Article(id=1322924282162062308, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258771877134531, issueId=1322924153027834207, articleNumber=null, orderNo=null, doi=10.14067/j.cnki.1673-923x.2026.06.009, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1743868800000, receivedDateStr=2025-04-06, revisedDate=1751212800000, revisedDateStr=2025-06-30, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1793339327612, onlineDateStr=2026-10-30, pubDate=1782316800000, pubDateStr=2026-06-25, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1793339327612, onlineIssueDateStr=2026-10-30, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1793339327612, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1793339327612, updator=13701087609, issue=Issue{id=1322924153027834207, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258771877134531, year='2026', volume='46', issue='6', pageStart='1', pageEnd='230', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='1782316800000', pubDateStr='2026-06-25', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=1, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1793339296824, creator='13701087609', updateTime=1793344680557, updator='13701087609', preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, articleTotal=null, ext={EN=IssueExt(id=1322946734422360158, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258771877134531, issueId=1322924153027834207, language=EN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=), CN=IssueExt(id=1322946734422360159, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258771877134531, issueId=1322924153027834207, language=CN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=)}, issueFiles=null, downloadFileDto=null}, startPage=91, endPage=102, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1322924282359194597, articleId=1322924282162062308, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258771877134531, language=EN, title=A diameter at breast height growth model for dominant Chinese fir trees incorporating site and climatic effects, columnId=null, journalTitle=Journal of Central South University of Forestry & Technology, columnName=null, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=
【Objective】

To accurately predict the growth dynamics of Chinese fir and construct a dominant tree diameter at breast height (DBH) growth model that integrates site and climatic conditions, and to provide guidance for sustainable management and carbon sequestration assessment of Chinese fir plantations.

【Method】

Utilizing 1 121 DBH-age datasets from 129 Chinese fir plantation plots, topographic, edaphic and climatic factors were incorporated. Significant environmental drivers affecting DBH growth were identified through Quantification Theory I. The optimal theoretical growth equation was selected from six candidate models. Site types and climate types were clustered into site type groups and climate type groups using the k-means algorithm. Nonlinear mixed-effects regression models were developed by incorporating site type, climate type, and their clustered groups as random effects, either individually or in combination.

【Result】

Seven leading factors influencing DBH growth of dominant trees, including altitude, aspect, Climatic moisture deficit and extreme minimum temperature, were screened. Among the six basic models, the Korf model had the best fitting effect, with a determination coefficient R2 of 0.782 0, 75 site types and 173 climate types clustered into 5 site type groups and 7 climate type groups, respectively, and the random effect model R2 with site factor groups and climate factor groups only was 0.822 9 and 0.839 1, respectively, and the random effect model with site and climate factors was R2= 0.854 3 which was significantly better than the other models.

【Conclusion】

The nonlinear mixed-effects model developed in this study, which integrates site- and climate-effects, comprehensively incorporates environmental factors influencing the DBH growth of dominant Chinese fir trees. This model not only provides scientific guidance for predicting the DBH growth of dominant Chinese fir trees, but also establishes a generalizable modeling framework for analyzing and forecasting environmental impacts on the growth of subtropical Chinese fir plantations.

, authors=Xingyi HE1, Enlin LIU2, Yong LYU1, Xiongqing ZHANG3, Guangyu ZHU1, authorsList=Xingyi HE, Enlin LIU, Yong LYU, Xiongqing ZHANG, Guangyu ZHU, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=Guangyu ZHU, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=© 2026 Journal of Central South University of Forestry & Technology, copyrightOwner=Journal of Central South University of Forestry & Technology, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=null, pdfFileSize=null, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null), CN=ArticleExt(id=1322924282711516134, articleId=1322924282162062308, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258771877134531, language=CN, title=基于立地和气候效应的杉木优势木胸径生长模型, columnId=1322924153761837409, journalTitle=中南林业科技大学学报, columnName=林学, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=
【目的】

