Article(id=1208362383584641050, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, issueId=1208362378329174732, articleNumber=null, orderNo=null, doi=10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2024.06.00649, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=research-article, receivedDate=1717516800000, receivedDateStr=2024-06-05, revisedDate=1753891200000, revisedDateStr=2025-07-31, acceptedDate=1758816000000, acceptedDateStr=2025-09-26, onlineDate=1766025642533, onlineDateStr=2025-12-18, pubDate=1760284800000, pubDateStr=2025-10-13, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1764000000000, onlineIssueDateStr=2025-11-25, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1766025642533, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1774080132333, updator=sys-migrate, issue=Issue{id=1208362378329174732, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, year='2025', volume='43', issue='19', pageStart='1', pageEnd='136', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='1760284800000', pubDateStr='2025-10-13', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=1, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1766025641281, creator='13701087609', updateTime=1778551765812, updator='13041195026', preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, articleTotal=null, ext={EN=IssueExt(id=1260900752743064342, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, issueId=1208362378329174732, language=EN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=), CN=IssueExt(id=1260900752743064343, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, issueId=1208362378329174732, language=CN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=)}, issueFiles=null, downloadFileDto=null}, startPage=129, endPage=132, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1208362383920185390, articleId=1208362383584641050, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, language=EN, title=Spatio−temporal evolution and policy implications of transportation safety development efficiency in China, columnId=1150494643415773491, journalTitle=Science & Technology Review, columnName=Policy Forum, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=
To scientifically assess the effectiveness of safety development in China's transportation sector, this study employs the SBM model and the GTWR model to evaluate the transport safety development efficiency across 30 provinces in China from 2005 to 2017. The results reveal a steady increase in overall efficiency, but with pronounced regional disparities, exhibiting a spatial pattern of "higher in the east and lower in the west." The evolution of efficiency also demonstrates significant spatial clustering and a "club convergence" effect. Factors such as road density and per capita vehicle ownership contribute positively to efficiency improvement, whereas education level, income, and industrial structure exert a negative influence in most regions. These findings indicate that improvements in traffic safety do not automatically accompany socioeconomic development. Accordingly, this study recommends advancing intelligent governance systems, establishing regional coordination mechanisms, and fostering public participation to enhance the overall effectiveness of traffic safety governance.
, authors=null, authorsList=Jian CHAN, Qi LI, Zhengzhong XU, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=Zhengzhong XU, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=
All rights reserved. Unauthorized reproduction is prohibited., copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=null, pdfFileSize=null, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null), CN=ArticleExt(id=1208362384255729732, articleId=1208362383584641050, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, language=CN, title=中国交通运输安全发展效率时空演化与对策, columnId=1150494643549991220, journalTitle=科技导报, columnName=政策建议, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=
为科学评估中国交通运输行业的安全发展成效，基于超效率松弛度量（SBM）模型和地理时空加权回归（GTWR）模型，测度了2005—2017年中国30个省份交通运输安全发展效率并分析其演化特征与影响机制。研究发现，中国整体安全发展效率虽稳步上升，但区域差异显著，呈现“东高西低”分布格局，且效率演化表现出明显的空间集聚和“俱乐部趋同”特征；道路密度、人均汽车拥有量等对效率提升有积极作用，教育、收入和产业结构等在多数地区反呈负效应，表明交通安全水平并不随社会发展自动改善。基于此，提出了推进智慧治理体系建设、构建区域协同机制和激发公众参与活力等建议，以提升交通安全治理效能。
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版权所有，未经授权，不得转载。, copyrightOwner=《科技导报》编辑部, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=2XInYSUvZ1HLiwn6L4vwTw==, magXml=2XInYSUvZ1HLiwn6L4vwTw==, pdfUrl=null, pdf=Ri42fErZyBlJugz11tzNeg==, pdfFileSize=655879, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=2KMEKC0ZB09L7vapjz+27A==, mapNumber=null, fund=null)}, authors=[Author(id=1242145370009055700, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1208362383584641050, orderNo=0, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=chanjian70@163.com, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1242145370084553175, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1208362383584641050, authorId=1242145370009055700, language=EN, stringName=Jian CHAN, firstName=Jian, middleName=null, lastName=CHAN, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=
1, address=1. National Academy of Innovation Strategy, Beijing 100038, China, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1242145370147467737, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1208362383584641050, authorId=1242145370009055700, language=CN, stringName=产健, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=
