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科技导报
| 研究论文 2013, 31(21): 26-29
基于Mixed Logit模型的土木系统工程可靠性预测
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曹毅, 魏连雨, 马士宾, 于欢
作者信息
Reliability Analysis of Civil Systems Engineering Based on Mixed Logit Model
Affiliations
出版时间: 2013-07-28
doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2013.21.003
文章导航
将土木工程与系统工程相结合,应用Mixed Logit模型研究了土木系统工程的可靠性。通过对问卷调查数据的SPSS统计与信度分析,确定了影响土木系统工程可靠性的关键因素,建立了相应的Mixed Logit模型,并以多元统计分析软件SAS进行模拟,对土木系统工程的3种典型模式DBB、PMC和EPC进行了可靠性预测。结果显示,DBB模式的可靠性指标为83.69%,而PMC、EPC模式的可靠性指标分别为76.03%和71.39%,表明DBB模式具有较高的可靠性。该预测方法及结果可为土木系统工程的应用研究提供理论依据。
土木系统工程
/
可靠性
/
Mixed Logit模型
The mixed Logit model is used to study the reliability of the civil systems engineering in combination with the civil engineering and the systems engineering. The SPSS software is used to make the statistical and reliability analyses of the survey data, and the key indicators that affect the reliability of the civil systems engineering are obtained. In the meanwhile, an appropriate mixed Logit model is established, and the multivariate statistical analysis software SAS is used for simulation and reliability analyses with respect to the three typical modes of civil systems engineering-DBB, PMC, and EPC. It is shown that the reliability index of DBB mode is 83.69%, while those of the PMC model and the EPC mode are 76.03% and 71.39%, which indicates that that DBB mode has the highest reliability. The results and the method provide a theoretical basis for the applications of the civil systems engineering modes.
civil system engineering
/
reliability
/
Mixed Logit model
曹毅;魏连雨;马士宾;于欢.
基于Mixed Logit模型的土木系统工程可靠性预测.
科技导报,
2013
, 31
(21)
: 26
-29
.
DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2013.21.003
CAO Yi;WEI Lianyu;MA Shibin;YU Huan.
Reliability Analysis of Civil Systems Engineering Based on Mixed Logit Model[J].
Science & Technology Review ,
2013
, 31
(21)
: 26
-29
.
DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2013.21.003
2013年第31卷第21期
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引用本文
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文章信息
doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2013.21.003
接收时间:2013-03-05
首发时间:2013-07-28
出版时间:2013-07-28
收稿日期:2013-03-05
修回日期:2013-06-17
https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2013.21.003
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2种不同金属材料的力学参数
科 Family 属数 Number of genus 种数 Number of species 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) 属 Genus 种数 Number of species 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78 小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39 红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87 小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26 光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39 红菇属 Russula 17 8.13 栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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