Article(id=1282029975549219803, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1282029960869167928, articleNumber=null, orderNo=null, doi=10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.07.1486, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1741536000000, receivedDateStr=2025-03-10, revisedDate=1747324800000, revisedDateStr=2025-05-16, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1783589365136, onlineDateStr=2026-07-09, pubDate=1753632000000, pubDateStr=2025-07-28, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1783589365136, onlineIssueDateStr=2026-07-09, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1783589365136, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1783589365136, updator=13701087609, issue=Issue{id=1282029960869167928, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, year='2025', volume='35', issue='7', pageStart='1', pageEnd='252', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='1753632000000', pubDateStr='2025-07-28', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=1, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1783589361636, creator='13701087609', updateTime=1783589710614, updator='13701087609', preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, articleTotal=null, ext={EN=IssueExt(id=1282031424651903975, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1282029960869167928, language=EN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=), CN=IssueExt(id=1282031424656098280, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, issueId=1282029960869167928, language=CN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=)}, issueFiles=null, downloadFileDto=null}, startPage=40, endPage=47, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1282029975805072348, articleId=1282029975549219803, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, language=EN, title=Prediction model and interpretability analysis of wind temperature in mine water-drenched shaft based on KOA-BiLSTM, columnId=1149733269173878863, journalTitle=China Safety Science Journal, columnName=Safety engineering technology, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=

This study aims to improve the accuracy, stability and interpretability of the model for the prediction of the air temperature in the mine water-drenched shaft. Firstly, characteristic variables were analyzed by Pearson correlation coefficient. Secondly, BiLSTM model was optimized by KOA, and the prediction model of mine shaft air temperature based on KOA-BiLSTM was established. Then, under the same sample conditions, the algorithm was compared with back propagation (BP), random forest (RF), least squares boosting (LSBoost) and support vector machine (SVM). Finally, interpretability analysis was conducted using the shapley additive explanations (SHAP) algorithm, which was verified by an example. The results show that the absolute error range of KOA-BiLSTM model is -1.24-0.5 ℃, which is 3.98% higher than the prediction accuracy of the unoptimized model. Compared with the other four models, the average absolute error (MAE), average absolute percentage error (MAPE) and mean square error (MSE) of the proposed model are the smallest, indicating that the model has the best prediction effect and generalization ability. The SHAP analysis shows that the wellhead air flow temperature has the greatest impact on the prediction results, while the surface pressure has the least impact. The absolute error range of KOA-BiLSTM model example verification is -0.49~0.38 ℃, and the prediction accuracy can meet the work needs.

, authors=Yueping QIN, Fei TANG**, Hairong WANG, Peng WANG, Mingyan GUO, Shibin WANG, authorsList=Yueping QIN, Fei TANG, Hairong WANG, Peng WANG, Mingyan GUO, Shibin WANG, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=Fei TANG, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=null, pdfFileSize=null, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null), CN=ArticleExt(id=1282029976274834399, articleId=1282029975549219803, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, language=CN, title=基于KOA-BiLSTM的矿井淋水井筒风温预测模型及可解释性分析, columnId=1149733269727526997, journalTitle=中国安全科学学报, columnName=安全工程技术, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=

为提高矿井淋水井筒风温预测的准确性、稳定性及模型的可解释性,首先,通过皮尔逊相关性系数分析特征变量;其次,采用开普勒优化算法(KOA)优化双向长短期记忆网络(BiLSTM)模型,建立基于KOA-BiLSTM的矿井淋水井筒风温预测模型;然后,在相同样本条件下,与反向传播(BP)、随机森林(RF)、最小二乘增强(LSBoost)和支持向量机(SVM)算法进行综合对比;最后,利用沙普利可加性特征解释算法(SHAP)进行可解释性分析及实例验证。研究结果表明:KOA-BiLSTM模型的绝对误差范围为-1.24 ~0.5 ℃,比优化前模型的预测精度提高3.98%;与另外4个模型相比,该模型的平均绝对误差(MAE)、平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)和均方误差(MSE)等均为最佳,表明该模型具有最优的预测效果和泛化能力;SHAP分析表明:井口风流温度对预测结果影响最大,而地面压力影响最小;KOA-BiLSTM模型实例验证的绝对误差范围为-0.49 ~0.38 ℃,预测精度可满足实际工作需要。

