Article(id=1242137814175916654, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, issueId=1242137805434990954, articleNumber=null, orderNo=5, doi=10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2019.19.003, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1557849600000, receivedDateStr=2019-05-15, revisedDate=1562688000000, revisedDateStr=2019-07-10, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1571448157763, onlineDateStr=2019-10-19, pubDate=1570896000000, pubDateStr=2019-10-13, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1571448157763, onlineIssueDateStr=2019-10-19, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1774078332700, creator=sys-migrate, updateTime=1774078332700, updator=sys-migrate, issue=Issue{id=1242137805434990954, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, year='2019', volume='37', issue='19', pageStart='1', pageEnd='96', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='null', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=null, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1774078330616, creator=sys-migrate, updateTime=1774078330616, updator=sys-migrate, preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, ext=null, issueFiles=null}, startPage=19, endPage=25, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1242137816549896593, articleId=1242137814175916654, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, language=EN, title=Review on characterization and foresight methods of disruptive technology, columnId=1242137812569498217, journalTitle=Science & Technology Review, columnName=Exclusive: Technology Assessment, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=Disruptive technologies applied to military have changed the form of wars and determined who will win, while to the national economy they have changed the way of lives and decided the future of the world. This paper reviews the development and characteristics of disruptive technologies, and points out that the biggest challenge facing disruptive technology development is to identify the right one. Anther difficulty is that technological breakthroughs usually need long-term accumulation and systematic promotion. By summarizing the foresight methods of disruptive technologies, this paper puts forward some suggestions on how to develop disruptive technologies, such as strengthening technology foresight, original innovation, cultivation and management., correspAuthors=null, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=IOcurOt9sO8zrVmrOqF3+g==, pdfFileSize=875582, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, authorCompany=Centre for Assessment and Demonstration Research, Academy of Military Science, Beijing 100091, China, fund=null, authors=ZHANG Shouming, ZHANG Bin, ZHANG Bifeng, LIU Yi, authorsList=ZHANG Shouming, ZHANG Bin, ZHANG Bifeng, LIU Yi), CN=ArticleExt(id=1242137815727809141, articleId=1242137814175916654, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, language=CN, title=颠覆性技术的特征与预见方法, columnId=1242137810841444947, journalTitle=科技导报, columnName=专题：科技评估, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=颠覆性技术事关国家安全，应用于军事领域改变战争规则影响战争胜负，应用于国民经济领域改变生活方式影响社会形态。综述了颠覆性技术的发展现状和内涵特征，分析发现颠覆性技术发展面临的最大挑战是技术识别，同时面临技术突破需长期积累和技术运用需系统推进等问题。总结了颠覆性技术的预见方法，针对加强颠覆性技术选择培育，提出了技术预见、加强创新、培育管理等方面的建议。, correspAuthors=null, authorNote=张守明,助理研究员,研究方向为军事评估与科技评估,电子信箱:shoumzh@163.com, correspAuthorsNote=张斌(通信作者),副研究员,研究方向为军事评估与科技评估,电子信箱:zhangbinsos@sina.com, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=pWQFksnu+F82MZIiLzWvbw==, pdfFileSize=875582, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, authorCompany=军事科学院评估论证研究中心, 北京 100091, fund=2019国家高端智库课题, authors=张守明, 张斌, 张笔峰, 刘毅, authorsList=张守明, 张斌, 张笔峰, 刘毅)}, authors=null, keywords=[Keyword(id=1242137815417430641, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242137814175916654, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=颠覆性技术), Keyword(id=1242137815492928114, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242137814175916654, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=国家安全), Keyword(id=1242137815572619891, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242137814175916654, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=技术预见), Keyword(id=1242137816176603531, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242137814175916654, language=EN, orderNo=1, keyword=disruptive technology), Keyword(id=1242137816281461133, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242137814175916654, language=EN, orderNo=1, keyword=national security), Keyword(id=1242137816390513038, 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