Article(id=1282032302196765190, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1282032292440805784, articleNumber=null, orderNo=null, doi=10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.09.1334, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1747411200000, receivedDateStr=2025-05-17, revisedDate=1752249600000, revisedDateStr=2025-07-12, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1783589919851, onlineDateStr=2026-07-09, pubDate=1758988800000, pubDateStr=2025-09-28, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1783589919851, onlineIssueDateStr=2026-07-09, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1783589919851, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1783589919851, updator=13701087609, issue=Issue{id=1282032292440805784, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, year='2025', volume='35', issue='9', pageStart='1', pageEnd='268', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='1758988800000', pubDateStr='2025-09-28', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=1, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1783589917526, creator='13701087609', updateTime=1783593837820, updator='13701087609', preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, articleTotal=null, ext={EN=IssueExt(id=1282048735404344166, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1282032292440805784, language=EN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=), CN=IssueExt(id=1282048735404344167, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1282032292440805784, language=CN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=)}, issueFiles=null, downloadFileDto=null}, startPage=52, endPage=59, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1282032304289722888, articleId=1282032302196765190, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, language=EN, title=Connotation analysis and system construction of three lines of defense for work safety based on grey rhino theory, columnId=1149733271128420907, journalTitle=China Safety Science Journal, columnName=Safety social science and safety management, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=

In order to explore the theoretical contribution and application value of gray rhino risk in the field of work safety. The connotation and extension of gray rhino theory were integrated to carry out the multi-perspective integration and thinking paradigm breakthrough of the three lines of defense research on work safety. The analysis of the connotation of work safety of gray rhino and the construction of prevention and control system were carried out according to the three parts of concept integration path analysis, scenario evolution chain deduction and three lines of defense system construction. The results show that gray rhino risk has very similar cognitive interpretation attributes and conceptual mapping relationships with work safety hazard, hidden danger and accident. The work safety of the gray rhino is influenced by both subjective construction and objective real risk factors. The accident scenario evolution chain is composed of the scenario components of "system energy-inducing-disaster-bearing performance" and the risk evolution stages of "accumulation-fluctuation-mutation". Three lines of defense for work safety are constructed from the prevention and control domain of "cognitive domain- prevention domain- control domain" and the hierarchy structure of "protection layer- governance layer- emergency layer". It provides the gray rhino theory and the risk metaphor method guidance for the study of work safety management.

, authors=Ruipeng TONG1, Qian WANG1, Yu AN**, 1, Jingrong ZHAO1, Weichun CHANG2, Zenian GOU2, authorsList=Ruipeng TONG, Qian WANG, Yu AN, Jingrong ZHAO, Weichun CHANG, Zenian GOU, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=Yu AN, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=null, pdfFileSize=null, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null), CN=ArticleExt(id=1282032307217347083, articleId=1282032302196765190, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, language=CN, title=基于灰犀牛理论的安全生产三道防线内涵解析与体系构建, columnId=1149733271296193071, journalTitle=中国安全科学学报, columnName=安全社会科学与安全管理, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=

为探析灰犀牛风险在安全生产领域的理论贡献和应用价值,融合灰犀牛理论内涵与外延,开展安全生产三道防线研究的多元视角融合和思维范式突破。遵循概念整合路径分析、情景演化链条推演和三道防线体系构建3部分内容构建安全生产灰犀牛内涵解析与防控体系。结果表明:灰犀牛风险与安全生产危险源、隐患、事故有极为相似的认知解读属性和概念映射关系,安全生产灰犀牛由主观建构和客观实在风险因素共同影响风险评估与管控维度;安全生产事故情景演化链条是由“系统能量—诱发因素—承灾性能”情景构成要素和“累积—波动—突变”风险演化阶段组成;从“认知域—预防域—控制域”防控区域和“防护层—治理层—应急层”层级结构构建安全生产三道防线,为安全生产管理研究提供灰犀牛理论和风险隐喻方法指导。

, authors=佟瑞鹏教授1, 王乾1, 安宇研究员**, 1, 赵晶荣1, 常维纯高级工程师2, 苟泽念2, authorsList=佟瑞鹏教授, 王乾, 安宇研究员, 赵晶荣, 常维纯高级工程师, 苟泽念, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=安宇研究员, authorNote=

佟瑞鹏(1977—),男,黑龙江穆棱人,博士,教授,主要从事行为安全管理、职业心理健康、环境风险评估等方面的研究。E-mail:

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** 安宇(1976—),男,黑龙江海伦人,博士,研究员,主要从事行为安全、安全教育等方面的研究。E-mail:
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佟瑞鹏(1977—),男,黑龙江穆棱人,博士,教授,主要从事行为安全管理、职业心理健康、环境风险评估等方面的研究。E-mail:

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佟瑞鹏(1977—),男,黑龙江穆棱人,博士,教授,主要从事行为安全管理、职业心理健康、环境风险评估等方面的研究。E-mail:

