Article(id=1148106700701299044, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1148106698197295351, articleNumber=1003-3033(2025)02-0089-06, orderNo=null, doi=10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.02.1655, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1726156800000, receivedDateStr=2024-09-13, revisedDate=1731686400000, revisedDateStr=2024-11-16, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1751659568237, onlineDateStr=2025-07-05, pubDate=1740672000000, pubDateStr=2025-02-28, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1751659568237, onlineIssueDateStr=2025-07-05, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1751659568237, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1751659568237, updator=13701087609, issue=Issue{id=1148106698197295351, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, year='2025', volume='35', issue='2', pageStart='1', pageEnd='252', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='null', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=1, issueType=-1, specialIssue=0, createTime=1751659567641, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1757401525528, updator=13701087609, preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, ext={EN=IssueExt(id=1172190215188894212, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1148106698197295351, language=EN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=), CN=IssueExt(id=1172190215188894213, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1148106698197295351, language=CN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=)}, issueFiles=null}, startPage=89, endPage=94, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1149767848563749207, articleId=1148106700701299044, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, language=EN, title=Buckling failure mechanism of vertical cylindrical tank shell based on Monte Carlo method, columnId=1149733269173878863, journalTitle=China Safety Science Journal, columnName=Safety engineering technology, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=
In order to reduce the failure risk of petrochemical storage tanks in coastal areas under the influence of hurricanes,the failure model for vertical cylindrical tanks under wind load was established based on the strength stress interference theory. The critical wind speed for the buckling failure was determined by an example of a crude oil storage tank. For different random distributions of parameters,such as wind speed,the Monte Carlo method was also used to plot the probability curve of shell buckling failure. The buckling failure mechanism under static conditions was investigated,and the failure probability at different loading levels was determined under static conditions. The results show that the critical wind speeds are 60.67,65.38 and 69.79 m/s respectively when the loading levels are 25%,50% and 75% under the same wind load. According to the failure probability curve,the failure probability of the loading level of 25% is significant greater than that at 50%. Therefore,it can be seen that the buckling failure mechanism of the vertical cylindrical storage tank shell is as follows: the loading level is too low,which can easily lead to buckling failure of the storage tank under wind load. The higher the loading level,and the stronger the wind load resistance of the vertical cylindrical storage tank. Appropriate measures can be taken to increase the loading level to resist strong wind loads in the coastal chemical industries.
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为了降低飓风作用下沿海地区石油化工储罐的失效风险,基于强度-应力干涉理论,建立立式圆柱形储罐在风载荷作用下的静态失效模型,通过某原油储罐实例确定其屈曲失效的临界风速,并针对风速等参数不同随机分布情况,应用蒙特卡罗法进一步绘制壳体屈曲失效概率曲线,探究其静态条件下的屈曲失效机制,并确定不同装量水平下的失效概率。结果表明:针对立式圆柱形储罐,在相同风载荷作用下,装量水平为25%、50%、75%时,导致储罐壳体屈曲失效的临界风速分别为60.67、65.38、69.79 m/s;根据屈曲失效概率曲线,储罐装量水平对储罐抵抗风载荷的影响较大,装量水平为25%的失效概率远大于装量水平为50%的失效概率。因此,立式圆柱形储罐壳体屈曲失效机制为:装量水平过低,在风载荷作用下易导致储罐发生壳体屈曲失效,装量水平越高立式圆柱形储罐可抵抗风载荷的能力越强。沿海等化工企业可以采取适当增加装量水平等保护措施以抵抗强风载荷。
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1 Department of Safety Engineering,Dalian Jiaotong University,Dalian Liaoning 116028,China, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1165681911293817010, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, authorId=1165681911084101807, language=CN, stringName=潘科, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=
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1 大连交通大学 安全工程系,辽宁 大连 116028, bio={"img":"zBAAcHET1ruwysfle4yQRA==","content":"
潘科 (1980—),男,江苏无锡人,硕士,副教授,主要从事系统风险评价、事故后果仿真和应急管理等方面的研究。E-mail:parker_9@126.com。
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潘科 (1980—),男,江苏无锡人,硕士,副教授,主要从事系统风险评价、事故后果仿真和应急管理等方面的研究。E-mail:parker_9@126.com。