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产健，助理研究员，研究方向为区域经济、科技创新战略与政策，电子信箱：chanjian70@163.com
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产健，助理研究员，研究方向为区域经济、科技创新战略与政策，电子信箱：chanjian70@163.com
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11(12): 180., articleTitle=Macroscopic spatial analysis of the impact of socioeconomic, land use and mobility factors on the frequency of traffic accidents in bogotá, refAbstract=null)], funds=[Fund(id=1242145371649028600, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1208362383584641050, awardId=null, language=CN, fundingSource=国家重点研发计划项目（2021YFC3001500）, fundOrder=null, country=null)], companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1242145369807729095, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1208362383584641050, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1242145369816117704, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1208362383584641050, companyId=1242145369807729095, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=1. National Academy of Innovation Strategy, Beijing 100038, China), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1242145369824506313, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1208362383584641050, companyId=1242145369807729095, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=1. 中国科协创新战略研究院，北京 100038)]), AuthorCompany(id=1242145369900003789, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1208362383584641050, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1242145369912586703, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1208362383584641050, companyId=1242145369900003789, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=2. Economics Teaching and Research Department of the Central Party School (National School of Administration), Beijing 100091, China), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1242145369920975312, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1208362383584641050, companyId=1242145369900003789, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=2. 中共中央党校（国家行政学院）经济学教研部，北京 100091)])], figs=[ArticleFig(id=1242145371334455795, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1208362383584641050, language=EN, label=null, caption=null, figureFileSmall=null, figureFileBig=null, tableContent=
| 空间滞后类型 | t /（t+1） | 省份/个 | 低效率 | 中低效率 | 中高效率 | 高效率 |
| 低效率邻域 | 低效率 | 18 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0 | 0.200 |
| 中低效率 | 27 | 0.148 | 0.556 | 0.111 | 0.185 |
| 中高效率 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| 高效率 | 5 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 中低效率邻域 | 低效率 | 27 | 0.296 | 0.370 | 0 | 0.333 |
| 中低效率 | 41 | 0.171 | 0.463 | 0.049 | 0.317 |
| 中高效率 | 6 | 0 | 0.500 | 0 | 0.500 |
| 高效率 | 26 | 0.346 | 0.385 | 0.115 | 0.154 |
| 中高效率邻域 | 低效率 | 9 | 0.333 | 0.444 | 0 | 0.222 |
| 中低效率 | 40 | 0.200 | 0.600 | 0.075 | 0.125 |
| 中高效率 | 8 | 0.125 | 0.625 | 0.125 | 0.125 |
| 高效率 | 30 | 0.167 | 0.333 | 0.100 | 0.400 |
| 高效率邻域 | 低效率 | 10 | 0 | 0.300 | 0 | 0.400 |
| 中低效率 | 53 | 0.132 | 0.566 | 0.057 | 0.245 |
| 中高效率 | 12 | 0 | 0.417 | 0.083 | 0.500 |
| 高效率 | 62 | 0.081 | 0.339 | 0.129 | 0.452 |
), ArticleFig(id=1242145371397370357, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1208362383584641050, language=CN, label=表1, caption=
2005—2017年中国省域交通运输安全发展效率空间马尔可夫转移概率矩阵
, figureFileSmall=null, figureFileBig=null, tableContent=
| 空间滞后类型 | t /（t+1） | 省份/个 | 低效率 | 中低效率 | 中高效率 | 高效率 |
| 低效率邻域 | 低效率 | 18 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0 | 0.200 |
| 中低效率 | 27 | 0.148 | 0.556 | 0.111 | 0.185 |
| 中高效率 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| 高效率 | 5 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 中低效率邻域 | 低效率 | 27 | 0.296 | 0.370 | 0 | 0.333 |
| 中低效率 | 41 | 0.171 | 0.463 | 0.049 | 0.317 |
| 中高效率 | 6 | 0 | 0.500 | 0 | 0.500 |
| 高效率 | 26 | 0.346 | 0.385 | 0.115 | 0.154 |
| 中高效率邻域 | 低效率 | 9 | 0.333 | 0.444 | 0 | 0.222 |
| 中低效率 | 40 | 0.200 | 0.600 | 0.075 | 0.125 |
| 中高效率 | 8 | 0.125 | 0.625 | 0.125 | 0.125 |
| 高效率 | 30 | 0.167 | 0.333 | 0.100 | 0.400 |
| 高效率邻域 | 低效率 | 10 | 0 | 0.300 | 0 | 0.400 |
| 中低效率 | 53 | 0.132 | 0.566 | 0.057 | 0.245 |
| 中高效率 | 12 | 0 | 0.417 | 0.083 | 0.500 |
| 高效率 | 62 | 0.081 | 0.339 | 0.129 | 0.452 |
), ArticleFig(id=1242145371460284918, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1208362383584641050, language=EN, label=null, caption=null, figureFileSmall=null, figureFileBig=null, tableContent=
指标
统计量 | 收入
水平 | 教育
水平 | 道路
密度 | 人均汽车
拥有量 | 产业结构
水平 | 人口
密度 |
| 下四分位 | −0.274 | −1.045 | −0.105 | −0.062 | −0.285 | 0.035 |
| 中位数 | −0.113 | −0.377 | 0.012 | 0.051 | −0.058 | 0.145 |
| 上四分位 | 0.037 | 0.130 | 0.175 | 0.156 | 0.065 | 0.292 |
| 最大值 | 0.573 | 1.623 | 0.651 | 0.430 | 0.399 | 3.730 |
| 最小值 | −0.646 | −2.922 | −0.627 | −0.948 | −0.955 | −1.064 |
| 平均值 | −0.097 | −0.420 | 0.014 | 0.024 | −0.111 | 0.183 |
), ArticleFig(id=1242145371527393783, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1208362383584641050, language=CN, label=表2, caption=
2005—2017年基于GTWR模型的影响因素回归系数统计分析
, figureFileSmall=null, figureFileBig=null, tableContent=
指标
统计量 | 收入
水平 | 教育
水平 | 道路
密度 | 人均汽车
拥有量 | 产业结构
水平 | 人口
密度 |
| 下四分位 | −0.274 | −1.045 | −0.105 | −0.062 | −0.285 | 0.035 |
| 中位数 | −0.113 | −0.377 | 0.012 | 0.051 | −0.058 | 0.145 |
| 上四分位 | 0.037 | 0.130 | 0.175 | 0.156 | 0.065 | 0.292 |
| 最大值 | 0.573 | 1.623 | 0.651 | 0.430 | 0.399 | 3.730 |
| 最小值 | −0.646 | −2.922 | −0.627 | −0.948 | −0.955 | −1.064 |
| 平均值 | −0.097 | −0.420 | 0.014 | 0.024 | −0.111 | 0.183 |
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