为了精准预测杉木的生长动态,构建反映立地和气候条件的杉木优势木胸径生长模型,为杉木人工林可持续经营和碳汇功能评估提供指导。

【方法】

以129块杉木人工林样地的1 121组杉木优势木胸径生长数据为研究对象,结合地形、土壤和气候等环境因子,采用数量化方法Ⅰ筛选出影响杉木优势木胸径生长的显著性环境因子;基于树木生长理论方程确定最优基础模型;运用K-means聚类算法将立地类型和气候类型聚类为立地类型组和气候类型组;采用非线性混合效应回归建模法,将立地类型、气候类型、立地类型组和气候类型组分别或同时作为随机效应构建优势木胸径生长模型。

【结果】

筛选出海拔、坡向、哈格里弗斯气候水汽亏损和极端最低气温等7个影响优势木胸径生长的主导因子;6个基础模型中,Korf模型拟合效果最优,确定系数R2为0.782 0;75种立地类型和173种气候类型分别聚类为5组立地类型组和7组气候类型组;在构建的各混合效应模型中,仅含立地类型组和仅含气候类型组的随机效应模型的R2分别为0.822 9和0.839 1,同时包含立地和气候因子的随机效应模型R2为0.854 3,明显优于其余模型。

【结论】

本研究所构建的基于立地和气候效应的非线性混合效应模型综合了影响杉木优势木胸径生长的环境因子,不仅能为预估杉木优势木胸径生长提供科学指导,同时也可为考虑环境因子对亚热带杉木人工林生长的影响和预测提供可推广的建模框架。

, authors=何星谊1, 刘恩林2, 吕勇1, 张雄清3, 朱光玉1, authorsList=何星谊, 刘恩林, 吕勇, 张雄清, 朱光玉, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=朱光玉, authorNote=

何星谊(),硕士研究生。

, correspAuthorsNote=
朱光玉(),教授,博士,博士研究生导师。
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基于立地和气候效应的杉木优势木胸径生长模型
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何星谊 1 , 刘恩林 2 , 吕勇 1 , 张雄清 3 , 朱光玉 1
中南林业科技大学学报 | 林学 2026,46(6): 91-102
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中南林业科技大学学报 |林学 2026 , 46 (6) : 91 -102
基于立地和气候效应的杉木优势木胸径生长模型
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何星谊1 , 刘恩林2, 吕勇1, 张雄清3, 朱光玉1
作者信息
  • 1.中南林业科技大学 林学院,湖南 长沙 410004
  • 2.国家林业和草原局中南调查规划院,湖南 长沙 410014
  • 3.中国林业科学研究院 林业研究所,北京 100091
通讯作者:
朱光玉(),教授,博士,博士研究生导师。
作者简介:

何星谊(),硕士研究生。

A diameter at breast height growth model for dominant Chinese fir trees incorporating site and climatic effects
Xingyi HE1 , Enlin LIU2, Yong LYU1, Xiongqing ZHANG3, Guangyu ZHU1
Affiliations
  • 1.School of Forestry, Central South University of Forestry & Technology, Changsha 410004, Hunan, China
  • 2.Central South Inventory and Planning Institute, National Forestry and Grassland Administration, Changsha 410014, Hunan, China
  • 3.Research Institute of Forestry, Chinese Academy of Forestry, Beijing 100091, China
出版时间: 2026-06-25 doi: 10.14067/j.cnki.1673-923x.2026.06.009
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【目的】

为了精准预测杉木的生长动态,构建反映立地和气候条件的杉木优势木胸径生长模型,为杉木人工林可持续经营和碳汇功能评估提供指导。

【方法】

以129块杉木人工林样地的1 121组杉木优势木胸径生长数据为研究对象,结合地形、土壤和气候等环境因子,采用数量化方法Ⅰ筛选出影响杉木优势木胸径生长的显著性环境因子;基于树木生长理论方程确定最优基础模型;运用K-means聚类算法将立地类型和气候类型聚类为立地类型组和气候类型组;采用非线性混合效应回归建模法,将立地类型、气候类型、立地类型组和气候类型组分别或同时作为随机效应构建优势木胸径生长模型。

