Article(id=1281627184389402872, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1281627156769903305, articleNumber=null, orderNo=null, doi=10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.01.0824, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1756828800000, receivedDateStr=2025-09-03, revisedDate=1762272000000, revisedDateStr=2025-11-05, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1783493332240, onlineDateStr=2026-07-08, pubDate=1769529600000, pubDateStr=2026-01-28, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1783493332240, onlineIssueDateStr=2026-07-08, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1783493332240, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1783493332240, updator=13701087609, issue=Issue{id=1281627156769903305, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, year='2026', volume='36', issue='1', pageStart='1', pageEnd='280', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='1769529600000', pubDateStr='2026-01-28', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=1, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1783493325654, creator='13701087609', updateTime=1783588714348, updator='13701087609', preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, articleTotal=null, ext={EN=IssueExt(id=1282027246013624992, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1281627156769903305, language=EN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=), CN=IssueExt(id=1282027246013624993, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1281627156769903305, language=CN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=)}, issueFiles=null, downloadFileDto=null}, startPage=174, endPage=181, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1281627186029375737, articleId=1281627184389402872, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, language=EN, title=Analysis of vulnerability characteristics and obstacle factors of outbound transportation systems in China's inland areas, columnId=1277328338121261909, journalTitle=China Safety Science Journal, columnName=Public Safety and Emergency Management, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=

To optimize the layout of the outbound transportation system and enhance system resilience, a "Sensitivity-Response" dual-dimensional evaluation index system was constructed. The comprehensive methods including set pair analysis, spatial Markov chain, and obstacle degree model were used to analyze the dynamic characteristics and driving mechanisms of vulnerability in 225 inland cities in China. The findings reveal that vulnerability demonstrates significant multi-polarization and spatial club convergence. The overall vulnerability decreases annually, evolving from bi-polarization to multi-polarization, with a reduction of absolute difference. Vulnerability exhibits significant spatial auto-correlation and spillover effects, forming a spatial pattern where "high-vulnerability is clustered along the borders, while low-vulnerability diffuses from urban agglomerations". A low-vulnerability neighborhood environment increases the probability of a city's vulnerability transferring downward by 64.5%. The obstructive effects of both freight turnover volume and total import-export trade value weaken annually. In contrast, the hindering effect of shortest inland-port road travel time shifts from a relatively stable to a consistent increase. Furthermore, city hub level and connectivity impose significant constraints on vulnerability of non-hub cities.

, authors=Jiemei LI, Ying YANG, Yuanxiong ZHANG, authorsList=Jiemei LI, Ying YANG, Yuanxiong ZHANG, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=null, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=null, pdfFileSize=null, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null), CN=ArticleExt(id=1281627186771767548, articleId=1281627184389402872, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, language=CN, title=中国内陆地区出境交通系统脆弱性特征及障碍因子分析, columnId=1277328338280645463, journalTitle=中国安全科学学报, columnName=公共安全与应急管理, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=

为优化内陆出境交通系统布局,提升跨境运输韧性,构建“敏感性-应对性”双维度评价指标体系,综合集对分析模型、空间马尔可夫链与障碍度模型,系统解析中国内陆225个城市的脆弱性动态特征及其驱动机制。结果表明:脆弱性呈现显著的多极分化与空间俱乐部收敛特征,随时间演化脆弱性整体逐年降低,且由两极化向多极化演变,绝对差异减小。脆弱性具有显著空间自相关特征和空间溢出效应,形成“高脆弱性沿边集聚,低脆弱性以城市群为中心扩散”的空间格局,邻域背景通过路径依赖制约脆弱性演化方向,邻域低脆弱性环境可使城市脆弱性向下转移概率提升64.5%。货运周转量和进出口贸易总额障碍因子的作用逐年减弱;内陆-口岸公路最短旅行时间障碍效应从相对稳定逐渐转为持续上升;城市枢纽等级和连接度对非枢纽城市脆弱性构成显著制约。

, authors=李杰梅教授, 杨颖, 张远雄, authorsList=李杰梅教授, 杨颖, 张远雄, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=null, authorNote=

李杰梅(1975—),女,云南大理人,博士,教授,主要从事物流系统规划、交通网络建模与仿真、区域经济学方面的研究。E-mail:

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李杰梅(1975—),女,云南大理人,博士,教授,主要从事物流系统规划、交通网络建模与仿真、区域经济学方面的研究。E-mail:

