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西沟尾矿泥石流危险范围及短期灾变时序预测
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科技导报 | 研究论文 2013, 31(12): 69-74
西沟尾矿泥石流危险范围及短期灾变时序预测
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周志超1, 李向全2, 刘玲霞2, 侯新伟2, 李杰彪1, 闻晓慧3
作者信息
    1. 核工业北京地质研究院,北京 100029;2. 中国地质科学院水文地质环境地质研究所,石家庄 050061;3. 中铁资源地质勘查有限公司,北京 100039

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李向全,研究员,研究方向为水文地质、地质灾害,电子信箱:lxqlm2003@yahoo.com.cn
The Prediction of Risk Range and Short-term Catastrophic Timing for Tailings Debris Flowof in West Ditch
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出版时间: 2013-04-28 doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2013.12.012
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概述了泥石流危险性评价和危险范围预测的研究现状。分析了西沟尾矿泥石流的孕灾环境地质背景,基于泥石流预测模型对泥石流危险范围进行预测评价,得出基于泥石流模型实验建立的预测模型适合于尾矿泥石流危险范围的预测。构建了灰色系统灾变预测模型,并对近期泥石流灾害的灾变时间序列进行预测,为尾矿泥石流灾害评价及防治减灾提供了重要依据。
泥石流  /  环境地质  /  危险范围  /  灾变预测
The main research achievements in the area of risk assessment, hazardous dimension, and catastrophic prediction of debris flow are reviewed and summarized. The environmental geological condition of tailings debris flow in west ditch is introduced by the method of field survey and local observation. By taking use of the experiment model established based on 31 sets of debris flow experiment data, the hazardous dimension of debris flow is predicted, and the maximum accumulation length and area in West Ditch is obtained, comparing with the results of field investigation, it could be concluded that the experiment model method is more suitable for predicting the hazardous dimension of tailings debris flow. The gray system forecast model is used to predict the recently disaster time sequence, the credibility is good enough as contrasted with the monitor result, it is able to provide a reference for the risk assessment and disaster mitigation of debris flow. It is also able to provide new ideas for the disaster prevention and mitigation assessment caused by tailings debris flow.
debris flow  /  environmental geological  /  risk range  /  catastrophic prediction
周志超;李向全;刘玲霞;侯新伟;李杰彪;闻晓慧. 西沟尾矿泥石流危险范围及短期灾变时序预测. 科技导报, 2013 , 31 (12) : 69 -74 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2013.12.012
ZHOU Zhichao;LI Xiangquan;LIU Lingxia;HOU Xinwei;LI Jiebiao;WEN Xiaohui. The Prediction of Risk Range and Short-term Catastrophic Timing for Tailings Debris Flowof in West Ditch[J]. Science & Technology Review, 2013 , 31 (12) : 69 -74 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2013.12.012
2013年第31卷第12期
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doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2013.12.012
  • 接收时间:2013-01-08
  • 首发时间:2013-04-28
  • 出版时间:2013-04-28
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  • 收稿日期:2013-01-08
  • 修回日期:2013-02-16
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李向全,研究员,研究方向为水文地质、地质灾害,电子信箱:lxqlm2003@yahoo.com.cn
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2种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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