Article(id=1242129193169916397, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, issueId=1242129180830273988, articleNumber=null, orderNo=null, doi=10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2012.22.005, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1334419200000, receivedDateStr=2012-04-15, revisedDate=1341417600000, revisedDateStr=2012-07-05, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1344355200000, onlineDateStr=2012-08-08, pubDate=1344355200000, pubDateStr=2012-08-08, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1344355200000, onlineIssueDateStr=2012-08-08, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1774076277293, creator=sys-migrate, updateTime=1774076277293, updator=sys-migrate, issue=Issue{id=1242129180830273988, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, year='2012', volume='30', issue='22', pageStart='3', pageEnd='96', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='1344355200000', pubDateStr='2012-08-08', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=3, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1774076274351, creator='sys-migrate', updateTime=1774076274351, updator='sys-migrate', preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, articleTotal=null, ext=null, issueFiles=null, downloadFileDto=null}, startPage=43, endPage=47, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1242129195413869055, articleId=1242129193169916397, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, language=EN, title=Modeling of Vehicle Collision Risk Based on Probability Analysis, columnId=1242116080374710456, journalTitle=Science & Technology Review, columnName=Articles, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=Vehicle collision risk model is proposed for vehicle collision avoidance system in this paper. Probability attributions of collision risk and vehicle kinematical parameters were analyzed at first. Then the risk models based on probability computation for angle collision is established. Simulation evaluation was also implemented at many common scenarios employing micro simulation tool of Vissim. First of all, this paper divided the process of collision for car-following into two stages: leading vehicle decelerates and the following vehicle can not avoid the collision on the condition of it. On the basis of that, the probability of rear-end collision which used to express the risk of car-following was calculated using the method of total probability. What's more, a deceleration probability density function model was developed. In the analysis of the condition on which collision occur while leading vehicle decelerating, brake system response time and sticking coefficient were taken into account and this make the model forceful to reflect the real traffic situation. To evaluate performance of the new method, value of risk was calculated as a function of the data generated from Vissim. Simulation results indicate that the new approach is easer to reflex safety situation and more suitable for intersection collision avoidance system., authors=ZHU Tong, XIE Chenjiang, WANG Qiang, authorsList=ZHU Tong;XIE Chenjiang;WANG Qiang, authorCompany=Key Laboratory of Automotive Transportation Safety Technology, Changan University, Xi'an 710064, China, correspAuthors=null, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=rXHprxE3ssMORgAo7pK6KA==, pdfFileSize=1453454, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null), CN=ArticleExt(id=1242129194457567732, articleId=1242129193169916397, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, language=CN, title=基于概率计算的车辆碰撞风险模型研究, columnId=1146540929516700224, journalTitle=科技导报, columnName=研究论文, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=为研究面向车辆防撞系统的碰撞风险模型,分析了车辆碰撞风险的概率内涵,根据运动学理论并考虑车辆运行特征,建立了基于概率计算的侧向碰撞风险模型,运用Vissim微观交通仿真等方法模拟常见的车辆运行场景,利用输出数据离线计算风险值,并对仿真结果进行评价。将追尾碰撞发生的过程分为前车减速与前车减速条件下的碰撞两起事件,运用条件概率的思想求出追尾事故发生的概率来表征跟车风险。从安全的本质出发提出了跟车风险的表述方法,建立密度函数模型。在分析前车减速条件下追尾碰撞条件时,从汽车地面力学理论的角度补充考虑了制动系统作用时间、附着系数等影响因素,使模型更接近实际状况,并且将判断的标准由停车距离扩展到了制动全过程的位移。通过与其他风险模型产生的计算结果进行比较分析,发现基于概率计算的碰撞风险模型,能够更好地反映实际交通安全状态,更适用于车辆防碰撞系统。