Article(id=1282036043788562586, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1282036038860255373, articleNumber=null, orderNo=null, doi=10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.11.0097, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1746806400000, receivedDateStr=2025-05-10, revisedDate=1755014400000, revisedDateStr=2025-08-13, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1783590811917, onlineDateStr=2026-07-09, pubDate=1764259200000, pubDateStr=2025-11-28, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1783590811917, onlineIssueDateStr=2026-07-09, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1783590811917, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1783590811917, updator=13701087609, issue=Issue{id=1282036038860255373, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, year='2025', volume='35', issue='11', pageStart='1', pageEnd='268', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='1764259200000', pubDateStr='2025-11-28', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=1, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1783590810742, creator='13701087609', updateTime=1783593801313, updator='13701087609', preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, articleTotal=null, ext={EN=IssueExt(id=1282048582291276616, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1282036038860255373, language=EN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=), CN=IssueExt(id=1282048582295470921, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1282036038860255373, language=CN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=)}, issueFiles=null, downloadFileDto=null}, startPage=16, endPage=23, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1282036044048609435, articleId=1282036043788562586, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, language=EN, title=Risk zoo (Ⅸ): white rabbit metaphor for mechanism interpretation of acceptable risk transformation, columnId=1149733271128420907, journalTitle=China Safety Science Journal, columnName=Safety social science and safety management, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=

In order to enhance the identification and control of low-probability, low-consequence risk events, this study draws on the theory of acceptable risk and employs questionnaire surveys combined with repeated-measures analysis of variance to examine the applicability and scientific validity of animal metaphors in representing acceptable risks. The questionnaire was designed to assess four animals across dimensions such as perceived threat, stability, controllability, and cultural-emotional associations. Sixty participants with a background in risk management were invited to provide quantitative evaluations. The results indicate that the white rabbit received significantly higher acceptability ratings than the cat, dog, and wolf, with the lowest risk level and the most positive cultural associations, indicating its suitability as a metaphorical representation of acceptable risk. Rabbit risks are characterized by low probability, mild consequences, and cumulative effects, and may transform into unacceptable risks under the influence of multiple factors. Based on this, three prevention principles are proposed: adhering to ALARP principle, incorporating differences in individual and group risk perception, and applying high-probability thinking to low-probability events. A multi-level prevention system comprising elimination, substitution, control, and isolation is constructed to achieve comprehensive risk governance for white rabbit risks.

, authors=Ruipeng TONG, Jiehua HE, Fanjie LIANG, Muchen LI, authorsList=Ruipeng TONG, Jiehua HE, Fanjie LIANG, Muchen LI, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=null, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=null, pdfFileSize=null, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null), CN=ArticleExt(id=1282036044367376540, articleId=1282036043788562586, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, language=CN, title=风险动物园(Ⅸ):大白兔隐喻对可接受风险转化的机制阐释, columnId=1149733271296193071, journalTitle=中国安全科学学报, columnName=安全社会科学与安全管理, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=

为提升对低概率、低后果风险事件的识别和防控能力,基于可接受风险理论,采用问卷调查与重复测量方差分析方法,研究动物隐喻在可接受风险表征中的适用性和科学性。调查设计涵盖威胁性、稳定性、可控性、文化情感联想等维度,邀请60名具有风险管理背景的参与者对4种动物进行量化评价。结果表明:大白兔在可接受性评分中显著高于猫、狗和狼,风险等级最低,且文化联想积极性最高,适合作为可接受风险的隐喻代表。大白兔风险具有低概率、低后果、累积性等特征,并在多重因素作用下可能发生转化,进入不可接受风险区。遵循合理可行的最低风险水平(ALARP)原则、结合个体与群体风险感知差异、用大概率思维应对小概率事件,并构建涵盖“消除—替代—控制—隔离”的多层次防控体系,能够实现对大白兔风险的全链条防控。

, authors=佟瑞鹏教授, 和杰花, 梁梵洁, 李慕晨, authorsList=佟瑞鹏教授, 和杰花, 梁梵洁, 李慕晨, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=null, authorNote=

佟瑞鹏(1977—),男,黑龙江穆棱人,博士,教授,主要从事行为安全管理、职业心理健康、环境风险评估等方面的研究。E-mail:

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佟瑞鹏(1977—),男,黑龙江穆棱人,博士,教授,主要从事行为安全管理、职业心理健康、环境风险评估等方面的研究。E-mail:

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佟瑞鹏(1977—),男,黑龙江穆棱人,博士,教授,主要从事行为安全管理、职业心理健康、环境风险评估等方面的研究。E-mail:

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风险动物园(Ⅸ):大白兔隐喻对可接受风险转化的机制阐释
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佟瑞鹏教授 , 和杰花 , 梁梵洁 , 李慕晨
中国安全科学学报 | 安全社会科学与安全管理 2025,35(11): 16-23
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中国安全科学学报 |安全社会科学与安全管理 2025 , 35 (11) : 16 -23
风险动物园(Ⅸ):大白兔隐喻对可接受风险转化的机制阐释
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佟瑞鹏教授 , 和杰花, 梁梵洁, 李慕晨
作者信息
  • 中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083
作者简介:

佟瑞鹏(1977—),男,黑龙江穆棱人,博士,教授,主要从事行为安全管理、职业心理健康、环境风险评估等方面的研究。E-mail:

Risk zoo (Ⅸ): white rabbit metaphor for mechanism interpretation of acceptable risk transformation
Ruipeng TONG , Jiehua HE, Fanjie LIANG, Muchen LI
Affiliations
  • School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Ming and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 10083, China
出版时间: 2025-11-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.11.0097
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为提升对低概率、低后果风险事件的识别和防控能力,基于可接受风险理论,采用问卷调查与重复测量方差分析方法,研究动物隐喻在可接受风险表征中的适用性和科学性。调查设计涵盖威胁性、稳定性、可控性、文化情感联想等维度,邀请60名具有风险管理背景的参与者对4种动物进行量化评价。结果表明:大白兔在可接受性评分中显著高于猫、狗和狼,风险等级最低,且文化联想积极性最高,适合作为可接受风险的隐喻代表。大白兔风险具有低概率、低后果、累积性等特征,并在多重因素作用下可能发生转化,进入不可接受风险区。遵循合理可行的最低风险水平(ALARP)原则、结合个体与群体风险感知差异、用大概率思维应对小概率事件,并构建涵盖“消除—替代—控制—隔离”的多层次防控体系,能够实现对大白兔风险的全链条防控。

可接受风险  /  大白兔风险  /  风险隐喻  /  风险管理  /  合理可行的最低风险水平(ALARP)原则  /  累积效应

In order to enhance the identification and control of low-probability, low-consequence risk events, this study draws on the theory of acceptable risk and employs questionnaire surveys combined with repeated-measures analysis of variance to examine the applicability and scientific validity of animal metaphors in representing acceptable risks. The questionnaire was designed to assess four animals across dimensions such as perceived threat, stability, controllability, and cultural-emotional associations. Sixty participants with a background in risk management were invited to provide quantitative evaluations. The results indicate that the white rabbit received significantly higher acceptability ratings than the cat, dog, and wolf, with the lowest risk level and the most positive cultural associations, indicating its suitability as a metaphorical representation of acceptable risk. Rabbit risks are characterized by low probability, mild consequences, and cumulative effects, and may transform into unacceptable risks under the influence of multiple factors. Based on this, three prevention principles are proposed: adhering to ALARP principle, incorporating differences in individual and group risk perception, and applying high-probability thinking to low-probability events. A multi-level prevention system comprising elimination, substitution, control, and isolation is constructed to achieve comprehensive risk governance for white rabbit risks.

acceptable risk  /  white rabbit risk  /  risk metaphor  /  risk management  /  as low as reasonably practicable (ALARP) principle  /  cumulative effects
佟瑞鹏教授, 和杰花, 梁梵洁, 李慕晨. 风险动物园(Ⅸ):大白兔隐喻对可接受风险转化的机制阐释. 中国安全科学学报, 2025 , 35 (11) : 16 -23 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.11.0097
Ruipeng TONG, Jiehua HE, Fanjie LIANG, Muchen LI. Risk zoo (Ⅸ): white rabbit metaphor for mechanism interpretation of acceptable risk transformation[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2025 , 35 (11) : 16 -23 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.11.0097
  • 国家自然科学基金资助(52074302)
  • 北京市自然科学基金资助(8212015)
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doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.11.0097
  • 接收时间:2025-05-10
  • 首发时间:2026-07-09
  • 出版时间:2025-11-28
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  • 收稿日期:2025-05-10
  • 修回日期:2025-08-13
基金
国家自然科学基金资助(52074302)
北京市自然科学基金资助(8212015)
作者信息
    中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083
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https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/zgaqkxxb/CN/10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.11.0097
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2种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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