Article(id=1242140129993765237, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, issueId=1242140121152168931, articleNumber=null, orderNo=6, doi=10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2022.21.004, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1654185600000, receivedDateStr=2022-06-03, revisedDate=1661788800000, revisedDateStr=2022-08-30, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1669802150073, onlineDateStr=2022-11-30, pubDate=1668268800000, pubDateStr=2022-11-13, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1669802150073, onlineIssueDateStr=2022-11-30, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1774078884834, creator=sys-migrate, updateTime=1774078884834, updator=sys-migrate, issue=Issue{id=1242140121152168931, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, year='2022', volume='40', issue='21', pageStart='1', pageEnd='128', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='1668268800000', pubDateStr='2022-11-13', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=null, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1774078882728, creator='sys-migrate', updateTime=1774078882728, updator='sys-migrate', preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, articleTotal=null, ext=null, issueFiles=null, downloadFileDto=null}, startPage=31, endPage=43, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1242140133638610945, articleId=1242140129993765237, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, language=EN, title=Analysis of rare earth demand for global wind power development under carbon neutrality, columnId=1242140132753617293, journalTitle=Science & Technology Review, columnName=Exclusive: Primary mineral product supply security strategy, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=To clarify the rare earth demand growth driven by global rapid expansion of wind power under carbon neutrality and make the rare earth resource strategic planning for wind power development, this paper intends to predict global 10 major countries and regions' rare earth demand for wind power development by 2040 through material flow analysis, studies the implications of technology progress and recycling on rare earth supply and demand structure, and explores the advantages and issues of China's rare earth industry under carbon neutrality. Our results show that: 1) carbon neutrality climate target will bring about a rapid expansion of global demand for rare earth elements, which is about twice that under the stated policies; 2) global wind power development will lead to severe rare earth supply pressure, and material technology progress and recycling will play important roles in alleviating this pressure; 3) China will still occupy a leading position in the global rare earth industry chain in the next 20 years, but face competition and challenges from global diversified rare earth suppliers, such as Australia, Myanmar, Vietnam, North America, etc. We propose that China should coordinate "two resources" and "two markets" at home and abroad, make full use of the advantages of rare earth processing industry agglomeration, strengthen technological competitiveness of highperformance magnet materials and their related industries, and accelerate the construction of rare earth permanent magnet recycling industrial chain., authors=CHEN Liyang1, YANG Yuyao1, WANG Peng2,3,4, GUO Yongmei5, ZHAO Shen3,6, CHEN Lihua1, CHEN Weiqiang2,4, authorsList=CHEN Liyang, YANG Yuyao, WANG Peng, GUO Yongmei, ZHAO Shen, CHEN Lihua, CHEN Weiqiang, authorCompany=1. Guanghua School of Management, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China;
2. Institute of Urban Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Key Laboratory of Urban Environment and Health, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xiamen 361021, China;
3. Ganjiang Innovation Academy, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Ganzhou 341000, China;
4. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;
5. State Key Laboratory of Rare Earth Resources Research and Comprehensive Utilization in Bayan Obo, Baotou Rare Earth Research Institute, Baotou 014020, China;
6. Faculty of Materials Metallurgy and Chemistry, Jiangxi University of Science and Technology, Ganzhou 341000, China, correspAuthors=null, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=C0mxRwnDg47g55DUgtSrbg==, pdfFileSize=2788100, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null), CN=ArticleExt(id=1242140132648756214, articleId=1242140129993765237, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, language=CN, title=碳中和驱动下的全球风电发展稀土需求, columnId=1242140131881202046, journalTitle=科技导报, columnName=专题:初级矿产品供应安全战略, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=通过物质流分析方法,预测了世界10个主要国家和地区到2040年风电发展的稀土需求,研判了技术进步、回收等因素对稀土供需格局的影响,探究了碳中和背景下中国稀土产业的优势和面临的问题。结果显示:(1)碳中和气候目标将带来全球稀土资源需求的快速扩张,约是既定政策下稀土需求的2倍;(2)全球风电发展将导致稀土面临供不应求的压力,风机材料技术进步及稀土回收可缓解稀土供应压力;(3)未来20年中国在全球稀土产业链中仍将占据主导地位,但也面临着全球稀土供应多元化的竞争和挑战,澳大利亚、缅甸、越南等地将成为中国以外的主要稀土供应地区。建议中国积极统筹国内国外“2种资源”“2个市场”,充分利用稀土冶炼加工产业集聚的优势,加强高能性能磁材及其关联产业的科技竞争力,并加快推动稀土永磁回收产业链建设。, authors=陈立洋1, 杨宇瑶1, 汪鹏2,3,4, 郭咏梅5, 赵燊3,6, 陈丽华1, 陈伟强2,4, authorsList=陈立洋, 杨宇瑶, 汪鹏, 郭咏梅, 赵燊, 陈丽华, 陈伟强, authorCompany=1. 北京大学光华管理学院, 北京 100871;
