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科技导报 |研究论文 2014 , 32 (17) : 54 -59
基于IPA方法的福岛核事故外部成本评价
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姜子英, 刘伟富
作者信息
    中国原子能科学研究院辐射安全研究所, 北京 102413
作者简介:
姜子英,副研究员,研究方向为能源与环境,电子信箱:jziying@163.com
External Cost Evaluation of Fukushima Nuclear Accident Based on IPA Method
  • JIANG Ziying, LIU Weifu
  • Affiliations
      Department of Radiation Safety, China Institute of Atomic Energy, Beijing 102413, China
    出版时间: 2014-06-18 doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2014.17.008
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    应用影响路径分析(IPA)方法建立了福岛核事故的外部成本计量框架,对短期和中期内造成的公众撤离和避迁,农产品、海产品、食品和渔业影响,旅游业影响,核电行业损失,避难者心理影响,核污染地区的清污和恢复,以及核事故赔偿等方面影响的外部成本估算结果为8.6 日元/kW·h,对核事故后果影响做了初步探讨。结果表明,福岛核事故造成的直接辐射危害很小,但造成了广泛社会影响和巨大经济损失,而相比于海啸和地震极端自然灾害造成的损失仍然很小。福岛核事故的外部成本高昂,主要源于核事故应急措施和危机应对等社会因素。
    福岛核事故  /  外部成本  /  影响路径分析
    The impact pathway approach is applied to establish an accounting framework of externalities of Fukushima nuclear accident and the short-term and mid-term impacts are evaluated, including the public evacuation and relocation, the crops, the seafood, the food and fisheries impacts, the tourism impact, the nuclear power industry losses, the asylum seeker psychological impacts, the clean-up and the restoration of the contaminated areas, and the nuclear accident compensation. The external cost of Fukushima nuclear accident is about 8.6 JPY/kW · h. With respect to the nuclear accident consequence, it is shown that the radiological impacts are small, however, the broad social influence and the economic losses are great, though still smaller than the losses caused by the severe earthquake and tsunami. The main causes of the high external cost of Fukushima nuclear accident are the social activities in the accident emergency and the crisis response measures.
    Fukushima nuclear accident  /  external cost  /  impact pathway approach
    姜子英, 刘伟富. 基于IPA方法的福岛核事故外部成本评价. 科技导报, 2014 , 32 (17) : 54 -59 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2014.17.008
    JIANG Ziying, LIU Weifu. External Cost Evaluation of Fukushima Nuclear Accident Based on IPA Method[J]. Science & Technology Review, 2014 , 32 (17) : 54 -59 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2014.17.008

      中国原子能科学研究院院长基金项目(YZ2011-07)

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    doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2014.17.008
    • 接收时间:2013-12-03
    • 首发时间:2014-06-20
    • 出版时间:2014-06-18
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    • 收稿日期:2013-12-03
    • 修回日期:2014-02-18
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    属数
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    Number of
    species
    占总种数比例
    Percentage of
    total species (%)

    Genus
    种数
    Number of
    species
    占总种数比例
    Percentage of total
    species (%)
    鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
    小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
    多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
    红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
    小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
    光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
    红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
    栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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