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For the targets of the life risk acceptability criteria definition of geo-hazards occurred china, firstly the connotation of criterion is analyzed, and then the Individual Risk (IR) criteria and the Social Risk (SR) criteria are achieved through a consequence based approach. The IR criteria are discussed and defined by using statistical and comparative analysis method based on the casualty data of geo-hazards occurred in recent years in the entire country of china and other twelve Chinese provinces frequently-occurring geo-hazards. The research results of IR are summarized as follows: For the natural geo-hazards, the upper limit of the acceptable individual risk is 10-6 per annum and the maximum tolerance for the individual risk is 10-4 per annum; for the geo-hazard IR caused by new built-up slopes, the upper limit of the acceptable individual risk is 10-7 per annum and the maximum tolerance for the individual risk is 10-5 per annum. 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科技导报
| 研究论文 2011, 29(36): 17-22
中国地质灾害生命可接受风险标准研究
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赵洲, 侯恩科
作者信息
The Life Risk Acceptability Criteria for the Geo-hazards in China
Affiliations
出版时间: 2011-12-28
doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2011.36.002
文章导航
以探讨和确定中国地质灾害生命可接受风险标准为目的。在分析地质灾害可接受风险标准内涵及地质灾害风险估计方法的基础上,运用统计分析的方法对中国陕西、四川等12个地质灾害高发省(市)及10多年来全国地质灾害造成的人口伤亡数据进行分析,得出中国自然地质灾害个人风险可接受水平的上限为10-6 /a,可容忍水平的上限为10-4 /a;新建工程边坡诱发灾害个人风险可接受水平的上限为10-7 /a,可容忍水平的上限为10-5 /a的结论,并在此基础上提出了可供参考的地质灾害社会风险评价标准。研究成果对中国地质灾害可接受风险标准的制定及地质灾害风险管理实施具有较大的理论和实际意义。
地质灾害
/
个人风险
/
社会风险
/
可接受标准
The acceptable risk criteria are an important part in connection with geo-hazards risk assessment and management; china's geo-hazards criteria are in the early stages of research. For the targets of the life risk acceptability criteria definition of geo-hazards occurred china, firstly the connotation of criterion is analyzed, and then the Individual Risk (IR) criteria and the Social Risk (SR) criteria are achieved through a consequence based approach. The IR criteria are discussed and defined by using statistical and comparative analysis method based on the casualty data of geo-hazards occurred in recent years in the entire country of china and other twelve Chinese provinces frequently-occurring geo-hazards. The research results of IR are summarized as follows: For the natural geo-hazards, the upper limit of the acceptable individual risk is 10-6 per annum and the maximum tolerance for the individual risk is 10-4 per annum; for the geo-hazard IR caused by new built-up slopes, the upper limit of the acceptable individual risk is 10-7 per annum and the maximum tolerance for the individual risk is 10-5 per annum. The SR criteria are recommended based on the IR criteria and the international experiences composed by acceptable, unacceptable, ALARP, and intense scrutiny regions. It is suggested that all of the research conclusions are only for the discussion. The result has both theoretical and practical significance to the formulation of risk acceptability criteria and the risk management implementation for geo-hazards in china.
geo-hazards
/
individual risk
/
social risk
/
acceptability criteria
赵洲;侯恩科.
中国地质灾害生命可接受风险标准研究.
科技导报,
2011
, 29
(36)
: 17
-22
.
DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2011.36.002
ZHAO Zhou;HOU Enke.
The Life Risk Acceptability Criteria for the Geo-hazards in China[J].
Science & Technology Review ,
2011
, 29
(36)
: 17
-22
.
DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2011.36.002
2011年第29卷第36期
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文章信息
doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2011.36.002
接收时间:2011-11-25
首发时间:2011-12-28
出版时间:2011-12-28
收稿日期:2011-11-25
修回日期:2011-12-20
https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2011.36.002
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2种不同金属材料的力学参数
科 Family 属数 Number of genus 种数 Number of species 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) 属 Genus 种数 Number of species 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78 小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39 红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87 小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26 光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39 红菇属 Russula 17 8.13 栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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