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1 大连交通大学 安全工程系,辽宁 大连 116028)])]), Author(id=1165681911360925876, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, orderNo=1, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=null, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1165681911511920822, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, authorId=1165681911360925876, language=EN, stringName=Yingcheng NIU, firstName=Yingcheng, middleName=null, lastName=NIU, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=
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2 School of Traffic and Transportation,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1165681911600001207, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, authorId=1165681911360925876, language=CN, stringName=牛颖承, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=
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2 北京交通大学 交通运输学院 北京 100044, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1165681910983438507, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, xref=2, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1165681910991827116, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, companyId=1165681910983438507, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=
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2 北京交通大学 交通运输学院 北京 100044)])])], keywords=[Keyword(id=1165681911730024632, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=EN, orderNo=1, keyword=Monte Carlo method), Keyword(id=1165681911792939193, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=EN, orderNo=2, keyword=wind load), Keyword(id=1165681911864242362, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=EN, orderNo=3, keyword=vertical cylindrical tank), Keyword(id=1165681911914574011, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=EN, orderNo=4, keyword=tank shell), Keyword(id=1165681911973294268, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=EN, orderNo=5, keyword=buckling failure), Keyword(id=1165681912036208829, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=EN, orderNo=6, keyword=critical wind speed), Keyword(id=1165681912099123390, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=蒙特卡罗法), Keyword(id=1165681912237535423, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=CN, orderNo=2, keyword=风载荷), Keyword(id=1165681912321421504, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=CN, orderNo=3, keyword=立式圆柱形储罐), Keyword(id=1165681912388530369, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=CN, orderNo=4, keyword=储罐壳体), Keyword(id=1165681912455639234, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=CN, orderNo=5, keyword=屈曲失效), Keyword(id=1165681912510165187, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=CN, orderNo=6, keyword=临界风速)], refs=[Reference(id=1165681914020114645, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, doi=null, pmid=null, pmcid=null, year=2024, volume=34, issue=9, pageStart=174, pageEnd=182, url=null, language=null, rfNumber=[1], rfOrder=0, authorNames=杨震, 梁峻铭, 郭梨, journalName=中国安全科学学报, refType=null, unstructuredReference=杨震, 梁峻铭, 郭梨, 等. 基于混合因果逻辑的化工园区雷击储罐风险评估[J].
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23 (1): 46-51., articleTitle=A new method for calculating the probability distribution parameters of wind speed in wind farms, refAbstract=null)], funds=[Fund(id=1165681913890091220, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, awardId=CXCY-2021-18, language=CN, fundingSource=中国职业安全健康协会创新项目(CXCY-2021-18), fundOrder=null, country=null)], companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1165681910907941032, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, xref=1, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1165681910916329641, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, companyId=1165681910907941032, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=
1 Department of Safety Engineering,Dalian Jiaotong University,Dalian Liaoning 116028,China), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1165681910924718250, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, companyId=1165681910907941032, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=
1 大连交通大学 安全工程系,辽宁 大连 116028)]), AuthorCompany(id=1165681910983438507, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, xref=2, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1165681910991827116, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, companyId=1165681910983438507, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=
2 School of Traffic and Transportation,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1165681911000215725, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, companyId=1165681910983438507, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=
2 北京交通大学 交通运输学院 北京 100044)])], figs=[ArticleFig(id=1165681912682131652, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=EN, label=Fig.1, caption=
