Article(id=1242136999876960980, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, issueId=1242136990481720010, articleNumber=null, orderNo=5, doi=10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2018.15.003, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1520092800000, receivedDateStr=2018-03-04, revisedDate=1528473600000, revisedDateStr=2018-06-09, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1535348790830, onlineDateStr=2018-08-27, pubDate=1534089600000, pubDateStr=2018-08-13, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1535348790830, onlineIssueDateStr=2018-08-27, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1774078138557, creator=sys-migrate, updateTime=1774078138557, updator=sys-migrate, issue=Issue{id=1242136990481720010, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, year='2018', volume='36', issue='15', pageStart='1', pageEnd='96', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='null', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=3, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1774078136316, creator=sys-migrate, updateTime=1774078136316, updator=sys-migrate, preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, ext=null, issueFiles=null}, startPage=24, endPage=31, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1242137003555369602, articleId=1242136999876960980, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, language=EN, title=Effects of industrial structure adjustment on air pollutant emission in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region——Based on the impulse response function of VAR model, columnId=1150494642224591153, journalTitle=Science & Technology Review, columnName=Exclusive, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has been plagued by atmospheric pollution for many years. Adjustment of industrial structure can harmonize the relationship between economic development and environmental protection. Studying the effect of industrial restructuring on air pollution has become an urgent task in reduction of regional air pollutant emissions. At present, the research on the impact of industrial structure adjustment on air pollution mainly adopts three methods:EKC curve verification, time series analysis, and spatial econometric method. This research selects time series data of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei's industrial structure and certain air-pollutant emissions during 1999 to 2015 to establish the vector autoregressive (VAR) models for the secondary industry proportion, sulfur dioxide and industrial smoke (dust) emissions, then completes the impulse responses function (IRF) analysis. The findings are that the impact of industrial structure adjustment on different pollutants in different regions are various in terms of direction, degree and duration. In terms of the direction, industrial restructuring cannot reduce emissions of all pollutants in all provinces. In terms of the degree, SO2 emissions are greatly affected and industrial dust emissions are less affected; emissions in Beijing and Hebei are greatly affected, while the impact in Tianjin is small. In terms of the duration, SO2 can be affected for a long time, but the impact on industrial dust can't last long. In Beijing and Tianjin, the positive impact can last for at least 4 years, while Hebei has only a period not longer than 2~3 years. Therefore, to ensure a high efficiency of industrial restructuring policies, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei should take a three-year reference cycle to adjust the policies. Besides, different control methods should be adopted for different pollutants. And air pollutant emission reduction work should match the local reality., correspAuthors=null, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=ySku4m2TwSNeA+r84yV88A==, pdfFileSize=1435640, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, authorCompany=School of Environment and Natural Resources, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China, fund=null, authors=SHI Lei, WANG Yue, CHENG Rong, BIAN Yangzi, authorsList=SHI Lei, WANG Yue, CHENG Rong, BIAN Yangzi), CN=ArticleExt(id=1242137002427097822, articleId=1242136999876960980, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, language=CN, title=京津冀产业结构调整对大气污染物排放的影响效应——基于向量自回归(VAR)模型的脉冲响应函数分析, columnId=1242116902361830275, journalTitle=科技导报, columnName=专题论文, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=京津冀地区已连续多年被大气污染问题所困扰,产业结构调整能够协调经济发展和环境保护之间的关系。为分析产业结构调整对大气污染的影响效应,选取1999-2015年京津冀地区产业结构和大气污染物排放数据,分别建立第二产业比例与SO2、工业烟(粉)尘排放量的向量自回归(VAR)模型,并进行脉冲响应函数(IRF)分析。研究发现,产业结构调整对不同地区不同污染物的影响方向、影响大小、影响持续时间均有所差异。为了保证产业结构调整政策的高效实施,京津冀应以3年为政策调整参考周期,对于不同的污染物采取不同的控制手段,并联系本地实际开展大气污染物减排工作。