, authors=秦跃平教授, 唐飞**, 王海蓉, 王鹏, 郭铭彦, 王世斌, authorsList=秦跃平教授, 唐飞, 王海蓉, 王鹏, 郭铭彦, 王世斌, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=唐飞, authorNote=

秦跃平(1964—),男,山西夏县人,博士,教授,主要从事矿井火灾及瓦斯灾害防治、矿井热害防治以及数值模拟方法等方面的研究。E-mail:

, correspAuthorsNote=
** 唐飞(1997—),男,安徽阜南人,博士研究生,主要研究方向为矿井热害防治。E-mail:
, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=UwY71P7DVrkYnwU+HCPwpA==, magXml=5IzGIzM/S/sT0cxAJQpX8Q==, pdfUrl=null, pdf=oNg7WQ2h/21UNF8Ww2tw3A==, pdfFileSize=7757997, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=FYe1jsxsGFSCNwDNhbKx7w==, mapNumber=null, fund=null)}, authors=[Author(id=1282029976681681892, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, orderNo=0, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=qyp@cumtb.edu.cn, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1282029976807511014, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029976681681892, language=EN, stringName=Yueping QIN, firstName=Yueping, middleName=null, lastName=QIN, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1282029976933340135, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029976681681892, language=CN, stringName=秦跃平教授, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083, bio={"content":"

秦跃平(1964—),男,山西夏县人,博士,教授,主要从事矿井火灾及瓦斯灾害防治、矿井热害防治以及数值模拟方法等方面的研究。E-mail:

"}, bioImg=null, bioContent=

秦跃平(1964—),男,山西夏县人,博士,教授,主要从事矿井火灾及瓦斯灾害防治、矿井热害防治以及数值模拟方法等方面的研究。E-mail:

, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282029976572629984, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976585212897, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976593601506, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083)])]), Author(id=1282029977004643305, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, orderNo=1, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=2769133677@qq.com, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=1, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1282029977067557867, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029977004643305, language=EN, stringName=Fei TANG, firstName=Fei, middleName=null, lastName=TANG, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=**, address=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1282029977138861036, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029977004643305, language=CN, stringName=唐飞, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=**, address=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282029976572629984, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976585212897, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976593601506, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083)])]), Author(id=1282029977222747118, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, orderNo=2, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=null, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1282029977302438896, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029977222747118, language=EN, stringName=Hairong WANG, firstName=Hairong, middleName=null, lastName=WANG, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1282029978938217457, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029977222747118, language=CN, stringName=王海蓉, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282029976572629984, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976585212897, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976593601506, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083)])]), Author(id=1282029979068240883, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, orderNo=3, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=null, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1282029979156321269, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029979068240883, language=EN, stringName=Peng WANG, firstName=Peng, middleName=null, lastName=WANG, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1282029979244401654, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029979068240883, language=CN, stringName=王鹏, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282029976572629984, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976585212897, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976593601506, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083)])]), Author(id=1282029979328287736, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, orderNo=4, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=null, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1282029979424756730, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029979328287736, language=EN, stringName=Mingyan GUO, firstName=Mingyan, middleName=null, lastName=GUO, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1282029979504448507, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029979328287736, language=CN, stringName=郭铭彦, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282029976572629984, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976585212897, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976593601506, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083)])]), Author(id=1282029979592528893, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, orderNo=5, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=null, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1282029979688997887, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029979592528893, language=EN, stringName=Shibin WANG, firstName=Shibin, middleName=null, lastName=WANG, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1282029979768689664, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029979592528893, language=CN, stringName=王世斌, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282029976572629984, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976585212897, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976593601506, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083)])])], keywords=[Keyword(id=1282029979886129152, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, language=EN, orderNo=1, keyword=Kepler optimization algorithm (KOA)-bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) model), Keyword(id=1282029979970015233, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, language=EN, orderNo=2, keyword=water-drenched shaft), Keyword(id=1282029980053901314, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, language=EN, orderNo=3, keyword=wind temperature prediction model), Keyword(id=1282029980125204483, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, language=EN, orderNo=4, keyword=interpretability analysis), Keyword(id=1282029980192313348, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, language=EN, orderNo=5, keyword=Pearson correlation), Keyword(id=1282029980284588037, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, language=CN, orderNo=1, keyword=开普勒优化算法(KOA)-双向长短期记忆网络(BiLSTM)模型), Keyword(id=1282029980347502598, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, language=CN, orderNo=2, keyword=淋水井筒), Keyword(id=1282029980418805767, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, language=CN, orderNo=3, keyword=风温预测模型), Keyword(id=1282029980502691848, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, language=CN, orderNo=4, keyword=可解释性分析), Keyword(id=1282029980599160841, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, language=CN, orderNo=5, keyword=皮尔逊相关性)], refs=null, funds=[Fund(id=1282029980712407050, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, awardId=2022YFC2904100, language=CN, fundingSource=国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC2904100), fundOrder=null, country=null)], companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282029976572629984, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976585212897, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976593601506, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083)])], figs=null, attaches=null, journal=Journal(id=1123942128916217864, delFlag=0, nameCn=中国安全科学学报, nameEn=China Safety Science Journal, nameHistory1=null, nameHistory2=null, issn=1003-3033, eissn=, cn=11-2865/X, coden=null, periodic=0, language=CN, oaType=0, ccby=null, superviseOffice=null, ownerOffice=null, pubOffice=null, editorOffice=null, officeType=null, aims=null, clcCode=null, officeProv=null, officeCity=null, officeAddr=null, officeZip=null, officeEmail=null, officePhone=null, editDirector=null, officeDirector=null, officeDirectorPhone=null, officeStaffNum=null, officeEmpNum=null, coverPicUrl=fkqsFM6VKlHC4gCtS5XqTw==, journalPrice=null, startedYear=null, abbrevIsoEn=Chin Saf Sci J, journalRemark=null, publicationField=null, createdTime=null, updatedTime=1784015834644, createdBy=null, updatedBy=13041195026, firstLetterCn=Z, firstLetterEn=Z, subjectCode=Engineering, subjectName=工程, subjectCodeEn=Engineering, subjectNameEn=null, picCn=fkqsFM6VKlHC4gCtS5XqTw==, picEn=SHn9HgqSxtJrOcAxqD++4Q==, jcr=null, cjcr=null, exts=[JournalExt(id=1283818719495308010, language=CN, name=中国安全科学学报, nameHistory1=null, nameHistory2=null, managedBy=中国科学技术协会, sponsoredBy=中国职业安全健康协会, publishedBy=《中国安全科学学报》编辑部, editorOffice=, officeProv=null, officeCity=null, officeAddr=, officeZip=, editDirector=, officeDirector=null, officePhone=null, coverPicUrl=null, journalRemark=, submitArticleUrl=null, websiteUrl=http://www.cssjj.com.cn/, createdTime=1784015834926, updatedTime=1784015834926, createdBy=13041195026, updatedBy=13041195026, submissionGuidelinesUrl=http://www.cssjj.com.cn/CN/column/item15.shtml, submissionAuthorUrl=https://zgaqkxxbauthor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionEditorUrl=https://zgaqkxxbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionReviewUrl=https://zgaqkxxbauthor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionCeEditorUrl=https://zgaqkxxbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionAeEditorUrl=https://zgaqkxxbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, option={"copyright":""}), JournalExt(id=1283818719541445355, language=EN, name=China