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In order to curb the occurrence of bottled LPG accidents and ensure the safety production, firstly, a multi-agent accident causation model for bottled LPG was established based on 50 typical cases in mainland China from 2013 to 2024. Secondly, seven core accident causal factors were extracted from it as conditional variables. Finally, fsQCA method was applied to explore the configuration paths of accidents. The analysis results indicate that the bottled LPG accidents are not only characterized by distinctive multi-factorial complications, but also have diverse formation mechanisms. In total, there are eight configuration paths of accidents, which are further categorized into six types, namely the multiple risk coupling, coupling of illegal applied behaviors and equipment failure, illegal applied behaviors of bottled LPG, organizational deficiencies, illegal operation of bottled LPG, and equipment failure. The organizational factors, such as deficiencies in safety production management systems, inadequate safety inspections and rectification of hidden dangers, illegal operation of bottled LPG, and ineffective safety supervision and law enforcement play key roles in the emergence and evolution of accidents. The conclusion indicates that three configuration paths with relatively the highest unique coverage, configuration 1a, configuration 5, and configuration 6a, should collectively be regarded as priorities for accident prevention and control.

, authors=Yilin SUN^{1, 2, 3}, Xiaoqiang ZHENG^{**, 1, 2, 3}, authorsList=Yilin SUN, Xiaoqiang ZHENG, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=Xiaoqiang ZHENG, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=null, pdfFileSize=null, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null), CN=ArticleExt(id=1282036054882501230, articleId=1282036054228189802, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, language=CN, title=基于fsQCA的瓶装LPG事故条件变量及组态路径, columnId=1149733269727526997, journalTitle=中国安全科学学报, columnName=安全工程技术, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=

为遏制瓶装液化石油气（LPG）事故发生，保障其安全生产，首先，基于中国大陆2013—2024年间50起典型事故案例建立瓶装LPG多主体事故致因模型；然后，从案例中提炼7项核心事故诱因作为条件变量；最后，运用模糊集定性比较分析法（fsQCA）探究事故组态路径。结果表明：瓶装LPG事故不仅多因素并发特点鲜明，而且具有多样化的形成机制；事故共有8条组态路径，可进一步归纳为多元致灾、违规用气与设备失效耦合、违规用气、组织缺欠、违规经营、设备失效6种类型；安全生产管理体系缺欠、安全检查与隐患整改不到位、违规经营、安全监管与执法检查不力等组织致因在事故涌现与演化过程中扮演关键角色；唯一覆盖率相对最高的组态1a、组态5和组态6a应视作事故防治重点。

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³西南石油大学 中国能源指数研究中心，四川 成都 610500, bio={"content":"

孙逸林（1996—），男，安徽合肥人，博士，讲师，主要从事复杂社会-技术系统风险分析、能源系统安全生产等方面的研究。E-mail: SYLSWPU@163.com。

"}, bioImg=null, bioContent=

孙逸林（1996—），男，安徽合肥人，博士，讲师，主要从事复杂社会-技术系统风险分析、能源系统安全生产等方面的研究。E-mail: SYLSWPU@163.com。

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