 030006, correspAuthors=null, authorNote=史杨焱,副教授,研究方向为物流与供应链管理、第三方物流、跨境电子商务、农产品贸易,电子信箱:yshi@sxu.edu,cn, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=j6CjZ3yDq3mfsdwvX3OeXg==, pdfFileSize=2676586, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=山西软科学研究项目（2016041023-2）；2015年度山西省高等学校哲学社会科学研究项目（2015206）；山西省回国留学人员科研资助项目（rsc1617）；山西省高等学校中青年拔尖创新人才支持计划资助)}, authors=null, keywords=[Keyword(id=1242138170691756058, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242138169227943952, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=跨境电商), Keyword(id=1242138170830168091, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242138169227943952, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=跨境电商物流), Keyword(id=1242138170935025692, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242138169227943952, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=回归预测), Keyword(id=1242138171018911773, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242138169227943952, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=灰色预测), Keyword(id=1242138173246087200, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242138169227943952, language=EN, orderNo=1, keyword=cross border electricity supplier), Keyword(id=1242138173359333409, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242138169227943952, language=EN, orderNo=1, keyword=cross border e-commerce logistics), Keyword(id=1242138173443219490, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242138169227943952, language=EN, orderNo=1, keyword=regression forecast), Keyword(id=1242138173535494179, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242138169227943952, language=EN, orderNo=1, keyword=grey prediction)], refs=null, funds=null, companyList=null, figs=null, attaches=null, journal=Journal(id=1125356956822126595, delFlag=0, nameCn=科技导报, nameEn=Science & Technology Review, nameHistory1=null, nameHistory2=null, issn=1000-7857, eissn=, cn=11-1421/N, coden=null, periodic=3, language=CN, oaType=0, ccby=null, superviseOffice=null, ownerOffice=null, pubOffice=null, editorOffice=null, officeType=null, aims=null, clcCode=null, officeProv=null, officeCity=null, officeAddr=null, officeZip=null, officeEmail=null, officePhone=null, editDirector=null, officeDirector=null, officeDirectorPhone=null, officeStaffNum=null, officeEmpNum=null, coverPicUrl=wfghvu3bhh/dKxuZ+ucVHA==, journalPrice=null, startedYear=null, abbrevIsoEn=Sci Technol Rev, journalRemark=null, publicationField=null, createdTime=null, updatedTime=1774230116083, createdBy=null, updatedBy=13041195026, firstLetterCn=S, firstLetterEn=S, subjectCode=Natural Sciences, subjectName=自然科学, subjectCodeEn=Natural Sciences, subjectNameEn=null, picCn=wfghvu3bhh/dKxuZ+ucVHA==, picEn=yjSfclmpNm7ihn9NbTZ69g==, jcr=null, cjcr=null, exts=[JournalExt(id=1242774439910290156, language=CN, name=科技导报, nameHistory1=null, nameHistory2=null, managedBy=中国科学技术协会, sponsoredBy=中国科学技术协会, publishedBy=科技导报社, editorOffice=, officeProv=null, officeCity=null, officeAddr=, officeZip=, editDirector=, officeDirector=null, officePhone=null, coverPicUrl=null, journalRemark=, submitArticleUrl=null, websiteUrl=http://www.kjdb.org/CN/home, createdTime=1774230116107, updatedTime=1774230116107, createdBy=13041195026, updatedBy=13041195026, submissionGuidelinesUrl=http://www.kjdb.org/CN/column/column7.shtml, submissionAuthorUrl=https://kjdbauthor.cast.org.cn/webm, submissionEditorUrl=https://kjdbeditor.cast.org.cn/webm/, submissionReviewUrl=https://kjdbauthor.cast.org.cn/webm, submissionCeEditorUrl=https://kjdbeditor.cast.org.cn/webm/, submissionAeEditorUrl=https://kjdbeditor.cast.org.cn/webm/, option={"copyright":""}), JournalExt(id=1242774439960621805, language=EN, name=Science & Technology Review, nameHistory1=null, nameHistory2=null, managedBy=, sponsoredBy=, publishedBy=, editorOffice=, officeProv=null, officeCity=null, officeAddr=, officeZip=, editDirector=, officeDirector=null, officePhone=null, coverPicUrl=null, journalRemark=, submitArticleUrl=null, websiteUrl=http://www.kjdb.org/EN/home, createdTime=1774230116119, updatedTime=1774230116119, createdBy=13041195026, updatedBy=13041195026, submissionGuidelinesUrl=http://www.kjdb.org/EN/column/column7.shtml, submissionAuthorUrl=https://kjdbauthor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionEditorUrl=https://kjdbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionReviewUrl=https://kjdbauthor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionCeEditorUrl=https://kjdbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionAeEditorUrl=https://kjdbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, option={"copyright":""})], databaseList=null, tenantJournalId=1146031591421210625, websiteList=[Website(id=1146104741081231361, webName=null, webTitle=null, webDomain=null, webCopyrigh=null, webIpcNo=null, seoTitle=null, seoKeywords=null, seoDescription=null, tenantJournalId=null, journalId=1146031591421210625, journalNameCn=null, journalNameEn=null, grayFlag=null, tenantId=1146029695717560320, platformId=null, journalGroupId=null, journalGroupNameCn=null, journalGroupNameEn=null, type=1, domain=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN, language=CN, createTime=1751182263881, createBy=18614031015, updateTime=1751778001962, updateBy=18614031015, name=科技导报, tplId=1146099689490845704, title=科技导报, delFlag=0, indexPage=/home, props=[WebsiteProps(id=1148021146403992296, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146104741081231361, code=articleTextType, value=kx, createTime=1751639170504, updateTime=1751639170504, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148021146378826469, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146104741081231361, code=banner, value=null, createTime=1751639170498, updateTime=1751639170498, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148021146366243556, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146104741081231361, code=logo, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/file/pic?fileId=9GHSf7eGlIPH0Tv/OOdstA==, createTime=1751639170495, updateTime=1751639170495, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148021146395603687, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146104741081231361, code=picServerUrl, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/file/pic, createTime=1751639170502, updateTime=1751639170502, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148021146387215078, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146104741081231361, code=staticResourcePath, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/cast_kjdb_cn_619/, createTime=1751639170500, updateTime=1751639170500, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015)]), Website(id=1146105254833139715, webName=null, webTitle=null, webDomain=null, webCopyrigh=null, webIpcNo=null, seoTitle=null, seoKeywords=null, seoDescription=null, tenantJournalId=null, journalId=1146031591421210625, journalNameCn=null, journalNameEn=null, grayFlag=null, tenantId=1146029695717560320, platformId=null, journalGroupId=null, journalGroupNameCn=null, journalGroupNameEn=null, type=1, domain=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/EN, language=EN, createTime=1751182386363, createBy=18614031015, updateTime=1753500121937, updateBy=18614031015, name=科技导报, tplId=1146101810881728533, title=Science & Technology Review, delFlag=0, indexPage=/home, props=[WebsiteProps(id=1155838567709528217, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146105254833139715, code=articleTextType, value=kx, createTime=1753502988984, updateTime=1753502988984, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155838567692750998, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146105254833139715, code=banner, value=null, createTime=1753502988980, updateTime=1753502988980, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155838567688556693, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146105254833139715, code=logo, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/EN/file/pic?fileId=9GHSf7eGlIPH0Tv/OOdstA==, createTime=1753502988979, updateTime=1753502988979, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155838567705333912, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146105254833139715, code=picServerUrl, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/EN/file/pic, createTime=1753502988983, updateTime=1753502988983, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155838567701139607, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146105254833139715, code=staticResourcePath, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/cast_kjdb_en_623/, createTime=1753502988982, updateTime=1753502988982, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015)])], journalTitle=科技导报, weixinUrl=null, journalUrl=null, iacademicId=null, status=1, seqNo=null, journalTitleEn=Science & Technology Review, journalPhotoCn=wfghvu3bhh/dKxuZ+ucVHA==, journalPhotoEn=yjSfclmpNm7ihn9NbTZ69g==, journalFirstLetter=S, journalRecommend=null, journalNew=null, journalCollection=1, jcrJf=null, cjcrJf=0.91, jcrJfStr=null, cjcrJfStr=null, submissionFirstDecision=null, sciSubjectClassification=null, casSubjectClassification=null, citeScore=null, totalCitationFrequency=null, icpCode=null, psCode=null, advertisingLicenseCode=null, copyrightInformation=null, country=null, option=, provinceCode=null, provinceName=null, collectFlag=false, interPubPlatform=null, interPubPlatformUrl=null), detailUrlCn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2020.05.015, detailUrlEn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/EN/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2020.05.015, pdfUrlCn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/PDF/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2020.05.015, pdfUrlEn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/EN/PDF/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2020.05.015, aliStartDate=null, aliEndDate=null, collectionFlag=false, citedCount=null, citedUrl=null, previewStatus=0, delFlag=0, hasFullText=0, orderTime=1584028800000, fullTextJson=null, articleText=null, reference=null)