Safety Science Journal, nameHistory1=null, nameHistory2=null, managedBy=, sponsoredBy=, publishedBy=, editorOffice=, officeProv=null, officeCity=null, officeAddr=, officeZip=, editDirector=, officeDirector=null, officePhone=null, coverPicUrl=null, journalRemark=, submitArticleUrl=null, websiteUrl=http://www.cssjj.com.cn/EN/1003-3033/home.shtml, createdTime=1784015834937, updatedTime=1784015834937, createdBy=13041195026, updatedBy=13041195026, submissionGuidelinesUrl=https://synbioj.cip.com.cn/EN/column/column3.shtml, submissionAuthorUrl=https://zgaqkxxbauthor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionEditorUrl=https://zgaqkxxbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionReviewUrl=https://zgaqkxxbauthor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionCeEditorUrl=https://zgaqkxxbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, submissionAeEditorUrl=https://zgaqkxxbeditor.manuscriptcloud.com/login, option={"copyright":""})], databaseList=null, tenantJournalId=1146031787341344770, websiteList=[Website(id=1148243202345263519, webName=null, webTitle=null, webDomain=null, webCopyrigh=null, webIpcNo=null, seoTitle=null, seoKeywords=null, seoDescription=null, tenantJournalId=null, journalId=1146031787341344770, journalNameCn=null, journalNameEn=null, grayFlag=null, tenantId=1146029695717560320, platformId=null, journalGroupId=null, journalGroupNameCn=null, journalGroupNameEn=null, type=1, domain=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/zgaqkxxb/CN, language=CN, createTime=1751692112766, createBy=18614031015, updateTime=1753502583634, updateBy=18614031015, name=《中国安全科学学报》中文站点, tplId=1146099689490845704, title=中国安全科学学报, delFlag=0, indexPage=/home, props=[WebsiteProps(id=1148618794941046792, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1148243202345263519, code=articleTextType, value=kx, createTime=1751781661020, updateTime=1751781661020, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148618794911686661, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1148243202345263519, code=banner, value=null, createTime=1751781661012, updateTime=1751781661012, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148618794894909444, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1148243202345263519, code=logo, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/file/pic?fileId=tui0IVO9FMwB61HHtX5scg==, createTime=1751781661008, updateTime=1751781661008, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148618794932658183, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1148243202345263519, code=picServerUrl, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/file/pic, createTime=1751781661017, updateTime=1751781661017, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1148618794924269574, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1148243202345263519, code=staticResourcePath, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/cast_kjdb_cn_619/, createTime=1751781661015, updateTime=1751781661015, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015)]), Website(id=1155836763751993353, webName=null, webTitle=null, webDomain=null, webCopyrigh=null, webIpcNo=null, seoTitle=null, seoKeywords=null, seoDescription=null, tenantJournalId=null, journalId=1146031787341344770, journalNameCn=null, journalNameEn=null, grayFlag=null, tenantId=1146029695717560320, platformId=null, journalGroupId=null, journalGroupNameCn=null, journalGroupNameEn=null, type=1, domain=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/zgaqkxxb/EN, language=EN, createTime=1753502558893, createBy=18614031015, updateTime=1753524450387, updateBy=18614031015, name=《中国安全科学学报》英文站点, tplId=1146101810881728533, title=China Safety Science Journal, delFlag=0, indexPage=/home, props=[WebsiteProps(id=1155895925743669425, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1155836763751993353, code=articleTextType, value=kx, createTime=1753516664205, updateTime=1753516664205, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155895925722697902, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1155836763751993353, code=banner, value=null, createTime=1753516664200, updateTime=1753516664200, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155895925714309293, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1155836763751993353, code=logo, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/file/pic?fileId=tui0IVO9FMwB61HHtX5scg==, createTime=1753516664198, updateTime=1753516664198, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155895925735280816, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1155836763751993353, code=picServerUrl, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/kjdb/CN/file/pic, createTime=1753516664203, updateTime=1753516664203, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015), WebsiteProps(id=1155895925731086511, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=null, journalGroupId=null, siteId=1155836763751993353, code=staticResourcePath, value=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/cast_kjdb_cn_619/, createTime=1753516664202, updateTime=1753516664202, creator=18614031015, updator=18614031015)])], journalTitle=中国安全科学学报, weixinUrl=null, journalUrl=null, iacademicId=null, status=1, seqNo=null, journalTitleEn=China Safety Science Journal, journalPhotoCn=fkqsFM6VKlHC4gCtS5XqTw==, journalPhotoEn=SHn9HgqSxtJrOcAxqD++4Q==, journalFirstLetter=Z, journalRecommend=null, journalNew=null, journalCollection=1, jcrJf=null, cjcrJf=null, jcrJfStr=null, cjcrJfStr=null, submissionFirstDecision=null, sciSubjectClassification=null, casSubjectClassification=null, citeScore=null, totalCitationFrequency=null, icpCode=null, psCode=null, advertisingLicenseCode=null, copyrightInformation=null, country=null, option=, provinceCode=null, provinceName=null, collectFlag=false, interPubPlatform=, interPubPlatformUrl=null), detailUrlCn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/zgaqkxxb/CN/10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.07.1486, detailUrlEn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/zgaqkxxb/EN/10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.07.1486, pdfUrlCn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/zgaqkxxb/CN/PDF/10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.07.1486, pdfUrlEn=https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/zgaqkxxb/EN/PDF/10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.07.1486, aliStartDate=0, aliEndDate=0, collectionFlag=false, citedCount=null, citedUrl=null, previewStatus=0, delFlag=0, hasFullText=0, orderTime=1753632000000, fullTextJson=null, articleText=null, reference=null)
收藏切换
基于KOA-BiLSTM的矿井淋水井筒风温预测模型及可解释性分析
收藏切换
PDF下载
秦跃平教授 , 唐飞 ** , 王海蓉 , 王鹏 , 郭铭彦 , 王世斌
中国安全科学学报 | 安全工程技术 2025,35(7): 40-47
收起
收藏切换
中国安全科学学报 |安全工程技术 2025 , 35 (7) : 40 -47
基于KOA-BiLSTM的矿井淋水井筒风温预测模型及可解释性分析
全屏
[Author(id=1282029976681681892, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, orderNo=0, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=qyp@cumtb.edu.cn, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1282029976807511014, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029976681681892, language=EN, stringName=Yueping QIN, firstName=Yueping, middleName=null, lastName=QIN, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1282029976933340135, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029976681681892, language=CN, stringName=秦跃平教授, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083, bio={"content":"