, authors=朱彤, 谢陈江, 王抢, authorsList=朱彤;谢陈江;王抢, authorCompany=长安大学汽车运输安全保障技术交通行业重点实验室,西安 710064, correspAuthors=null, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=S/aDFOT3kJ93JMoS0BBcgw==, pdfFileSize=1453454, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null)}, authors=null, keywords=[Keyword(id=1242129194012971503, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242129193169916397, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=交通安全), Keyword(id=1242129194092663280, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242129193169916397, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=车辆防撞系统), Keyword(id=1242129194168160753, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242129193169916397, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=风险模型), Keyword(id=1242129194252046834, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242129193169916397, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=概率计算), Keyword(id=1242129194327544307, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242129193169916397, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=仿真), Keyword(id=1242129194960884217, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242129193169916397, language=EN, orderNo=1, keyword=traffic safety), Keyword(id=1242129195032187386, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242129193169916397, language=EN, orderNo=1, keyword=collision avoidance system), Keyword(id=1242129195107684860, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242129193169916397, language=EN, orderNo=1, keyword=risk model), Keyword(id=1242129195187376637, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242129193169916397, language=EN, orderNo=1, keyword=probability computation), Keyword(id=1242129195262874110, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242129193169916397, language=EN, orderNo=1, keyword=simulation)], refs=null, funds=null, companyList=null, figs=null, attaches=null, journal=Journal(id=1125356956822126595, delFlag=0, nameCn=科技导报, nameEn=Science & Technology Review, nameHistory1=null, nameHistory2=null, issn=1000-7857, eissn=, cn=11-1421/N, coden=null, periodic=3, language=CN, oaType=0, ccby=null, superviseOffice=null, ownerOffice=null, pubOffice=null, editorOffice=null, officeType=null, aims=null, clcCode=null, officeProv=null, officeCity=null, officeAddr=null, officeZip=null, officeEmail=null, officePhone=null, editDirector=null, officeDirector=null, officeDirectorPhone=null, officeStaffNum=null, officeEmpNum=null, coverPicUrl=wfghvu3bhh/dKxuZ+ucVHA==, journalPrice=null, startedYear=null, abbrevIsoEn=Sci Technol Rev, journalRemark=null, publicationField=null, createdTime=null, updatedTime=1774230116083, createdBy=null, updatedBy=13041195026, firstLetterCn=S, firstLetterEn=S, subjectCode=Natural Sciences, subjectName=自然科学, subjectCodeEn=Natural Sciences, subjectNameEn=null, picCn=wfghvu3bhh/dKxuZ+ucVHA==, picEn=yjSfclmpNm7ihn9NbTZ69g==, jcr=null, cjcr=null, exts=[JournalExt(id=1242774439910290156, language=CN, name=科技导报, nameHistory1=null, nameHistory2=null, managedBy=中国科学技术协会, sponsoredBy=中国科学技术协会, publishedBy=科技导报社, editorOffice=, officeProv=null, officeCity=null, officeAddr=, officeZip=, editDirector=, officeDirector=null, officePhone=null, coverPicUrl=null, journalRemark=, submitArticleUrl=null, websiteUrl=http://www.kjdb.org/CN/home, createdTime=1774230116107, updatedTime=1774230116107, createdBy=13041195026, updatedBy=13041195026, submissionGuidelinesUrl=http://www.kjdb.org/CN/column/column7.shtml, submissionAuthorUrl=https://kjdbauthor.cast.org.cn/webm, submissionEditorUrl=https://kjdbeditor.cast.org.cn/webm/, submissionReviewUrl=https://kjdbauthor.cast.org.cn/webm, submissionCeEditorUrl=https://kjdbeditor.cast.org.cn/webm/, submissionAeEditorUrl=https://kjdbeditor.cast.org.cn/webm/, option={"copyright":""}), JournalExt(id=1242774439960621805, language=EN, name=Science & Technology Review, nameHistory1=null, nameHistory2=null, managedBy=, sponsoredBy=, publishedBy=, editorOffice=, officeProv=null, officeCity=null, officeAddr=, officeZip=, editDirector=, officeDirector=null, officePhone=null, coverPicUrl=null, journalRemark=, submitArticleUrl=null, websiteUrl=http://www.kjdb.org/EN/home, createdTime=1774230116119, updatedTime=1774230116119, createdBy=13041195026, updatedBy=13041195026, submissionGuidelinesUrl=http://www.kjdb.org/EN/column/column7.shtml, submissionAuthorUrl=https://kjdbauthor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionEditorUrl=https://kjdbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionReviewUrl=https://kjdbauthor