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李杰梅(1975—),女,云南大理人,博士,教授,主要从事物流系统规划、交通网络建模与仿真、区域经济学方面的研究。E-mail:

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中国内陆地区出境交通系统脆弱性特征及障碍因子分析
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李杰梅教授 , 杨颖 , 张远雄
中国安全科学学报 | 公共安全与应急管理 2026,36(1): 174-181
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中国安全科学学报 |公共安全与应急管理 2026 , 36 (1) : 174 -181
中国内陆地区出境交通系统脆弱性特征及障碍因子分析
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李杰梅教授 , 杨颖, 张远雄
作者信息
  • 昆明理工大学 交通工程学院,云南 昆明 650504
作者简介:

李杰梅(1975—),女,云南大理人,博士,教授,主要从事物流系统规划、交通网络建模与仿真、区域经济学方面的研究。E-mail:

Analysis of vulnerability characteristics and obstacle factors of outbound transportation systems in China's inland areas
Jiemei LI , Ying YANG, Yuanxiong ZHANG
Affiliations
  • School of Transportation Engineering, Kunming University of Technology, Kunming Yunnan 650504, China
出版时间: 2026-01-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.01.0824
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为优化内陆出境交通系统布局,提升跨境运输韧性,构建“敏感性-应对性”双维度评价指标体系,综合集对分析模型、空间马尔可夫链与障碍度模型,系统解析中国内陆225个城市的脆弱性动态特征及其驱动机制。结果表明:脆弱性呈现显著的多极分化与空间俱乐部收敛特征,随时间演化脆弱性整体逐年降低,且由两极化向多极化演变,绝对差异减小。脆弱性具有显著空间自相关特征和空间溢出效应,形成“高脆弱性沿边集聚,低脆弱性以城市群为中心扩散”的空间格局,邻域背景通过路径依赖制约脆弱性演化方向,邻域低脆弱性环境可使城市脆弱性向下转移概率提升64.5%。货运周转量和进出口贸易总额障碍因子的作用逐年减弱;内陆-口岸公路最短旅行时间障碍效应从相对稳定逐渐转为持续上升;城市枢纽等级和连接度对非枢纽城市脆弱性构成显著制约。

内陆地区  /  出境交通系统脆弱性  /  时空演化  /  空间溢出效应  /  障碍因子

To optimize the layout of the outbound transportation system and enhance system resilience, a "Sensitivity-Response" dual-dimensional evaluation index system was constructed. The comprehensive methods including set pair analysis, spatial Markov chain, and obstacle degree model were used to analyze the dynamic characteristics and driving mechanisms of vulnerability in 225 inland cities in China. The findings reveal that vulnerability demonstrates significant multi-polarization and spatial club convergence. The overall vulnerability decreases annually, evolving from bi-polarization to multi-polarization, with a reduction of absolute difference. Vulnerability exhibits significant spatial auto-correlation and spillover effects, forming a spatial pattern where "high-vulnerability is clustered along the borders, while low-vulnerability diffuses from urban agglomerations". A low-vulnerability neighborhood environment increases the probability of a city's vulnerability transferring downward by 64.5%. The obstructive effects of both freight turnover volume and total import-export trade value weaken annually. In contrast, the hindering effect of shortest inland-port road travel time shifts from a relatively stable to a consistent increase. Furthermore, city hub level and connectivity impose significant constraints on vulnerability of non-hub cities.

inland areas  /  vulnerability of outbound transportation systems  /  spatio-temporal evolution  /  spatial spillover effects  /  obstacle factors
李杰梅教授, 杨颖, 张远雄. 中国内陆地区出境交通系统脆弱性特征及障碍因子分析. 中国安全科学学报, 2026 , 36 (1) : 174 -181 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.01.0824
Jiemei LI, Ying YANG, Yuanxiong ZHANG. Analysis of vulnerability characteristics and obstacle factors of outbound transportation systems in China's inland areas[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2026 , 36 (1) : 174 -181 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.01.0824
  • 国家自然科学基金资助(72263022)
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doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.01.0824
  • 接收时间:2025-09-03
  • 首发时间:2026-07-08
  • 出版时间:2026-01-28
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  • 收稿日期:2025-09-03
  • 修回日期:2025-11-05
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国家自然科学基金资助(72263022)
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    昆明理工大学 交通工程学院,云南 昆明 650504
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2种不同金属材料的力学参数

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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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