秦跃平(1964—),男,山西夏县人,博士,教授,主要从事矿井火灾及瓦斯灾害防治、矿井热害防治以及数值模拟方法等方面的研究。E-mail:

"}, bioImg=null, bioContent=

秦跃平(1964—),男,山西夏县人,博士,教授,主要从事矿井火灾及瓦斯灾害防治、矿井热害防治以及数值模拟方法等方面的研究。E-mail:

, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282029976572629984, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976585212897, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976593601506, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083)])]), Author(id=1282029977004643305, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, orderNo=1, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=2769133677@qq.com, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=1, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1282029977067557867, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029977004643305, language=EN, stringName=Fei TANG, firstName=Fei, middleName=null, lastName=TANG, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=**, address=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1282029977138861036, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029977004643305, language=CN, stringName=唐飞, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=**, address=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282029976572629984, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976585212897, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976593601506, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083)])]), Author(id=1282029977222747118, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, orderNo=2, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=null, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1282029977302438896, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029977222747118, language=EN, stringName=Hairong WANG, firstName=Hairong, middleName=null, lastName=WANG, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1282029978938217457, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029977222747118, language=CN, stringName=王海蓉, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282029976572629984, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976585212897, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976593601506, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083)])]), Author(id=1282029979068240883, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, orderNo=3, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=null, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1282029979156321269, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029979068240883, language=EN, stringName=Peng WANG, firstName=Peng, middleName=null, lastName=WANG, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1282029979244401654, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029979068240883, language=CN, stringName=王鹏, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282029976572629984, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976585212897, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976593601506, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083)])]), Author(id=1282029979328287736, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, orderNo=4, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=null, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1282029979424756730, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029979328287736, language=EN, stringName=Mingyan GUO, firstName=Mingyan, middleName=null, lastName=GUO, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1282029979504448507, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029979328287736, language=CN, stringName=郭铭彦, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282029976572629984, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976585212897, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976593601506, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083)])]), Author(id=1282029979592528893, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, orderNo=5, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=null, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1282029979688997887, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029979592528893, language=EN, stringName=Shibin WANG, firstName=Shibin, middleName=null, lastName=WANG, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1282029979768689664, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, authorId=1282029979592528893, language=CN, stringName=王世斌, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1282029976572629984, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976585212897, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1282029976593601506, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146031787341344770, articleId=1282029975549219803, companyId=1282029976572629984, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083)])])]
秦跃平教授 , 唐飞** , 王海蓉, 王鹏, 郭铭彦, 王世斌
作者信息
  • 中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083
通讯作者:
** 唐飞(1997—),男,安徽阜南人,博士研究生,主要研究方向为矿井热害防治。E-mail:
作者简介:

秦跃平(1964—),男,山西夏县人,博士,教授,主要从事矿井火灾及瓦斯灾害防治、矿井热害防治以及数值模拟方法等方面的研究。E-mail:

Prediction model and interpretability analysis of wind temperature in mine water-drenched shaft based on KOA-BiLSTM
Yueping QIN , Fei TANG** , Hairong WANG, Peng WANG, Mingyan GUO, Shibin WANG
Affiliations
  • School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083
出版时间: 2025-07-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.07.1486
文章导航
收藏切换

为提高矿井淋水井筒风温预测的准确性、稳定性及模型的可解释性,首先,通过皮尔逊相关性系数分析特征变量;其次,采用开普勒优化算法(KOA)优化双向长短期记忆网络(BiLSTM)模型,建立基于KOA-BiLSTM的矿井淋水井筒风温预测模型;然后,在相同样本条件下,与反向传播(BP)、随机森林(RF)、最小二乘增强(LSBoost)和支持向量机(SVM)算法进行综合对比;最后,利用沙普利可加性特征解释算法(SHAP)进行可解释性分析及实例验证。研究结果表明:KOA-BiLSTM模型的绝对误差范围为-1.24 ~0.5 ℃,比优化前模型的预测精度提高3.98%;与另外4个模型相比,该模型的平均绝对误差(MAE)、平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)和均方误差(MSE)等均为最佳,表明该模型具有最优的预测效果和泛化能力;SHAP分析表明:井口风流温度对预测结果影响最大,而地面压力影响最小;KOA-BiLSTM模型实例验证的绝对误差范围为-0.49 ~0.38 ℃,预测精度可满足实际工作需要。

开普勒优化算法(KOA)-双向长短期记忆网络(BiLSTM)模型  /  淋水井筒  /  风温预测模型  /  可解释性分析  /  皮尔逊相关性

This study aims to improve the accuracy, stability and interpretability of the model for the prediction of the air temperature in the mine water-drenched shaft. Firstly, characteristic variables were analyzed by Pearson correlation coefficient. Secondly, BiLSTM model was optimized by KOA, and the prediction model of mine shaft air temperature based on KOA-BiLSTM was established. Then, under the same sample conditions, the algorithm was compared with back propagation (BP), random forest (RF), least squares boosting (LSBoost) and support vector machine (SVM). Finally, interpretability analysis was conducted using the shapley additive explanations (SHAP) algorithm, which was verified by an example. The results show that the absolute error range of KOA-BiLSTM model is -1.24-0.5 ℃, which is 3.98% higher than the prediction accuracy of the unoptimized model. Compared with the other four models, the average absolute error (MAE), average absolute percentage error (MAPE) and mean square error (MSE) of the proposed model are the smallest, indicating that the model has the best prediction effect and generalization ability. The SHAP analysis shows that the wellhead air flow temperature has the greatest impact on the prediction results, while the surface pressure has the least impact. The absolute error range of KOA-BiLSTM model example verification is -0.49~0.38 ℃, and the prediction accuracy can meet the work needs.

Kepler optimization algorithm (KOA)-bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) model  /  water-drenched shaft  /  wind temperature prediction model  /  interpretability analysis  /  Pearson correlation
秦跃平教授, 唐飞, 王海蓉, 王鹏, 郭铭彦, 王世斌. 基于KOA-BiLSTM的矿井淋水井筒风温预测模型及可解释性分析. 中国安全科学学报, 2025 , 35 (7) : 40 -47 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.07.1486
Yueping QIN, Fei TANG, Hairong WANG, Peng WANG, Mingyan GUO, Shibin WANG. Prediction model and interpretability analysis of wind temperature in mine water-drenched shaft based on KOA-BiLSTM[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2025 , 35 (7) : 40 -47 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.07.1486
  • 国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC2904100)
参考文献 引证文献
排序方式:
2025年第35卷第7期
PDF下载
62
6
引用本文
BibTeX
文章信息
doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.07.1486
  • 接收时间:2025-03-10
  • 首发时间:2026-07-09
  • 出版时间:2025-07-28
补充材料
相关文章
文章信息
作者
出版历史
  • 收稿日期:2025-03-10
  • 修回日期:2025-05-16
基金
国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC2904100)
作者信息
    中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院,北京 100083

通讯作者:

** 唐飞(1997—),男,安徽阜南人,博士研究生,主要研究方向为矿井热害防治。E-mail:
参考文献
分享链接
https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/zgaqkxxb/CN/10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.07.1486
分享至
全文二维码

扫描看全文

引用本文
BibTeX
本文的引用情况
2种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
关闭全屏