Article(id=1282030090749985552, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1282030021623657005, articleNumber=null, orderNo=null, doi=10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.08.1750, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1742054400000, receivedDateStr=2025-03-16, revisedDate=1747843200000, revisedDateStr=2025-05-22, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1783589392601, onlineDateStr=2026-07-09, pubDate=1756310400000, pubDateStr=2025-08-28, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1783589392601, onlineIssueDateStr=2026-07-09, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1783589392601, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1783589392601, updator=13701087609, issue=Issue{id=1282030021623657005, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, year='2025', volume='35', issue='8', pageStart='1', pageEnd='276', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='1756310400000', pubDateStr='2025-08-28', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=1, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1783589376121, creator='13701087609', updateTime=1783589731222, updator='13701087609', preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, articleTotal=null, ext={EN=IssueExt(id=1282031511155228698, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1282030021623657005, language=EN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=), CN=IssueExt(id=1282031511155228699, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1282030021623657005, language=CN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=)}, issueFiles=null, downloadFileDto=null}, startPage=227, endPage=235, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1282030090968089361, articleId=1282030090749985552, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, language=EN, title=Risk assessment of public opinion on extreme rainstorm disasters based on three-way decisions under event system theory, columnId=1149735802789348081, journalTitle=China Safety Science Journal, columnName=Technology and engineering of disaster prevention and mitigation, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=

In order to realize scientific risk assessment of public opinion on extreme rainstorms, this paper proposed a public opinion risk assessment method of extreme rainstorm disasters based on three-way decisions under the event system theory. From the perspective of event system theory, this method determined the life cycle of public opinion and built indicators for evaluating the risk of public opinion on extreme rainstorm disasters by integrating three dimensions: time, space, and strength. Meanwhile, this paper integrated review helpfulness with hesitant intuitionistic fuzzy sets, effectively quantifying public opinion preferences regarding risk assessment indicators of public opinion. On this basis, the paper extended the three-way decision method to classify public opinion risk into five levels, achieving a scientific assessment of public opinion risk towards extreme rainstorm disasters. Using actual cases and comparative analyses, the effectiveness and adaptability of the risk assessment model of public opinion towards extreme rainstorm disasters were verified. The results show that the proposed method not only successfully realizes the scientific selection of public opinion risk assessment indicators with respect to extreme rainstorm disasters and the effective quantification of public opinion preferences, but also alleviates the decision-making errors caused by the information and cognitive limitations of existing assessment methods to a certain extent.

, authors=Ruxin NIE, Luo WANG, Ziyu ZHANG, authorsList=Ruxin NIE, Luo WANG, Ziyu ZHANG, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=null, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=null, pdfFileSize=null, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null), CN=ArticleExt(id=1282030091588846356, articleId=1282030090749985552, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, language=CN, title=事件系统理论下基于三支决策的特大暴雨灾害舆情风险评价, columnId=1149735802885817075, journalTitle=中国安全科学学报, columnName=防灾减灾技术与工程, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=

为科学评估特大暴雨舆情风险,提出一种事件系统理论下基于三支决策的特大暴雨舆情风险评价方法。该方法从事件系统理论视角出发,结合时间、空间、强度3个维度,确定舆情生命周期并构建特大暴雨舆情风险评价指标。同时,结合评论有用性和犹豫直觉模糊集,有效量化关于舆情风险评价指标的公众舆情偏好。在此基础上,拓展三支决策方法,将舆情风险划分为5个等级,实现特大暴雨灾害舆情风险的科学评价。借助实际案例和对比分析,验证特大暴雨舆情风险评价模型的有效性和适应性。结果表明:所提方法不仅成功实现特大暴雨灾害舆情风险评价指标的科学选取,以及公众舆情偏好的有效量化,而且一定程度上缓解已有评价方法由于信息和认知局限带来的决策误差。

, authors=聂如欣讲师, 王洛, 张紫玉, authorsList=聂如欣讲师, 王洛, 张紫玉, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=null, authorNote=