2. 中国科学院城市环境研究所, 中国科学院城市环境与健康重点实验室, 厦门 361021;
3. 中国科学院赣江创新研究院, 赣州 341000;
4. 中国科学院大学, 北京 100049;
5. 包头稀土研究院, 白云鄂博稀土资源研究与综合利用国家重点实验室, 包头 014020;
6. 江西理工大学材料冶金化学学部, 赣州 341000, correspAuthors=null, authorNote=陈立洋,博士研究生,研究方向为资源经济学与供应链,电子信箱: chenliyang@pku.edu.cn, correspAuthorsNote=陈伟强(通信作者),研究员,研究方向为产业生态学与绿色系统工程,电子信箱:wqchen@iue.ac.cn, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=MlEfNcv45yOXlzyib3+mQw==, pdfFileSize=2788100, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=国家自然科学基金国际(地区)合作与交流项目(71961147003);国家自然科学基金项目(71904182);北方稀土横向咨询课题(BFXT/JL-SJ-01))}, authors=null, keywords=[Keyword(id=1242140132300628979, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242140129993765237, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=稀土金属), Keyword(id=1242140132401292276, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031591421210625, articleId=1242140129993765237, language=CN, 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碳中和驱动下的全球风电发展稀土需求
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陈立洋1, 杨宇瑶1, 汪鹏2,3,4, 郭咏梅5, 赵燊3,6, 陈丽华1, 陈伟强2,4
作者信息
    1. 北京大学光华管理学院, 北京 100871;
    2. 中国科学院城市环境研究所, 中国科学院城市环境与健康重点实验室, 厦门 361021;
    3. 中国科学院赣江创新研究院, 赣州 341000;
    4. 中国科学院大学, 北京 100049;
    5. 包头稀土研究院, 白云鄂博稀土资源研究与综合利用国家重点实验室, 包头 014020;
    6. 江西理工大学材料冶金化学学部, 赣州 341000

通讯作者:

陈伟强(通信作者),研究员,研究方向为产业生态学与绿色系统工程,电子信箱:wqchen@iue.ac.cn
Analysis of rare earth demand for global wind power development under carbon neutrality
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出版时间: 2022-11-13 doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2022.21.004
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通过物质流分析方法,预测了世界10个主要国家和地区到2040年风电发展的稀土需求,研判了技术进步、回收等因素对稀土供需格局的影响,探究了碳中和背景下中国稀土产业的优势和面临的问题。结果显示:(1)碳中和气候目标将带来全球稀土资源需求的快速扩张,约是既定政策下稀土需求的2倍;(2)全球风电发展将导致稀土面临供不应求的压力,风机材料技术进步及稀土回收可缓解稀土供应压力;(3)未来20年中国在全球稀土产业链中仍将占据主导地位,但也面临着全球稀土供应多元化的竞争和挑战,澳大利亚、缅甸、越南等地将成为中国以外的主要稀土供应地区。建议中国积极统筹国内国外“2种资源”“2个市场”,充分利用稀土冶炼加工产业集聚的优势,加强高能性能磁材及其关联产业的科技竞争力,并加快推动稀土永磁回收产业链建设。
稀土金属  /  碳中和  /  风电发展
To clarify the rare earth demand growth driven by global rapid expansion of wind power under carbon neutrality and make the rare earth resource strategic planning for wind power development, this paper intends to predict global 10 major countries and regions' rare earth demand for wind power development by 2040 through material flow analysis, studies the implications of technology progress and recycling on rare earth supply and demand structure, and explores the advantages and issues of China's rare earth industry under carbon neutrality. Our results show that: 1) carbon neutrality climate target will bring about a rapid expansion of global demand for rare earth elements, which is about twice that under the stated policies; 2) global wind power development will lead to severe rare earth supply pressure, and material technology progress and recycling will play important roles in alleviating this pressure; 3) China will still occupy a leading position in the global rare earth industry chain in the next 20 years, but face competition and challenges from global diversified rare earth suppliers, such as Australia, Myanmar, Vietnam, North America, etc. We propose that China should coordinate "two resources" and "two markets" at home and abroad, make full use of the advantages of rare earth processing industry agglomeration, strengthen technological competitiveness of highperformance magnet materials and their related industries, and accelerate the construction of rare earth permanent magnet recycling industrial chain.
rare earth  /  carbon neutrality  /  wind power development
陈立洋, 杨宇瑶, 汪鹏, 郭咏梅, 赵燊, 陈丽华, 陈伟强. 碳中和驱动下的全球风电发展稀土需求. 科技导报, 2022 , 40 (21) : 31 -43 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2022.21.004
CHEN Liyang, YANG Yuyao, WANG Peng, GUO Yongmei, ZHAO Shen, CHEN Lihua, CHEN Weiqiang. Analysis of rare earth demand for global wind power development under carbon neutrality[J]. Science & Technology Review, 2022 , 40 (21) : 31 -43 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2022.21.004
2022年第40卷第21期
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doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2022.21.004
  • 接收时间:2022-06-03
  • 首发时间:2022-11-30
  • 出版时间:2022-11-13
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  • 收稿日期:2022-06-03
  • 修回日期:2022-08-30
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陈伟强(通信作者),研究员,研究方向为产业生态学与绿色系统工程,电子信箱:wqchen@iue.ac.cn
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https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2022.21.004
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2种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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