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科技导报 | 研究论文 2014, 32(17): 60-63
基于多分类支持向量机的网络流量预测方法
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王洪智1, 刘震2, 李东辉3
作者信息
    1. 大连交通大学网络信息中心, 大连 116028;
    2. 大连交通大学软件学院, 大连 116028;
    3. 大连交通大学电气信息学院, 大连 116028
A Network Traffic Prediction Method Based on Multi-class Support Vector Machine
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出版时间: 2014-06-18 doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2014.17.009
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针对支持向量机网络流量预测误差较大的问题,提出一种基于多分类支持向量机的网络流量预测方法。该方法在网络流量数据训练阶段通过数据编码,使多分类支持向量机的输出逼近编码值,在预测阶段通过数据解码,将多分类支持向量机的输出转换为实际的网络流量预测结果,从而有效地降低了预测误差。实验结果显示,该方法的预测结果与实际采集的网络流量数据具有相同的变化趋势;在同等实验条件下,该方法预测结果的均方根误差为0.487,而单一支持向量机方法、BP 神经网络方法预测结果的均方根误差分别为1.0954 和2.3642,表明基于多分类支持向量机的网络流量预测方法具有更高的准确性。
网络流量预测  /  多分类支持向量机  /  编码  /  解码
Support vector machines (SVMs) have been used for network traffic prediction, but there often exist large prediction errors. This paper presents a network traffic prediction method based on multi-class support vector machine. Through establishing an encoding method in the training phase, the training output is binary encoded, and is established by one to one correspondence with the training input, training the multi-class support vector machine. By constructing a decoding method in the prediction phase, the prediction output is binary decoded, approaching the real value, realizing network traffic prediction and reducing the prediction errors. In simulation experiments, comparison of the real network traffic data and prediction results shows that they have the same evolution trends. Under the same condition, the accuracy of single SVM algorithm is about two times that of BP algorithm, while the accuracy of the proposed algorithm is about two times that of single SVM algorithm. The experiment results show that the proposed method has higher prediction accuracy in contrast with existing algorithms such as those of single SVM and BP neural network.
network traffic prediction  /  multi-class support vector machine  /  encoding  /  decoding
王洪智, 刘震, 李东辉. 基于多分类支持向量机的网络流量预测方法. 科技导报, 2014 , 32 (17) : 60 -63 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2014.17.009
WANG Hongzhi, LIU Zhen, LI Donghui. A Network Traffic Prediction Method Based on Multi-class Support Vector Machine[J]. Science & Technology Review, 2014 , 32 (17) : 60 -63 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2014.17.009
2014年第32卷第17期
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doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2014.17.009
  • 接收时间:2013-06-03
  • 首发时间:2014-06-20
  • 出版时间:2014-06-18
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  • 收稿日期:2013-06-03
  • 修回日期:2014-04-22
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2种不同金属材料的力学参数

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占总种数比例
Percentage of
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Genus
种数
Number of
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占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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