聂如欣(1992—),女,吉林长春人,博士,讲师,硕士生导师,主要从事数据挖掘与智能决策、应急决策、舆情分析等方面的研究。E-mail:

, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=57ogvMM9q6VzZvDtoFckRg==, magXml=RmCjqi/e7bvaF/At/JFvuw==, pdfUrl=null, pdf=d5itGl9P4ovhSYnumQKcqw==, pdfFileSize=3035753, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=gi5pn0IG+7M+l7mykcXKPQ==, mapNumber=null, fund=null)}, authors=[Author(id=1282030093425951513, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, orderNo=0, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=rx_nie@cumt.edu.cn, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1282030093530809115, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, authorId=1282030093425951513, language=EN, stringName=Ruxin NIE, firstName=Ruxin, middleName=null, lastName=NIE, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou Jiangsu 221116, China, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1282030093606306589, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, authorId=1282030093425951513, language=CN, stringName=聂如欣讲师, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=中国矿业大学 经济管理学院,江苏 徐州 221116, bio={"content":"

聂如欣(1992—),女,吉林长春人,博士,讲师,硕士生导师,主要从事数据挖掘与智能决策、应急决策、舆情分析等方面的研究。E-mail:

"}, bioImg=null, bioContent=

聂如欣(1992—),女,吉林长春人,博士,讲师,硕士生导师,主要从事数据挖掘与智能决策、应急决策、舆情分析等方面的研究。E-mail:

, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282030091848893205, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282030091861476118, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, companyId=1282030091848893205, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou Jiangsu 221116, China), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282030091874059031, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, companyId=1282030091848893205, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学 经济管理学院,江苏 徐州 221116)])]), Author(id=1282030093736330015, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, orderNo=1, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=null, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1282030093828604705, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, authorId=1282030093736330015, language=EN, stringName=Luo WANG, firstName=Luo, middleName=null, lastName=WANG, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou Jiangsu 221116, China, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1282030093937656610, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, authorId=1282030093736330015, language=CN, stringName=王洛, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=中国矿业大学 经济管理学院,江苏 徐州 221116, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282030091848893205, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282030091861476118, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, companyId=1282030091848893205, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou Jiangsu 221116, China), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282030091874059031, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, companyId=1282030091848893205, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学 经济管理学院,江苏 徐州 221116)])]), Author(id=1282030094008959780, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, orderNo=2, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=null, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1282030094214480678, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, authorId=1282030094008959780, language=EN, stringName=Ziyu ZHANG, firstName=Ziyu, middleName=null, lastName=ZHANG, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou Jiangsu 221116, China, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1282030094319338279, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, authorId=1282030094008959780, language=CN, stringName=张紫玉, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=中国矿业大学 经济管理学院,江苏 徐州 221116, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282030091848893205, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282030091861476118, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, companyId=1282030091848893205, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou Jiangsu 221116, China), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282030091874059031, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, companyId=1282030091848893205, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学 经济管理学院,江苏 徐州 221116)])])], keywords=[Keyword(id=1282030094424195880, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, language=EN, orderNo=1, keyword=event system theory), Keyword(id=1282030094495499049, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, language=EN, orderNo=2, keyword=three-way decisions), Keyword(id=1282030094566802218, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, language=EN, orderNo=3, keyword=extreme rainstorm disasters), Keyword(id=1282030094625522475, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, language=EN, orderNo=4, keyword=public opinion risk assessment), Keyword(id=1282030094688437036, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, language=EN, orderNo=5, keyword=public opinion), Keyword(id=1282030094747157293, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, language=EN, orderNo=6, keyword=review helpfulness), Keyword(id=1282030094801683246, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=事件系统理论), Keyword(id=1282030094860403503, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, language=CN, orderNo=2, keyword=三支决策), Keyword(id=1282030094931706672, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, language=CN, orderNo=3, keyword=特大暴雨灾害), Keyword(id=1282030094986232625, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, language=CN, orderNo=4, keyword=舆情风险评价), Keyword(id=1282030095065924402, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, language=CN, orderNo=5, keyword=网络舆情), Keyword(id=1282030095133033267, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, language=CN, orderNo=6, keyword=评论有用性)], refs=null, funds=[Fund(id=1282030095263056692, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, awardId=72301277, language=CN, fundingSource=国家自然科学基金资助(72301277), fundOrder=null, country=null), Fund(id=1282030095321776949, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, awardId=2023QN1052, language=CN, fundingSource=中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(2023QN1052), fundOrder=null, country=null)], companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282030091848893205, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282030091861476118, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, companyId=1282030091848893205, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou Jiangsu 221116, China), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282030091874059031, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, companyId=1282030091848893205, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学 经济管理学院,江苏 徐州 221116)])], figs=null, attaches=null, journal=Journal(id=1123942128916217864, delFlag=0, nameCn=中国安全科学学报, nameEn=China Safety Science Journal, nameHistory1=null, nameHistory2=null, issn=1003-3033, eissn=, cn=11-2865/X, coden=null, periodic=0, language=CN, oaType=0, ccby=null, superviseOffice=null, ownerOffice=null, pubOffice=null, editorOffice=null, officeType=null, aims=null, clcCode=null, officeProv=null, officeCity=null, officeAddr=null, officeZip=null, officeEmail=null, officePhone=null, editDirector=null, officeDirector=null, officeDirectorPhone=null, officeStaffNum=null, officeEmpNum=null, coverPicUrl=fkqsFM6VKlHC4gCtS5XqTw==, journalPrice=null, startedYear=null, abbrevIsoEn=Chin Saf Sci J, journalRemark=null, publicationField=null, createdTime=null, updatedTime=1784015834644, createdBy=null, updatedBy=13041195026, firstLetterCn=Z, firstLetterEn=Z, subjectCode=Engineering, subjectName=工程, subjectCodeEn=Engineering, subjectNameEn=null, picCn=fkqsFM6VKlHC4gCtS5XqTw==, picEn=SHn9HgqSxtJrOcAxqD++4Q==, jcr=null, cjcr=null, exts=[JournalExt(id=1283818719495308010, language=CN, name=中国安全科学学报, nameHistory1=null, nameHistory2=null, managedBy=中国科学技术协会, sponsoredBy=中国职业安全健康协会, publishedBy=《中国安全科学学报》编辑部, editorOffice=, officeProv=null, officeCity=null, officeAddr=, officeZip=, editDirector=, officeDirector=null, officePhone=null, coverPicUrl=null, journalRemark=, submitArticleUrl=null, websiteUrl=http://www.cssjj.com.cn/, createdTime=1784015834926, updatedTime=1784015834926, createdBy=13041195026, updatedBy=13041195026, submissionGuidelinesUrl=http://www.cssjj.com.cn/CN/column/item15.shtml, submissionAuthorUrl=https://zgaqkxxbauthor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionEditorUrl=https://zgaqkxxbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionReviewUrl=https://zgaqkxxbauthor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionCeEditorUrl=https://zgaqkxxbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionAeEditorUrl=https://zgaqkxxbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, option={"copyright":""}), JournalExt(id=1283818719541445355, language=EN, name=China