Article(id=1322942384023151176, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258508890079423, issueId=1322941842395889747, articleNumber=null, orderNo=null, doi=10.13809/j.cnki.cn32-1825/te.2025148, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1755446400000, receivedDateStr=2025-08-18, revisedDate=null, revisedDateStr=null, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1793343643431, onlineDateStr=2026-10-30, pubDate=1784995200000, pubDateStr=2026-07-26, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1793343643431, onlineIssueDateStr=2026-10-30, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1793343643431, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1793343643431, updator=13701087609, issue=Issue{id=1322941842395889747, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258508890079423, year='2026', volume='16', issue='4', pageStart='737', pageEnd='948', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='1784995200000', pubDateStr='2026-07-26', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=1, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1793343514297, creator='13701087609', updateTime=1793344192960, updator='13701087609', preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, articleTotal=null, ext={EN=IssueExt(id=1322944689019695905, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258508890079423, issueId=1322941842395889747, language=EN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=), CN=IssueExt(id=1322944689019695906, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258508890079423, issueId=1322941842395889747, language=CN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=)}, issueFiles=null, downloadFileDto=null}, startPage=828, endPage=836, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1322942384434192969, articleId=1322942384023151176, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258508890079423, language=EN, title=Production capacity prediction model of shale gas fractured horizontal wells considering rock creep, columnId=1322941693024141328, journalTitle=Petroleum Reservoir Evaluation and Development, columnName=Oil and Gas Development, runingTitle=null, highlight=

Shale gas wells usually decline rapidly in production, resulting in low estimated ultimate recovery (EUR). Therefore, it is urgent to study the influencing factors of shale gas production capacity. First, according to the rheological characteristics of shale rocks, the creep process under the viscoelastic characteristics of shale was described by the Burgers model, and a characterization method for shale matrix pore size, porosity, and permeability considering the creep effects was further proposed based on the strain definition. Then, according to the gas flow characteristics in reservoirs of shale gas fractured horizontal wells, a production capacity prediction model for shale gas fractured horizontal wells considering complex mechanisms such as rock creep was established based on the five-linear flow theory, and a production capacity calculation flowchart was proposed by comprehensively using the production capacity trial method and Newton iteration method. Finally, the reliability of the model calculation results was verified using actual production data from shale gas wells, and the influence patterns of various mechanisms on the production capacity of gas wells were analyzed. The results showed that (1) shale, as a type of soft rock, mainly underwent steady-state creep in the matrix during gas-well production, and its viscoelastic characteristics should be considered. Hydraulic fractures contained high-strength proppants, so linear elastic characteristics should mainly be considered. (2) The impact of adsorption, rock creep, micro-nanoscale effects, and stress sensitivity should be fully considered in shale gas production capacity prediction. Ignoring adsorption effects and micro-nanoscale effects will underestimate the production capacity of gas wells, while ignoring rock creep effects and stress sensitivity effects will overestimate the production capacity of gas wells. (3) Although controlled-pressure production of shale gas wells resulted in lower production capacity in the early stage, it yielded higher production capacity in the middle and later stages because it reduced the adverse impact of reservoir stress sensitivity. Therefore, controlled-pressure production was superior to depressurization production for shale gas wells. The research findings can provide theoretical guidance for the effective development of shale gas.

, articleAbstract=null, authors=HONGBIN LIANG1, 2, HUANGBEN ZENG3, ZHILIN QI3, HUA LIU2, YANYAN WANG2, HUILIN LI4, QIKUI YU5, AIHUA LIU5, authorsList=HONGBIN LIANG, HUANGBEN ZENG, ZHILIN QI, HUA LIU, YANYAN WANG, HUILIN LI, QIKUI YU, AIHUA LIU, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=null, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=null, pdfFileSize=null, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null), CN=ArticleExt(id=1322942389425414748, articleId=1322942384023151176, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258508890079423, language=CN, title=考虑岩石蠕变的页岩气压裂水平井产能预测模型研究, columnId=1322941693259022355, journalTitle=油气藏评价与开发, columnName=油气开发, runingTitle=null, highlight=