【结果】

筛选出海拔、坡向、哈格里弗斯气候水汽亏损和极端最低气温等7个影响优势木胸径生长的主导因子;6个基础模型中,Korf模型拟合效果最优,确定系数R2为0.782 0;75种立地类型和173种气候类型分别聚类为5组立地类型组和7组气候类型组;在构建的各混合效应模型中,仅含立地类型组和仅含气候类型组的随机效应模型的R2分别为0.822 9和0.839 1,同时包含立地和气候因子的随机效应模型R2为0.854 3,明显优于其余模型。

【结论】

本研究所构建的基于立地和气候效应的非线性混合效应模型综合了影响杉木优势木胸径生长的环境因子,不仅能为预估杉木优势木胸径生长提供科学指导,同时也可为考虑环境因子对亚热带杉木人工林生长的影响和预测提供可推广的建模框架。

杉木人工林  /  非线性混合效应  /  立地类型组  /  气候类型组  /  优势木胸径生长模型
【Objective】

To accurately predict the growth dynamics of Chinese fir and construct a dominant tree diameter at breast height (DBH) growth model that integrates site and climatic conditions, and to provide guidance for sustainable management and carbon sequestration assessment of Chinese fir plantations.

【Method】

Utilizing 1 121 DBH-age datasets from 129 Chinese fir plantation plots, topographic, edaphic and climatic factors were incorporated. Significant environmental drivers affecting DBH growth were identified through Quantification Theory I. The optimal theoretical growth equation was selected from six candidate models. Site types and climate types were clustered into site type groups and climate type groups using the k-means algorithm. Nonlinear mixed-effects regression models were developed by incorporating site type, climate type, and their clustered groups as random effects, either individually or in combination.

【Result】

Seven leading factors influencing DBH growth of dominant trees, including altitude, aspect, Climatic moisture deficit and extreme minimum temperature, were screened. Among the six basic models, the Korf model had the best fitting effect, with a determination coefficient R2 of 0.782 0, 75 site types and 173 climate types clustered into 5 site type groups and 7 climate type groups, respectively, and the random effect model R2 with site factor groups and climate factor groups only was 0.822 9 and 0.839 1, respectively, and the random effect model with site and climate factors was R2= 0.854 3 which was significantly better than the other models.

【Conclusion】

The nonlinear mixed-effects model developed in this study, which integrates site- and climate-effects, comprehensively incorporates environmental factors influencing the DBH growth of dominant Chinese fir trees. This model not only provides scientific guidance for predicting the DBH growth of dominant Chinese fir trees, but also establishes a generalizable modeling framework for analyzing and forecasting environmental impacts on the growth of subtropical Chinese fir plantations.

Chinese fir plantations  /  nonlinear mixed-effects  /  site type groups  /  climate type groups  /  DBH growth model of dominant trees
何星谊, 刘恩林, 吕勇, 张雄清, 朱光玉. 基于立地和气候效应的杉木优势木胸径生长模型. 中南林业科技大学学报, 2026 , 46 (6) : 91 -102 . DOI: 10.14067/j.cnki.1673-923x.2026.06.009
Xingyi HE, Enlin LIU, Yong LYU, Xiongqing ZHANG, Guangyu ZHU. A diameter at breast height growth model for dominant Chinese fir trees incorporating site and climatic effects[J]. Journal of Central South University of Forestry & Technology, 2026 , 46 (6) : 91 -102 . DOI: 10.14067/j.cnki.1673-923x.2026.06.009
  • 国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFD2200501-03)
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2026年第46卷第6期
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文章信息
doi: 10.14067/j.cnki.1673-923x.2026.06.009
  • 接收时间:2025-04-06
  • 首发时间:2026-10-30
  • 出版时间:2026-06-25
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  • 收稿日期:2025-04-06
  • 修回日期:2025-06-30
基金
国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFD2200501-03)
作者信息
    1.中南林业科技大学 林学院,湖南 长沙 410004
    2.国家林业和草原局中南调查规划院,湖南 长沙 410014
    3.中国林业科学研究院 林业研究所,北京 100091

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朱光玉(),教授,博士,博士研究生导师。
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2种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)
属
Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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