Safety Science Journal, nameHistory1=null, nameHistory2=null, managedBy=, sponsoredBy=, publishedBy=, editorOffice=, officeProv=null, officeCity=null, officeAddr=, officeZip=, editDirector=, officeDirector=null, officePhone=null, coverPicUrl=null, journalRemark=, submitArticleUrl=null, websiteUrl=http://www.cssjj.com.cn/EN/1003-3033/home.shtml, createdTime=1784015834937, updatedTime=1784015834937, createdBy=13041195026, updatedBy=13041195026, submissionGuidelinesUrl=https://synbioj.cip.com.cn/EN/column/column3.shtml, submissionAuthorUrl=https://zgaqkxxbauthor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionEditorUrl=https://zgaqkxxbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionReviewUrl=https://zgaqkxxbauthor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionCeEditorUrl=https://zgaqkxxbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionAeEditorUrl=https://zgaqkxxbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, option={"copyright":""})], databaseList=null, tenantJournalId=1146031787341344770, websiteList=[Website(id=1148243202345263519, webName=null, webTitle=null, webDomain=null, webCopyrigh=null, webIpcNo=null, seoTitle=null, seoKeywords=null, seoDescription=null, tenantJournalId=null, journalId=1146031787341344770, journalNameCn=null, journalNameEn=null, grayFlag=null, tenantId=1146029695717560320, platformId=null, journalGroupId=null, journalGroupNameCn=null, journalGroupNameEn=null, type=1, domain=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/zgaqkxxb/CN, language=CN, createTime=1751692112766, createBy=18614031015, updateTime=1753502583634, updateBy=18614031015, name=《中国安全科学学报》中文站点, tplId=1146099689490845704, title=中国安全科学学报, delFlag=0, indexPage=/home, props=[WebsiteProps(id=1148618794941046792, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1148243202345263519, code=articleTextType, value=kx, createTime=1751781661020, updateTime=1751781661020, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148618794911686661, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1148243202345263519, code=banner, value=null, createTime=1751781661012, updateTime=1751781661012, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148618794894909444, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1148243202345263519, code=logo, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/file/pic?fileId=tui0IVO9FMwB61HHtX5scg==, createTime=1751781661008, updateTime=1751781661008, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148618794932658183, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1148243202345263519, code=picServerUrl, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/file/pic, createTime=1751781661017, updateTime=1751781661017, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148618794924269574, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1148243202345263519, code=staticResourcePath, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/cast_kjdb_cn_619/, createTime=1751781661015, updateTime=1751781661015, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015)]), Website(id=1155836763751993353, webName=null, webTitle=null, webDomain=null, webCopyrigh=null, webIpcNo=null, seoTitle=null, seoKeywords=null, seoDescription=null, tenantJournalId=null, journalId=1146031787341344770, journalNameCn=null, journalNameEn=null, grayFlag=null, tenantId=1146029695717560320, platformId=null, journalGroupId=null, journalGroupNameCn=null, journalGroupNameEn=null, type=1, domain=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/zgaqkxxb/EN, language=EN, createTime=1753502558893, createBy=18614031015, updateTime=1753524450387, updateBy=18614031015, name=《中国安全科学学报》英文站点, tplId=1146101810881728533, title=China Safety Science Journal, delFlag=0, indexPage=/home, props=[WebsiteProps(id=1155895925743669425, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1155836763751993353, code=articleTextType, value=kx, createTime=1753516664205, updateTime=1753516664205, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155895925722697902, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1155836763751993353, code=banner, value=null, createTime=1753516664200, updateTime=1753516664200, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155895925714309293, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1155836763751993353, code=logo, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/file/pic?fileId=tui0IVO9FMwB61HHtX5scg==, createTime=1753516664198, updateTime=1753516664198, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155895925735280816, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1155836763751993353, code=picServerUrl, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/file/pic, createTime=1753516664203, updateTime=1753516664203, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155895925731086511, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1155836763751993353, code=staticResourcePath, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/cast_kjdb_cn_619/, createTime=1753516664202, updateTime=1753516664202, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015)])], journalTitle=中国安全科学学报, weixinUrl=null, journalUrl=null, iacademicId=null, status=1, seqNo=null, journalTitleEn=China Safety Science Journal, journalPhotoCn=fkqsFM6VKlHC4gCtS5XqTw==, journalPhotoEn=SHn9HgqSxtJrOcAxqD++4Q==, journalFirstLetter=Z, journalRecommend=null, journalNew=null, journalCollection=1, jcrJf=null, cjcrJf=null, jcrJfStr=null, cjcrJfStr=null, submissionFirstDecision=null, sciSubjectClassification=null, casSubjectClassification=null, citeScore=null, totalCitationFrequency=null, icpCode=null, psCode=null, advertisingLicenseCode=null, copyrightInformation=null, country=null, option=, provinceCode=null, provinceName=null, collectFlag=false, interPubPlatform=, interPubPlatformUrl=null), detailUrlCn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/zgaqkxxb/CN/10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.08.1750, detailUrlEn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/zgaqkxxb/EN/10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.08.1750, pdfUrlCn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/zgaqkxxb/CN/PDF/10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.08.1750, pdfUrlEn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/zgaqkxxb/EN/PDF/10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.08.1750, aliStartDate=0, aliEndDate=0, collectionFlag=false, citedCount=null, citedUrl=null, previewStatus=0, delFlag=0, hasFullText=0, orderTime=1756310400000, fullTextJson=null, articleText=null, reference=null)
收藏切换
事件系统理论下基于三支决策的特大暴雨灾害舆情风险评价
收藏切换
PDF下载
聂如欣讲师 , 王洛 , 张紫玉
中国安全科学学报 | 防灾减灾技术与工程 2025,35(8): 227-235
收起
收藏切换
中国安全科学学报 |防灾减灾技术与工程 2025 , 35 (8) : 227 -235
事件系统理论下基于三支决策的特大暴雨灾害舆情风险评价
全屏
[Author(id=1282030093425951513, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, orderNo=0, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=rx_nie@cumt.edu.cn, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1282030093530809115, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, authorId=1282030093425951513, language=EN, stringName=Ruxin NIE, firstName=Ruxin, middleName=null, lastName=NIE, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou Jiangsu 221116, China, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1282030093606306589, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, authorId=1282030093425951513, language=CN, stringName=聂如欣讲师, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=中国矿业大学 经济管理学院,江苏 徐州 221116, bio={"content":"