Wind load acting on the tank model, figureFileSmall=XpoZN514dtxIpFuB2v3cYA==, figureFileBig=9gb8GGB1f9EehzuXhIiLXg==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1165681912749240517, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=CN, label=图1, caption=
风载荷作用于储罐模型, figureFileSmall=XpoZN514dtxIpFuB2v3cYA==, figureFileBig=9gb8GGB1f9EehzuXhIiLXg==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1165681912879263942, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=EN, label=Fig.2, caption=
Relationship diagram between residual stress of tank shell and wind speed,wind diameter, figureFileSmall=GW2sWBAzPsaSI5kMnfsdYA==, figureFileBig=OS5n4nc9/yZOERdmC/U4qw==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1165681912929595591, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=CN, label=图2, caption=
储罐壳体剩余应力与风速、径度关系, figureFileSmall=GW2sWBAzPsaSI5kMnfsdYA==, figureFileBig=OS5n4nc9/yZOERdmC/U4qw==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1165681913017675976, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=EN, label=Fig.3, caption=
Residual stress and wind velocity relationship diagram under three loading levels, figureFileSmall=F6BCuufSteweqc5A9RnPng==, figureFileBig=oh+XZcZkxtp/fi/FLplJSw==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1165681913072201929, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=CN, label=图3, caption=
3种装量水平下剩余应力-风速关系, figureFileSmall=F6BCuufSteweqc5A9RnPng==, figureFileBig=oh+XZcZkxtp/fi/FLplJSw==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1165681913130922186, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=EN, label=Fig.4, caption=
Flow chart for calculating failure probability, figureFileSmall=acF50FF+FquG0TNGVVdIDg==, figureFileBig=xxMVafzTpk+MTPoQL0XJug==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1165681913198031051, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=CN, label=图4, caption=
计算失效概率流程, figureFileSmall=acF50FF+FquG0TNGVVdIDg==, figureFileBig=xxMVafzTpk+MTPoQL0XJug==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1165681913269334220, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=EN, label=Fig.5, caption=
Buckling failure probability curve of vertical storage tanks at different loading level, figureFileSmall=lOkWUZo0kbirV8+9pONWgg==, figureFileBig=rr4ZvGh04Y38R9qceWLQFw==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1165681913353220301, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=CN, label=图5, caption=
立式圆柱形储罐不同装量水平的屈曲失效概率曲线, figureFileSmall=lOkWUZo0kbirV8+9pONWgg==, figureFileBig=rr4ZvGh04Y38R9qceWLQFw==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1165681913416134862, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=EN, label=Table 1, caption=
Wind load classification based on wind speed for hurricanes
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| 风载荷 | 飓风等级 | 中心最低风压/ kPa | 最高持续风速/ (m·s-1) | 对建筑物和设施的潜在伤害 |
| 低 | 1 | 98.0 | 33~42 | 对建筑物没有实际伤害,但对未固定的设施会造成伤害 |
| 中 | 2 | 96.5~97.9 | 43~49 | 部分房顶材质、门和窗受损,植被可能受损 |
| 高 | 3 | 94.5~96.4 | 50~58 | 某些小屋和大楼会受损,某些甚至完全被摧毁 |
| 4 | 92.0~94.4 | 59~69 | 小建筑的屋顶被彻底地完全摧毁 |
| 超高 | 5 | <92.0 | ≥70 | 大部分建筑物和独立房屋屋顶被完全摧毁 |
), ArticleFig(id=1165681913495826639, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=CN, label=表1, caption=
基于风速的飓风风载荷分类
, figureFileSmall=null, figureFileBig=null, tableContent=
| 风载荷 | 飓风等级 | 中心最低风压/ kPa | 最高持续风速/ (m·s-1) | 对建筑物和设施的潜在伤害 |
| 低 | 1 | 98.0 | 33~42 | 对建筑物没有实际伤害,但对未固定的设施会造成伤害 |
| 中 | 2 | 96.5~97.9 | 43~49 | 部分房顶材质、门和窗受损,植被可能受损 |
| 高 | 3 | 94.5~96.4 | 50~58 | 某些小屋和大楼会受损,某些甚至完全被摧毁 |
| 4 | 92.0~94.4 | 59~69 | 小建筑的屋顶被彻底地完全摧毁 |
| 超高 | 5 | <92.0 | ≥70 | 大部分建筑物和独立房屋屋顶被完全摧毁 |
), ArticleFig(id=1165681913583907024, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=EN, label=Table 2, caption=
Parameters of 16MnR low alloy steel vertical cylindrical storage tank
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| 参数 | 值 |
| D/m | 30.48 |
| H/m | 12.91 |
| t/mm | 8.92 |
| 装量水平/% | 25,50,75 |
| E/Pa | 2.06×1011 |
| γ | 0.3 |
), ArticleFig(id=1165681913638432977, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=CN, label=表2, caption=
16MnR低合金钢立式圆柱形储罐参数
, figureFileSmall=null, figureFileBig=null, tableContent=
| 参数 | 值 |
| D/m | 30.48 |
| H/m | 12.91 |
| t/mm | 8.92 |
| 装量水平/% | 25,50,75 |
| E/Pa | 2.06×1011 |
| γ | 0.3 |
), ArticleFig(id=1165681913701347538, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=EN, label=Table 3, caption=
Random parameters,such as wind speed
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| 随机参数 | 分布类型 |
| ρf/(kg·m-3) | 对数正态 |
| Kz | 指数 |
| Kt | Weibull |
| Kd | 伽马 |
| v/(m·s-1) | Weibull |
), ArticleFig(id=1165681913772650707, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1148106700701299044, language=CN, label=表3, caption=
风速等随机参数
, figureFileSmall=null, figureFileBig=null, tableContent=
| 随机参数 | 分布类型 |
| ρf/(kg·m-3) | 对数正态 |
| Kz | 指数 |
| Kt | Weibull |
| Kd | 伽马 |
| v/(m·s-1) | Weibull |
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