, correspAuthors=null, authorNote=石磊,副教授,研究方向为人口、资源与环境经济学,电子信箱:shil@ruc.edu.cn, correspAuthorsNote=程荣(通信作者),副教授,研究方向为环境功能材料与环境生物学、环境规划与管理,电子信箱:chengrong@ruc.edu.cn, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=iN7K/4rWLqH0gkeTx9cwRA==, pdfFileSize=1435640, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, authorCompany=中国人民大学环境学院, 北京 100872, fund=国家重点研发计划专项(2016YFC0209204), authors=石磊, 王玥, 程荣, 边杨子, authorsList=石磊, 王玥, 程荣, 边杨子)}, authors=null, keywords=[Keyword(id=1242137001978311284, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242136999876960980, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=京津冀), Keyword(id=1242137002070585973, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242136999876960980, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=产业结构调整), Keyword(id=1242137002137694839, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242136999876960980, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=大气污染物排放), Keyword(id=1242137002213192313, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242136999876960980, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=向量自回归模型), Keyword(id=1242137002276102877, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242136999876960980, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=脉冲响应函数), Keyword(id=1242137002984940258, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242136999876960980, language=EN, orderNo=1, keyword=Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei), Keyword(id=1242137003077214947, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242136999876960980, language=EN, orderNo=1, keyword=industrial structure adjustment), Keyword(id=1242137003182072548, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242136999876960980, language=EN, orderNo=1, keyword=air pollutant emissions), Keyword(id=1242137003274347237, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242136999876960980, language=EN, orderNo=1, keyword=vector autoregression model), Keyword(id=1242137003341456102, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242136999876960980, language=EN, orderNo=1, keyword=impulse response function)], refs=null, funds=null, companyList=null, figs=null, attaches=null, journal=Journal(id=1125356956822126595, delFlag=0, nameCn=科技导报, nameEn=Science & Technology Review, nameHistory1=null, nameHistory2=null, issn=1000-7857, eissn=, cn=11-1421/N, coden=null, periodic=3, language=CN, oaType=0, ccby=null, superviseOffice=null, ownerOffice=null, pubOffice=null, editorOffice=null, officeType=null, aims=null, clcCode=null, officeProv=null, officeCity=null, officeAddr=null, officeZip=null, officeEmail=null, officePhone=null, editDirector=null, officeDirector=null, officeDirectorPhone=null, officeStaffNum=null, officeEmpNum=null, coverPicUrl=aEuqdCNQUjPEKa3rm5A/8Q==, journalPrice=null, startedYear=null, abbrevIsoEn=Sci Technol Rev, journalRemark=null, publicationField=null, createdTime=null, updatedTime=1754267492363, createdBy=null, updatedBy=13701087609, firstLetterCn=S, firstLetterEn=S, subjectCode=Natural Sciences, subjectName=自然科学, subjectCodeEn=Natural Sciences, subjectNameEn=null, picCn=aEuqdCNQUjPEKa3rm5A/8Q==, picEn=4AIQ9/oc3H8lvjeELJ6WWw==, jcr=null, cjcr=null, exts=[JournalExt(id=1159045127382855686, language=CN, name=科技导报, nameHistory1=null, nameHistory2=null, managedBy=中国科学技术协会, sponsoredBy=中国科学技术协会, publishedBy=科技导报社, editorOffice=, officeProv=null, officeCity=null, officeAddr=, officeZip=, editDirector=null, officeDirector=null, officePhone=null, coverPicUrl=null, journalRemark=, submitArticleUrl=null, websiteUrl=http://www.kjdb.org/CN/home, createdTime=1754267492385, updatedTime=1754267492385, createdBy=13701087609, updatedBy=13701087609, submissionGuidelinesUrl=http://www.kjdb.org/CN/column/column7.shtml, submissionAuthorUrl=https://kjdbauthor.cast.org.cn/webm, submissionEditorUrl=https://kjdbeditor.cast.org.cn/webm/, submissionReviewUrl=https://kjdbauthor.cast.org.cn/webm, submissionCeEditorUrl=https://kjdbeditor.cast.org.cn/webm/, submissionAeEditorUrl=https://kjdbeditor.cast.org.cn/webm/, option={"copyright":""}), JournalExt(id=1159045127433187335, language=EN, name=Science & Technology Review, nameHistory1=null, nameHistory2=null, managedBy=, sponsoredBy=, publishedBy=, editorOffice=, officeProv=null, officeCity=null, officeAddr=, officeZip=, editDirector=null, officeDirector=null, officePhone=null, coverPicUrl=null, journalRemark=, submitArticleUrl=null, websiteUrl=http://www.kjdb.org/EN/home, createdTime=1754267492398, updatedTime=1754267492398, createdBy=13701087609, updatedBy=13701087609, submissionGuidelinesUrl=http://www.kjdb.org/EN/column/column7.shtml, submissionAuthorUrl=https://kjdbauthor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionEditorUrl=https://kjdbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionReviewUrl=https://kjdbauthor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionCeEditorUrl=https://kjdbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionAeEditorUrl=https://kjdbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, option={"copyright":""})], databaseList=null, tenantJournalId=1146031591421210625, websiteList=[Website(id=1146104741081231361, webName=null, webTitle=null, webDomain=null, webCopyrigh=null, webIpcNo=null, seoTitle=null, seoKeywords=null, seoDescription=null, tenantJournalId=null, journalId=1146031591421210625, journalNameCn=null, journalNameEn=null, grayFlag=null, tenantId=1146029695717560320, platformId=null, journalGroupId=null, journalGroupNameCn=null, journalGroupNameEn=null, type=1, domain=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN, language=CN, createTime=1751182263881, createBy=18614031015, updateTime=1751778001962, updateBy=18614031015, name=科技导报, tplId=1146099689490845704, title=科技导报, delFlag=0, indexPage=/home, props=[WebsiteProps(id=1148021146403992296, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146104741081231361, code=articleTextType, value=kx, createTime=1751639170504, updateTime=1751639170504, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148021146378826469, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146104741081231361, code=banner, value=null, createTime=1751639170498, updateTime=1751639170498, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148021146366243556, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146104741081231361, code=logo, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/file/pic?fileId=9GHSf7eGlIPH0Tv/OOdstA==, createTime=1751639170495, updateTime=1751639170495, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148021146395603687, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146104741081231361, code=picServerUrl, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/file/pic, createTime=1751639170502, updateTime=1751639170502, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148021146387215078, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146104741081231361, code=staticResourcePath, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/cast_kjdb_cn_619/, createTime=1751639170500, updateTime=1751639170500, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015)]), Website(id=1146105254833139715, webName=null, webTitle=null, webDomain=null, webCopyrigh=null, webIpcNo=null, seoTitle=null, seoKeywords=null, seoDescription=null, tenantJournalId=null, journalId=1146031591421210625, journalNameCn=null, journalNameEn=null, grayFlag=null, tenantId=1146029695717560320, platformId=null, journalGroupId=null, journalGroupNameCn=null, journalGroupNameEn=null, type=1, domain=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/EN, language=EN, createTime=1751182386363, createBy=18614031015, updateTime=1753500121937, updateBy=18614031015, name=科技导报, tplId=1146101810881728533, title=Science & Technology Review, delFlag=0, indexPage=/home, props=[WebsiteProps(id=1155838567709528217, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146105254833139715, code=articleTextType, value=kx, createTime=1753502988984, updateTime=1753502988984, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155838567692750998, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146105254833139715, code=banner, value=null, createTime=1753502988980, updateTime=1753502988980, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155838567688556693, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146105254833139715, code=logo, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/EN/file/pic?fileId=9GHSf7eGlIPH0Tv/OOdstA==, createTime=1753502988979, updateTime=1753502988979, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155838567705333912, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146105254833139715, code=picServerUrl, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/EN/file/pic, createTime=1753502988983, updateTime=1753502988983, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155838567701139607, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146105254833139715, code=staticResourcePath, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/cast_kjdb_en_623/, createTime=1753502988982, updateTime=1753502988982, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015)])], journalTitle=科技导报, weixinUrl=null, journalUrl=null, iacademicId=null, status=0, seqNo=null, journalTitleEn=Science & Technology Review, journalPhotoCn=aEuqdCNQUjPEKa3rm5A/8Q==, journalPhotoEn=4AIQ9/oc3H8lvjeELJ6WWw==, journalFirstLetter=S, journalRecommend=null, journalNew=null, journalCollection=1, jcrJf=null, cjcrJf=0.91, jcrJfStr=null, cjcrJfStr=null, submissionFirstDecision=null, sciSubjectClassification=null, casSubjectClassification=null, citeScore=null, totalCitationFrequency=null, icpCode=null, psCode=null, advertisingLicenseCode=null, copyrightInformation=null, country=null, option=null, provinceCode=null, provinceName=null, collectFlag=false), detailUrlCn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2018.15.003, detailUrlEn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/EN/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2018.15.003, pdfUrlCn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/PDF/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2018.15.003, pdfUrlEn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/EN/PDF/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2018.15.003, aliStartDate=null, aliEndDate=null, collectionFlag=false, citedCount=null, citedUrl=null, reference=null)