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionCeEditorUrl=https://kjdbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionAeEditorUrl=https://kjdbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, option={"copyright":""})], databaseList=null, tenantJournalId=1146031591421210625, websiteList=[Website(id=1146104741081231361, webName=null, webTitle=null, webDomain=null, webCopyrigh=null, webIpcNo=null, seoTitle=null, seoKeywords=null, seoDescription=null, tenantJournalId=null, journalId=1146031591421210625, journalNameCn=null, journalNameEn=null, grayFlag=null, tenantId=1146029695717560320, platformId=null, journalGroupId=null, journalGroupNameCn=null, journalGroupNameEn=null, type=1, domain=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN, language=CN, createTime=1751182263881, createBy=18614031015, updateTime=1751778001962, updateBy=18614031015, name=科技导报, tplId=1146099689490845704, title=科技导报, delFlag=0, indexPage=/home, props=[WebsiteProps(id=1148021146403992296, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146104741081231361, code=articleTextType, value=kx, createTime=1751639170504, updateTime=1751639170504, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148021146378826469, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146104741081231361, code=banner, value=null, createTime=1751639170498, updateTime=1751639170498, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148021146366243556, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146104741081231361, code=logo, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/file/pic?fileId=9GHSf7eGlIPH0Tv/OOdstA==, createTime=1751639170495, updateTime=1751639170495, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148021146395603687, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146104741081231361, code=picServerUrl, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/file/pic, createTime=1751639170502, updateTime=1751639170502, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148021146387215078, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146104741081231361, code=staticResourcePath, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/cast_kjdb_cn_619/, createTime=1751639170500, updateTime=1751639170500, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015)]), Website(id=1146105254833139715, webName=null, webTitle=null, webDomain=null, webCopyrigh=null, webIpcNo=null, seoTitle=null, seoKeywords=null, seoDescription=null, tenantJournalId=null, journalId=1146031591421210625, journalNameCn=null, journalNameEn=null, grayFlag=null, tenantId=1146029695717560320, platformId=null, journalGroupId=null, journalGroupNameCn=null, journalGroupNameEn=null, type=1, domain=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/EN, language=EN, createTime=1751182386363, createBy=18614031015, updateTime=1753500121937, updateBy=18614031015, name=科技导报, tplId=1146101810881728533, title=Science & Technology Review, delFlag=0, indexPage=/home, props=[WebsiteProps(id=1155838567709528217, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146105254833139715, code=articleTextType, value=kx, createTime=1753502988984, updateTime=1753502988984, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155838567692750998, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146105254833139715, code=banner, value=null, createTime=1753502988980, updateTime=1753502988980, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155838567688556693, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146105254833139715, code=logo, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/EN/file/pic?fileId=9GHSf7eGlIPH0Tv/OOdstA==, createTime=1753502988979, updateTime=1753502988979, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155838567705333912, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146105254833139715, code=picServerUrl, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/EN/file/pic, createTime=1753502988983, updateTime=1753502988983, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155838567701139607, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1146105254833139715, code=staticResourcePath, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/cast_kjdb_en_623/, createTime=1753502988982, updateTime=1753502988982, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015)])], journalTitle=科技导报, weixinUrl=null, journalUrl=null, iacademicId=null, status=1, seqNo=null, journalTitleEn=Science & Technology Review, journalPhotoCn=wfghvu3bhh/dKxuZ+ucVHA==, journalPhotoEn=yjSfclmpNm7ihn9NbTZ69g==, journalFirstLetter=S, journalRecommend=null, journalNew=null, journalCollection=1, jcrJf=null, cjcrJf=0.91, jcrJfStr=null, cjcrJfStr=null, submissionFirstDecision=null, sciSubjectClassification=null, casSubjectClassification=null, citeScore=null, totalCitationFrequency=null, icpCode=null, psCode=null, advertisingLicenseCode=null, copyrightInformation=null, country=null, option=, provinceCode=null, provinceName=null, collectFlag=false, interPubPlatform=null, interPubPlatformUrl=null), detailUrlCn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2012.22.005, detailUrlEn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/EN/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2012.22.005, pdfUrlCn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/PDF/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2012.22.005, pdfUrlEn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/EN/PDF/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2012.22.005, aliStartDate=null, aliEndDate=null, collectionFlag=false, citedCount=null, citedUrl=null, previewStatus=0, delFlag=0, hasFullText=0, orderTime=1344355200000, fullTextJson=null, articleText=null, reference=null)
收藏切换
基于概率计算的车辆碰撞风险模型研究
收藏切换
PDF下载
科技导报 | 研究论文 2012,30(22): 43-47
收起
收藏切换
科技导报 | 研究论文 2012, 30(22): 43-47
基于概率计算的车辆碰撞风险模型研究
全屏
朱彤, 谢陈江, 王抢
作者信息
    长安大学汽车运输安全保障技术交通行业重点实验室,西安 710064
Modeling of Vehicle Collision Risk Based on Probability Analysis
Affiliations
出版时间: 2012-08-08 doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2012.22.005
文章导航
收藏切换
为研究面向车辆防撞系统的碰撞风险模型,分析了车辆碰撞风险的概率内涵,根据运动学理论并考虑车辆运行特征,建立了基于概率计算的侧向碰撞风险模型,运用Vissim微观交通仿真等方法模拟常见的车辆运行场景,利用输出数据离线计算风险值,并对仿真结果进行评价。将追尾碰撞发生的过程分为前车减速与前车减速条件下的碰撞两起事件,运用条件概率的思想求出追尾事故发生的概率来表征跟车风险。从安全的本质出发提出了跟车风险的表述方法,建立密度函数模型。在分析前车减速条件下追尾碰撞条件时,从汽车地面力学理论的角度补充考虑了制动系统作用时间、附着系数等影响因素,使模型更接近实际状况,并且将判断的标准由停车距离扩展到了制动全过程的位移。通过与其他风险模型产生的计算结果进行比较分析,发现基于概率计算的碰撞风险模型,能够更好地反映实际交通安全状态,更适用于车辆防碰撞系统。
交通安全  /  车辆防撞系统  /  风险模型  /  概率计算  /  仿真
Vehicle collision risk model is proposed for vehicle collision avoidance system in this paper. Probability attributions of collision risk and vehicle kinematical parameters were analyzed at first. Then the risk models based on probability computation for angle collision is established. Simulation evaluation was also implemented at many common scenarios employing micro simulation tool of Vissim. First of all, this paper divided the process of collision for car-following into two stages: leading vehicle decelerates and the following vehicle can not avoid the collision on the condition of it. On the basis of that, the probability of rear-end collision which used to express the risk of car-following was calculated using the method of total probability. What's more, a deceleration probability density function model was developed. In the analysis of the condition on which collision occur while leading vehicle decelerating, brake system response time and sticking coefficient were taken into account and this make the model forceful to reflect the real traffic situation. To evaluate performance of the new method, value of risk was calculated as a function of the data generated from Vissim. Simulation results indicate that the new approach is easer to reflex safety situation and more suitable for intersection collision avoidance system.
traffic safety  /  collision avoidance system  /  risk model  /  probability computation  /  simulation
朱彤;谢陈江;王抢. 基于概率计算的车辆碰撞风险模型研究. 科技导报, 2012 , 30 (22) : 43 -47 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2012.22.005
ZHU Tong;XIE Chenjiang;WANG Qiang. Modeling of Vehicle Collision Risk Based on Probability Analysis[J]. Science & Technology Review, 2012 , 30 (22) : 43 -47 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2012.22.005
2012年第30卷第22期
PDF下载
332
113
引用本文
BibTeX
文章信息
doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2012.22.005
  • 接收时间:2012-04-15
  • 首发时间:2012-08-08
  • 出版时间:2012-08-08
补充材料
相关文章
文章信息
作者
出版历史
  • 收稿日期:2012-04-15
  • 修回日期:2012-07-05
基金
作者信息
参考文献
分享链接
https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2012.22.005
分享至
全文二维码

扫描看全文

引用本文
BibTeX
本文的引用情况
2种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
关闭全屏