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基于灰犀牛理论的安全生产三道防线内涵解析与体系构建
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佟瑞鹏教授 1 , 王乾 1 , 安宇研究员 **, 1 , 赵晶荣 1 , 常维纯高级工程师 2 , 苟泽念 2
中国安全科学学报 | 安全社会科学与安全管理 2025,35(9): 52-59
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中国安全科学学报 |安全社会科学与安全管理 2025 , 35 (9) : 52 -59
基于灰犀牛理论的安全生产三道防线内涵解析与体系构建
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佟瑞鹏(1977—),男,黑龙江穆棱人,博士,教授,主要从事行为安全管理、职业心理健康、环境风险评估等方面的研究。E-mail:

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佟瑞鹏(1977—),男,黑龙江穆棱人,博士,教授,主要从事行为安全管理、职业心理健康、环境风险评估等方面的研究。E-mail:

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佟瑞鹏教授1 , 王乾1, 安宇研究员**, 1 , 赵晶荣1, 常维纯高级工程师2, 苟泽念2
作者信息
  • 1中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083
  • 2国家管网集团科学技术研究总院分公司,天津 300457
通讯作者:
** 安宇(1976—),男,黑龙江海伦人,博士,研究员,主要从事行为安全、安全教育等方面的研究。E-mail:
作者简介:

佟瑞鹏(1977—),男,黑龙江穆棱人,博士,教授,主要从事行为安全管理、职业心理健康、环境风险评估等方面的研究。E-mail:

Connotation analysis and system construction of three lines of defense for work safety based on grey rhino theory
Ruipeng TONG1 , Qian WANG1, Yu AN**, 1 , Jingrong ZHAO1, Weichun CHANG2, Zenian GOU2
Affiliations
  • 1School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, China
  • 2PipeChina Research Institute of Science and Technology, Tianjin 300457, China
出版时间: 2025-09-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.09.1334
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为探析灰犀牛风险在安全生产领域的理论贡献和应用价值,融合灰犀牛理论内涵与外延,开展安全生产三道防线研究的多元视角融合和思维范式突破。遵循概念整合路径分析、情景演化链条推演和三道防线体系构建3部分内容构建安全生产灰犀牛内涵解析与防控体系。结果表明:灰犀牛风险与安全生产危险源、隐患、事故有极为相似的认知解读属性和概念映射关系,安全生产灰犀牛由主观建构和客观实在风险因素共同影响风险评估与管控维度;安全生产事故情景演化链条是由“系统能量—诱发因素—承灾性能”情景构成要素和“累积—波动—突变”风险演化阶段组成;从“认知域—预防域—控制域”防控区域和“防护层—治理层—应急层”层级结构构建安全生产三道防线,为安全生产管理研究提供灰犀牛理论和风险隐喻方法指导。

灰犀牛理论  /  安全生产  /  三道防线  /  内涵解析  /  防控体系

In order to explore the theoretical contribution and application value of gray rhino risk in the field of work safety. The connotation and extension of gray rhino theory were integrated to carry out the multi-perspective integration and thinking paradigm breakthrough of the three lines of defense research on work safety. The analysis of the connotation of work safety of gray rhino and the construction of prevention and control system were carried out according to the three parts of concept integration path analysis, scenario evolution chain deduction and three lines of defense system construction. The results show that gray rhino risk has very similar cognitive interpretation attributes and conceptual mapping relationships with work safety hazard, hidden danger and accident. The work safety of the gray rhino is influenced by both subjective construction and objective real risk factors. The accident scenario evolution chain is composed of the scenario components of "system energy-inducing-disaster-bearing performance" and the risk evolution stages of "accumulation-fluctuation-mutation". Three lines of defense for work safety are constructed from the prevention and control domain of "cognitive domain- prevention domain- control domain" and the hierarchy structure of "protection layer- governance layer- emergency layer". It provides the gray rhino theory and the risk metaphor method guidance for the study of work safety management.

gray rhino theory  /  work safety  /  three lines of defense  /  scenario evolution  /  control and prevention system
佟瑞鹏教授, 王乾, 安宇研究员, 赵晶荣, 常维纯高级工程师, 苟泽念. 基于灰犀牛理论的安全生产三道防线内涵解析与体系构建. 中国安全科学学报, 2025 , 35 (9) : 52 -59 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.09.1334
Ruipeng TONG, Qian WANG, Yu AN, Jingrong ZHAO, Weichun CHANG, Zenian GOU. Connotation analysis and system construction of three lines of defense for work safety based on grey rhino theory[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2025 , 35 (9) : 52 -59 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.09.1334
  • 国家自然科学基金资助(52074302)
  • 国家管网集团科学技术研究总院分公司科研项目(GWHT20250000101)
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2025年第35卷第9期
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doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.09.1334
  • 接收时间:2025-05-17
  • 首发时间:2026-07-09
  • 出版时间:2025-09-28
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  • 收稿日期:2025-05-17
  • 修回日期:2025-07-12
基金
国家自然科学基金资助(52074302)
国家管网集团科学技术研究总院分公司科研项目(GWHT20250000101)
作者信息
    1中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083
    2国家管网集团科学技术研究总院分公司,天津 300457

通讯作者:

** 安宇(1976—),男,黑龙江海伦人,博士,研究员,主要从事行为安全、安全教育等方面的研究。E-mail:
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2种不同金属材料的力学参数

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Genus
种数
Number of
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Percentage of total
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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