收藏切换
京津冀产业结构调整对大气污染物排放的影响效应——基于向量自回归(VAR)模型的脉冲响应函数分析
收藏切换
PDF下载
科技导报 | 专题论文 2018,36(15): 24-31
收起
收藏切换
科技导报 | 专题论文 2018, 36(15): 24-31
京津冀产业结构调整对大气污染物排放的影响效应——基于向量自回归(VAR)模型的脉冲响应函数分析
全屏
石磊, 王玥, 程荣, 边杨子
作者信息
    中国人民大学环境学院, 北京 100872

通讯作者:

程荣(通信作者),副教授,研究方向为环境功能材料与环境生物学、环境规划与管理,电子信箱:chengrong@ruc.edu.cn
Effects of industrial structure adjustment on air pollutant emission in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region——Based on the impulse response function of VAR model
Affiliations
出版时间: 2018-08-13 doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2018.15.003
文章导航
收藏切换
京津冀地区已连续多年被大气污染问题所困扰,产业结构调整能够协调经济发展和环境保护之间的关系。为分析产业结构调整对大气污染的影响效应,选取1999-2015年京津冀地区产业结构和大气污染物排放数据,分别建立第二产业比例与SO2、工业烟(粉)尘排放量的向量自回归(VAR)模型,并进行脉冲响应函数(IRF)分析。研究发现,产业结构调整对不同地区不同污染物的影响方向、影响大小、影响持续时间均有所差异。为了保证产业结构调整政策的高效实施,京津冀应以3年为政策调整参考周期,对于不同的污染物采取不同的控制手段,并联系本地实际开展大气污染物减排工作。
京津冀  /  产业结构调整  /  大气污染物排放  /  向量自回归模型  /  脉冲响应函数
The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has been plagued by atmospheric pollution for many years. Adjustment of industrial structure can harmonize the relationship between economic development and environmental protection. Studying the effect of industrial restructuring on air pollution has become an urgent task in reduction of regional air pollutant emissions. At present, the research on the impact of industrial structure adjustment on air pollution mainly adopts three methods:EKC curve verification, time series analysis, and spatial econometric method. This research selects time series data of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei's industrial structure and certain air-pollutant emissions during 1999 to 2015 to establish the vector autoregressive (VAR) models for the secondary industry proportion, sulfur dioxide and industrial smoke (dust) emissions, then completes the impulse responses function (IRF) analysis. The findings are that the impact of industrial structure adjustment on different pollutants in different regions are various in terms of direction, degree and duration. In terms of the direction, industrial restructuring cannot reduce emissions of all pollutants in all provinces. In terms of the degree, SO2 emissions are greatly affected and industrial dust emissions are less affected; emissions in Beijing and Hebei are greatly affected, while the impact in Tianjin is small. In terms of the duration, SO2 can be affected for a long time, but the impact on industrial dust can't last long. In Beijing and Tianjin, the positive impact can last for at least 4 years, while Hebei has only a period not longer than 2~3 years. Therefore, to ensure a high efficiency of industrial restructuring policies, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei should take a three-year reference cycle to adjust the policies. Besides, different control methods should be adopted for different pollutants. And air pollutant emission reduction work should match the local reality.
Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei  /  industrial structure adjustment  /  air pollutant emissions  /  vector autoregression model  /  impulse response function
石磊, 王玥, 程荣, 边杨子. 京津冀产业结构调整对大气污染物排放的影响效应——基于向量自回归(VAR)模型的脉冲响应函数分析. 科技导报, 2018 , 36 (15) : 24 -31 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2018.15.003
SHI Lei, WANG Yue, CHENG Rong, BIAN Yangzi. Effects of industrial structure adjustment on air pollutant emission in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region——Based on the impulse response function of VAR model[J]. Science & Technology Review, 2018 , 36 (15) : 24 -31 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2018.15.003
2018年第36卷第15期
PDF下载
228
55
引用本文
BibTeX
文章信息
doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2018.15.003
  • 接收时间:2018-03-04
  • 首发时间:2018-08-27
  • 出版时间:2018-08-13
补充材料
相关文章
文章信息
作者
出版历史
  • 收稿日期:2018-03-04
  • 修回日期:2018-06-09
基金
作者信息

通讯作者:

程荣(通信作者),副教授,研究方向为环境功能材料与环境生物学、环境规划与管理,电子信箱:chengrong@ruc.edu.cn
参考文献
分享链接
https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2018.15.003
分享至
全文二维码

扫描看全文

引用本文
BibTeX
本文的引用情况
2种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
关闭全屏