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科技导报
| 专题:新冠肺炎 2020, 38(4): 21-28
全国及湖北省新冠肺炎综合风险指数分析及比较
全屏
袁宏永1 , 陈涛1 , 黄丽达1 , 苏国锋1 , 黄全义1 , 戴佳昆2 , 余水平2
作者信息
1. 清华大学公共安全研究院, 北京 100084;
2. 北京辰安科技股份有限公司, 北京 100094
通讯作者:
陈涛(通信作者),副教授,研究方向为公共安全应急理论、应急平台技术、城市灾害模拟、卫生应急、特种场所安全监测技术和应急管理,电子信箱:chentao.b@tsinghua.edu.cn
Analysis and comparison of comprehensive risk index of COVID-19 in China and Hubei province
Affiliations
出版时间: 2020-02-28
doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2020.04.003
文章导航
新型冠状肺炎综合风险评估是开展疫情风险管理和防控的关键途径,而评估方法是其中的关键。以公共安全的“三角形”模型为指导,考虑突发事件即病毒本身的危险性、承灾载体即易感人群的脆弱性、应急管理的有效性3个维度因素,建立了综合多个维度的风险评估方法。评估结果显示,当前数据显示综合风险最高的5个省(市)级地区分别为湖北、上海、香港、北京和广东;在湖北省内,综合风险最高的4个地级市分别为武汉、鄂州、孝感和黄冈。
The comprehensive risk assessment of COVID-19 is a key approach to the comprehensive epidemic risk management while the assessment method is the key to the epidemic risk assessment. This paper uses the public security "triangular model" and considers the three factors, i.e., the incident(the hazard of the virus itself), the vulnerability of hazard-affected carriers(the vulnerability of vulnerable groups), and the effectiveness of emergency management to establish a multidimensional risk assessment method, which can help to provide effective method for the next epidemic response and plans of resource allocation. According to the assessment results, the top five provinces with highest comprehensive risk are respectively Hubei, Shanghai, Hong Kong, Beijing and Guangdong. Within Hubei province, the top four cities are Wuhan, E'zhou, Xiaogan and Huanggang.
COVID-19
/
public security
/
emergency ability
袁宏永, 陈涛, 黄丽达, 苏国锋, 黄全义, 戴佳昆, 余水平.
全国及湖北省新冠肺炎综合风险指数分析及比较.
科技导报,
2020
, 38
(4)
: 21
-28
.
DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2020.04.003
YUAN Hongyong, CHEN Tao, HUANG Lida, SU Guofeng, HUANG Quanyi, DAI Jiakun, YU Shuiping.
Analysis and comparison of comprehensive risk index of COVID-19 in China and Hubei province[J].
Science & Technology Review ,
2020
, 38
(4)
: 21
-28
.
DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2020.04.003
2020年第38卷第4期
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文章信息
doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2020.04.003
接收时间:2020-02-05
首发时间:2020-04-01
出版时间:2020-02-28
收稿日期:2020-02-05
修回日期:2020-02-25
通讯作者:
陈涛(通信作者),副教授,研究方向为公共安全应急理论、应急平台技术、城市灾害模拟、卫生应急、特种场所安全监测技术和应急管理,电子信箱:chentao.b@tsinghua.edu.cn
https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2020.04.003
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2种不同金属材料的力学参数
科 Family 属数 Number of genus 种数 Number of species 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) 属 Genus 种数 Number of species 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78 小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39 红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87 小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26 光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39 红菇属 Russula 17 8.13 栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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