Article(id=1281608172381127307, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1281608117335068953, articleNumber=null, orderNo=null, doi=10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.03.0362, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1760716800000, receivedDateStr=2025-10-18, revisedDate=1766419200000, revisedDateStr=2025-12-23, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1783488799423, onlineDateStr=2026-07-08, pubDate=1774627200000, pubDateStr=2026-03-28, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1783488799423, onlineIssueDateStr=2026-07-08, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1783488799423, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1783488799423, updator=13701087609, issue=Issue{id=1281608117335068953, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, year='2026', volume='36', issue='3', pageStart='1', pageEnd='270', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='1774627200000', pubDateStr='2026-03-28', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=1, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1783488786300, creator='13701087609', updateTime=1783588670896, updator='13701087609', preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, articleTotal=null, ext={EN=IssueExt(id=1282027063758533259, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1281608117335068953, language=EN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=), CN=IssueExt(id=1282027063758533260, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1281608117335068953, language=CN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=)}, issueFiles=null, downloadFileDto=null}, startPage=203, endPage=211, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1281608172599231116, articleId=1281608172381127307, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, language=EN, title=Optimization model of forest fire spread based on cellular automata, columnId=1277328338121261909, journalTitle=China Safety Science Journal, columnName=Public Safety and Emergency Management, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=

To investigate the spread characteristics of forest fires under complex topography and multi-factor coupling conditions, this study develops an optimized forest fire spread model that integrates terrain-slope correction, wind-field effects, and vegetation indices. First, Gaussian filtering was applied to correct the digital elevation model (DEM) to reduce noise, and terrain slope and aspect were derived from the refined DEM. Subsequently, the enhanced vegetation index (EVI) was introduced to improve the forest fire spread prediction model, enhancing prediction accuracy in areas with dense vegetation cover. By combining the model with CA, the predicted fire spread can be visualized. Finally, the predicted fire variable values were compared with the observed data from Muli Tibetan Autonomous County to verify the scientific validity and effectiveness of the model. The results indicate that the model is highly sensitive to vegetation changes in low EVI value ranges, with an effect size of 0.870, suggesting that the introduction of EVI improves fire prediction accuracy in areas with high vegetation cover. The improved fire spread model achieved an area prediction error rate and perimeter error rate of 29.40% and 5.79%, respectively, which are lower than the pre-improvement values of 44.27% and 16.99%. The Kappa coefficient of the improved model is 0.8238, which is closer to 1 compared to the pre-improvement model.

, authors=Weihao QIN1, 2, Quanyi LIU**, 1, 2, Hongzhou AI1, 2, Jihao LIU1, 2, Pei ZHU3, authorsList=Weihao QIN, Quanyi LIU, Hongzhou AI, Jihao LIU, Pei ZHU, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=Quanyi LIU, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=null, pdfFileSize=null, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null), CN=ArticleExt(id=1281608173157073551, articleId=1281608172381127307, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, language=CN, title=基于元胞自动机的森林火灾蔓延优化模型, columnId=1277328338280645463, journalTitle=中国安全科学学报, columnName=公共安全与应急管理, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=

为探究森林火灾中复杂地形与多因素耦合条件下的蔓延特性,构建集成地形坡度校正、风场影响及植被指数等多维信息的森林火灾蔓延优化模型。首先,利用高斯滤波优化处理数字高程模型(DEM)并根据DEM计算坡度和坡向;然后,引入增强型植被指数(EVI)构建王正非林火蔓延优化模型,提高高植被覆盖区的火灾预测准确性,并通过与元胞自动机(CA)相结合,可视化预测林火蔓延;最后,对比分析木里藏族自治县火灾预测值与真实值,验证该模型的科学性和有效性。结果表明:在低EVI值区间,模型对植被变化非常敏感,且效应量为0.870,表明引入EVI能够在高植被覆盖区提高火灾预测准确性;优化后的林火蔓延模型的面积预测误差率和周长误差率分别为29.40%和5.79%,低于优化前的44.27%和16.99%;优化后的林火蔓延模型的Kappa系数为0.823 8,相比于优化前更接近1。

, authors=覃炜豪1, 2, 刘全义教授**, 1, 2, 艾洪舟副教授1, 2, 刘继豪1, 2, 朱培副教授3, authorsList=覃炜豪, 刘全义教授, 艾洪舟副教授, 刘继豪, 朱培副教授, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=刘全义教授, authorNote=

覃炜豪(2000—),男,四川德阳人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为火灾图像分割、森林火灾防控。E-mail:

, correspAuthorsNote=
** 刘全义(1987—),男,河南郸城人,博士,教授,主要从事智能化火灾探测及新型灭火技术、机场智慧消防与航空应急救援等方面的研究。E-mail:
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覃炜豪(2000—),男,四川德阳人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为火灾图像分割、森林火灾防控。E-mail:

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覃炜豪(2000—),男,四川德阳人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为火灾图像分割、森林火灾防控。E-mail:

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基于元胞自动机的森林火灾蔓延优化模型
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覃炜豪 1, 2 , 刘全义教授 **, 1, 2 , 艾洪舟副教授 1, 2 , 刘继豪 1, 2 , 朱培副教授 3
中国安全科学学报 | 公共安全与应急管理 2026,36(3): 203-211
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中国安全科学学报 |公共安全与应急管理 2026 , 36 (3) : 203 -211
基于元胞自动机的森林火灾蔓延优化模型
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覃炜豪(2000—),男,四川德阳人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为火灾图像分割、森林火灾防控。E-mail:

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覃炜豪(2000—),男,四川德阳人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为火灾图像分割、森林火灾防控。E-mail:

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覃炜豪1, 2 , 刘全义教授**, 1, 2 , 艾洪舟副教授1, 2, 刘继豪1, 2, 朱培副教授3
作者信息
  • 1中国民用航空飞行学院 民航安全与工程学院,四川 广汉 618307
  • 2中国民用航空飞行学院 民机火灾科学与安全工程四川省重点实验室,四川 广汉 618307
  • 3南京航空航天大学 民航学院,江苏 南京 211106
通讯作者:
** 刘全义(1987—),男,河南郸城人,博士,教授,主要从事智能化火灾探测及新型灭火技术、机场智慧消防与航空应急救援等方面的研究。E-mail:
作者简介:

覃炜豪(2000—),男,四川德阳人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为火灾图像分割、森林火灾防控。E-mail:

Optimization model of forest fire spread based on cellular automata
Weihao QIN1, 2 , Quanyi LIU**, 1, 2 , Hongzhou AI1, 2, Jihao LIU1, 2, Pei ZHU3
Affiliations
  • 1College of Civil Aviation Safety Engineering, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan Sichuan 618307, China
  • 2Civil Aircraft Fire Science and Safety Engineering Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan Sichuan 618307, China
  • 3College of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing Jiangsu 210016, China
出版时间: 2026-03-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.03.0362
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为探究森林火灾中复杂地形与多因素耦合条件下的蔓延特性,构建集成地形坡度校正、风场影响及植被指数等多维信息的森林火灾蔓延优化模型。首先,利用高斯滤波优化处理数字高程模型(DEM)并根据DEM计算坡度和坡向;然后,引入增强型植被指数(EVI)构建王正非林火蔓延优化模型,提高高植被覆盖区的火灾预测准确性,并通过与元胞自动机(CA)相结合,可视化预测林火蔓延;最后,对比分析木里藏族自治县火灾预测值与真实值,验证该模型的科学性和有效性。结果表明:在低EVI值区间,模型对植被变化非常敏感,且效应量为0.870,表明引入EVI能够在高植被覆盖区提高火灾预测准确性;优化后的林火蔓延模型的面积预测误差率和周长误差率分别为29.40%和5.79%,低于优化前的44.27%和16.99%;优化后的林火蔓延模型的Kappa系数为0.823 8,相比于优化前更接近1。

元胞自动机(CA)  /  森林火灾  /  林火蔓延  /  高斯滤波  /  王正非林火蔓延优化模型

To investigate the spread characteristics of forest fires under complex topography and multi-factor coupling conditions, this study develops an optimized forest fire spread model that integrates terrain-slope correction, wind-field effects, and vegetation indices. First, Gaussian filtering was applied to correct the digital elevation model (DEM) to reduce noise, and terrain slope and aspect were derived from the refined DEM. Subsequently, the enhanced vegetation index (EVI) was introduced to improve the forest fire spread prediction model, enhancing prediction accuracy in areas with dense vegetation cover. By combining the model with CA, the predicted fire spread can be visualized. Finally, the predicted fire variable values were compared with the observed data from Muli Tibetan Autonomous County to verify the scientific validity and effectiveness of the model. The results indicate that the model is highly sensitive to vegetation changes in low EVI value ranges, with an effect size of 0.870, suggesting that the introduction of EVI improves fire prediction accuracy in areas with high vegetation cover. The improved fire spread model achieved an area prediction error rate and perimeter error rate of 29.40% and 5.79%, respectively, which are lower than the pre-improvement values of 44.27% and 16.99%. The Kappa coefficient of the improved model is 0.8238, which is closer to 1 compared to the pre-improvement model.

cellular automata (CA)  /  forest fire  /  forest fire spread  /  gaussian filter  /  WANG Zhengfei wildfire spread optimization model
覃炜豪, 刘全义教授, 艾洪舟副教授, 刘继豪, 朱培副教授. 基于元胞自动机的森林火灾蔓延优化模型. 中国安全科学学报, 2026 , 36 (3) : 203 -211 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.03.0362
Weihao QIN, Quanyi LIU, Hongzhou AI, Jihao LIU, Pei ZHU. Optimization model of forest fire spread based on cellular automata[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2026 , 36 (3) : 203 -211 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.03.0362
  • 国家自然科学基金资助(52202416)
  • 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(2025CAFUC01007)
  • 四川省院校合作项目(2024YFHZ0027)
  • 复杂山区灾后地空多式协同全覆盖搜索与分阶段救援方法研究项目(H2023-70)
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doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.03.0362
  • 接收时间:2025-10-18
  • 首发时间:2026-07-08
  • 出版时间:2026-03-28
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  • 收稿日期:2025-10-18
  • 修回日期:2025-12-23
基金
国家自然科学基金资助(52202416)
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(2025CAFUC01007)
四川省院校合作项目(2024YFHZ0027)
复杂山区灾后地空多式协同全覆盖搜索与分阶段救援方法研究项目(H2023-70)
作者信息
    1中国民用航空飞行学院 民航安全与工程学院,四川 广汉 618307
    2中国民用航空飞行学院 民机火灾科学与安全工程四川省重点实验室,四川 广汉 618307
    3南京航空航天大学 民航学院,江苏 南京 211106

通讯作者:

** 刘全义(1987—),男,河南郸城人,博士,教授,主要从事智能化火灾探测及新型灭火技术、机场智慧消防与航空应急救援等方面的研究。E-mail:
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2种不同金属材料的力学参数

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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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