Article(id=1324333664082985843, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1319690209941618849, issueId=1324333573712511176, articleNumber=null, orderNo=null, doi=10.12398/j.issn.2096-7217.2026.01.019, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1753545600000, receivedDateStr=2025-07-27, revisedDate=1761235200000, revisedDateStr=2025-10-24, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1793675350447, onlineDateStr=2026-11-03, pubDate=1771084800000, pubDateStr=2026-02-15, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1793675350447, onlineIssueDateStr=2026-11-03, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1793675350447, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1793675350447, updator=13701087609, issue=Issue{id=1324333573712511176, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1319690209941618849, year='2026', volume='7', issue='1', pageStart='1', pageEnd='196', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='1771084800000', pubDateStr='2026-02-15', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=1, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1793675328901, creator='13701087609', updateTime=1793872389599, updator='13701087609', preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, articleTotal=null, ext={EN=IssueExt(id=1325160106287039215, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1319690209941618849, issueId=1324333573712511176, language=EN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=), CN=IssueExt(id=1325160106287039216, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1319690209941618849, issueId=1324333573712511176, language=CN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=)}, issueFiles=null, downloadFileDto=null}, startPage=178, endPage=189, ext={CN=ArticleExt(id=1324333665324499828, articleId=1324333664082985843, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1319690209941618849, language=CN, title=土地利用格局对生境质量的时空影响：多情景发展分析, columnId=0, journalTitle=智能化农业装备学报（中英文）, columnName=, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=
作为一个面临旅游驱动的经济增长与生态脆弱性双重压力的热带岛屿，海南的土地利用可持续性对区域发展与海岸带生态系统安全具有关键影响。本研究采用耦合的 PLUS-InVEST建模框架，分析了2000—2020年土地利用变化与栖息地质量动态，并在3种2030年发展情景下预测生态结果。主要结论包括：（1）栖息地质量的双峰分布格局持续存在，高质量区域集中于中部森林地区，而沿海边缘地带普遍退化，整体呈现20年来持续下降的趋势。（2）2010—2020年加速的城镇化将生态用地转为建设用地，并与栖息地破碎化强度上升相对应。（3）2030年基线情景预测显示，新增用地转换将以建设用地为主导。（4）生态保护情景表明存在可恢复的栖息地潜力，尤其是在沿海缓冲带。这些发现为情景驱动的土地利用规划作为岛屿生态系统管理的有效工具提供了实证验证，强调在热带岛屿可持续性治理中必须在旅游基础设施发展与沿海保护刚性需求之间实现平衡。该方法为在经济增长与生物多样性保护之间进行空间决策提供了支撑，并为面临类似可持续挑战的全球岛屿生态系统提供了可复制的策略。
, authors=Yue GUO, Yubo ZHANG, Changji WEN
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GUO Yue, Postgraduate, research interests: agricultural informatization. E-mail: 1830304412@qq.com
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* WEN Changji, Doctor, Professor, research interests: agricultural informatization and artificial intelligence. E-mail:
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