聂如欣(1992—),女,吉林长春人,博士,讲师,硕士生导师,主要从事数据挖掘与智能决策、应急决策、舆情分析等方面的研究。E-mail:

"}, bioImg=null, bioContent=

聂如欣(1992—),女,吉林长春人,博士,讲师,硕士生导师,主要从事数据挖掘与智能决策、应急决策、舆情分析等方面的研究。E-mail:

, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282030091848893205, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282030091861476118, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, companyId=1282030091848893205, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou Jiangsu 221116, China), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282030091874059031, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, companyId=1282030091848893205, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学 经济管理学院,江苏 徐州 221116)])]), Author(id=1282030093736330015, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, orderNo=1, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=null, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1282030093828604705, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, authorId=1282030093736330015, language=EN, stringName=Luo WANG, firstName=Luo, middleName=null, lastName=WANG, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou Jiangsu 221116, China, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1282030093937656610, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, authorId=1282030093736330015, language=CN, stringName=王洛, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=中国矿业大学 经济管理学院,江苏 徐州 221116, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282030091848893205, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282030091861476118, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, companyId=1282030091848893205, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou Jiangsu 221116, China), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282030091874059031, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, companyId=1282030091848893205, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学 经济管理学院,江苏 徐州 221116)])]), Author(id=1282030094008959780, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, orderNo=2, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=null, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1282030094214480678, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, authorId=1282030094008959780, language=EN, stringName=Ziyu ZHANG, firstName=Ziyu, middleName=null, lastName=ZHANG, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou Jiangsu 221116, China, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1282030094319338279, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, authorId=1282030094008959780, language=CN, stringName=张紫玉, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=中国矿业大学 经济管理学院,江苏 徐州 221116, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282030091848893205, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282030091861476118, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, companyId=1282030091848893205, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou Jiangsu 221116, China), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282030091874059031, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282030090749985552, companyId=1282030091848893205, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学 经济管理学院,江苏 徐州 221116)])])]
聂如欣讲师 , 王洛, 张紫玉
作者信息
  • 中国矿业大学 经济管理学院,江苏 徐州 221116
作者简介:

聂如欣(1992—),女,吉林长春人,博士,讲师,硕士生导师,主要从事数据挖掘与智能决策、应急决策、舆情分析等方面的研究。E-mail:

Risk assessment of public opinion on extreme rainstorm disasters based on three-way decisions under event system theory
Ruxin NIE , Luo WANG, Ziyu ZHANG
Affiliations
  • School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou Jiangsu 221116, China
出版时间: 2025-08-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.08.1750
文章导航
收藏切换

为科学评估特大暴雨舆情风险,提出一种事件系统理论下基于三支决策的特大暴雨舆情风险评价方法。该方法从事件系统理论视角出发,结合时间、空间、强度3个维度,确定舆情生命周期并构建特大暴雨舆情风险评价指标。同时,结合评论有用性和犹豫直觉模糊集,有效量化关于舆情风险评价指标的公众舆情偏好。在此基础上,拓展三支决策方法,将舆情风险划分为5个等级,实现特大暴雨灾害舆情风险的科学评价。借助实际案例和对比分析,验证特大暴雨舆情风险评价模型的有效性和适应性。结果表明:所提方法不仅成功实现特大暴雨灾害舆情风险评价指标的科学选取,以及公众舆情偏好的有效量化,而且一定程度上缓解已有评价方法由于信息和认知局限带来的决策误差。

事件系统理论  /  三支决策  /  特大暴雨灾害  /  舆情风险评价  /  网络舆情  /  评论有用性

In order to realize scientific risk assessment of public opinion on extreme rainstorms, this paper proposed a public opinion risk assessment method of extreme rainstorm disasters based on three-way decisions under the event system theory. From the perspective of event system theory, this method determined the life cycle of public opinion and built indicators for evaluating the risk of public opinion on extreme rainstorm disasters by integrating three dimensions: time, space, and strength. Meanwhile, this paper integrated review helpfulness with hesitant intuitionistic fuzzy sets, effectively quantifying public opinion preferences regarding risk assessment indicators of public opinion. On this basis, the paper extended the three-way decision method to classify public opinion risk into five levels, achieving a scientific assessment of public opinion risk towards extreme rainstorm disasters. Using actual cases and comparative analyses, the effectiveness and adaptability of the risk assessment model of public opinion towards extreme rainstorm disasters were verified. The results show that the proposed method not only successfully realizes the scientific selection of public opinion risk assessment indicators with respect to extreme rainstorm disasters and the effective quantification of public opinion preferences, but also alleviates the decision-making errors caused by the information and cognitive limitations of existing assessment methods to a certain extent.

event system theory  /  three-way decisions  /  extreme rainstorm disasters  /  public opinion risk assessment  /  public opinion  /  review helpfulness
聂如欣讲师, 王洛, 张紫玉. 事件系统理论下基于三支决策的特大暴雨灾害舆情风险评价. 中国安全科学学报, 2025 , 35 (8) : 227 -235 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.08.1750
Ruxin NIE, Luo WANG, Ziyu ZHANG. Risk assessment of public opinion on extreme rainstorm disasters based on three-way decisions under event system theory[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2025 , 35 (8) : 227 -235 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.08.1750
  • 国家自然科学基金资助(72301277)
  • 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(2023QN1052)
参考文献 引证文献
排序方式:
2025年第35卷第8期
PDF下载
65
10
引用本文
BibTeX
文章信息
doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.08.1750
  • 接收时间:2025-03-16
  • 首发时间:2026-07-09
  • 出版时间:2025-08-28
补充材料
相关文章
文章信息
作者
出版历史
  • 收稿日期:2025-03-16
  • 修回日期:2025-05-22
基金
国家自然科学基金资助(72301277)
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(2023QN1052)
作者信息
    中国矿业大学 经济管理学院,江苏 徐州 221116
参考文献
分享链接
https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/zgaqkxxb/CN/10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.08.1750
分享至
全文二维码

扫描看全文

引用本文
BibTeX
本文的引用情况
2种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
关闭全屏