页岩气井产量通常递减快,导致气井最终可采储量低,亟须开展页岩气产能影响因素研究。因此,根据页岩岩石流变特征,首先采用Burgers(伯格斯)模型描述了页岩黏弹性特征下的蠕变过程,并结合应变定义进一步提出考虑蠕变效应的页岩基质孔径、孔隙度和渗透率的表征方法;然后,根据页岩气压裂水平井储层内的气体流动特征,基于五线性流理论建立考虑岩石蠕变等复杂作用机理的页岩气压裂水平井产能预测模型,并综合利用产能试算法与牛顿迭代法提出了页岩气压裂水平井产能计算流程;最后,利用实际页岩气井生产数据校验了模型计算结果的可靠性,并分析了各作用机理对气井产能的影响规律。研究结果表明:①页岩作为软岩的一种,在气井生产过程中基质以发生稳态蠕变为主,应考虑黏弹性特征,而压裂裂缝中含有高强度支撑剂,则主要考虑线弹性特征;②页岩气产能预测应充分考虑吸附作用、岩石蠕变效应、微纳米尺度效应、应力敏感效应等影响因素,忽略吸附作用、微纳米尺度效应将低估气井产能,而忽略岩石蠕变效应、应力敏感效应则会高估气井产能;③尽管页岩气井控压生产初期产能低,但由于控压生产降低了储层应力敏感效应的不利影响,导致气井中后期产能会高于放压生产,因此,页岩气井采用控压生产要优于放压生产。研究成果可为页岩气有效开发提供理论指导。

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梁洪彬(1991—),男,博士,副教授,主要从事非常规油气田开发研究工作。地址:重庆市沙坪坝区大学城东路20号,邮政编码:401331。E-mail:

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梁洪彬(1991—),男,博士,副教授,主要从事非常规油气田开发研究工作。地址:重庆市沙坪坝区大学城东路20号,邮政编码:401331。E-mail:

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梁洪彬(1991—),男,博士,副教授,主要从事非常规油气田开发研究工作。地址:重庆市沙坪坝区大学城东路20号,邮政编码:401331。E-mail:

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Natural Gas Industry B, 2024, 11(5): 569-580., articleTitle=A novel EUR prediction model for fractured horizontal shale gas wells based on material balance theory, refAbstract=null)], funds=null, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1322942389689655901, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258508890079423, articleId=1322942384023151176, xref=1, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1322942389698044510, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258508890079423, articleId=1322942384023151176, companyId=1322942389689655901, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=1 Chongqing Unconventional Oil and Gas Development Institute, Chongqing University of Science and Technology, Chongqing 401331, China), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1322942389706433119, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258508890079423, articleId=1322942384023151176, companyId=1322942389689655901, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, 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caption=应力敏感效应对页岩压裂裂缝渗透率影响规律, figureFileSmall=k84uHsULShhN82X4jcV+Jg==, figureFileBig=OZ+6IlL6+UIFnH49A2RdCw==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1322942398740964001, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258508890079423, articleId=1322942384023151176, language=EN, label=Fig.2, caption=Schematic diagram of five-linear flow mechanism in shale gas fractured horizontal wells, figureFileSmall=uDxq0ZdekoULwTomnJtUwQ==, figureFileBig=rott3Z+uFlvD1/qgL687LA==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1322942399265252002, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258508890079423, articleId=1322942384023151176, language=CN, label=图2, caption=页岩气压裂水平井五线性流机理

注:x为单井控制范围的储层半宽,单位m;xf为压裂裂缝半长,单位m; x为沿x方向;y为沿y方向;图内紫色箭头表示气体流动方向。

, figureFileSmall=uDxq0ZdekoULwTomnJtUwQ==, figureFileBig=rott3Z+uFlvD1/qgL687LA==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1322942399550464675, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258508890079423, articleId=1322942384023151176, language=EN, label=Fig.3, caption=Production capacity calculation flowchart for shale gas fractured horizontal wells, figureFileSmall=sU4z7u7Y8PiyjHkcQPGzEg==, figureFileBig=GTceVLO9ztXM+SulhS8YCw==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1322942401198826148, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258508890079423, articleId=1322942384023151176, language=CN, label=图3, caption=页岩气压裂水平井产能计算流程

注:pwf为井底流压,单位MPa;pwf_min为最小井底流压,单位MPa;t为时间,单位d;t为时间步长,单位d;T为总预测时长,单位d;δ为绝对允许误差。

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基本参数参数值基本参数参数值
地层压力/MPa45岩石压缩系数/MPa-11.5×10-5
地层温度/K373.15井筒储集系数1×10-5
储层有效长度/m1 800表皮系数1×10-3
储层有效宽度/m250Langmuir体积/(m3/kg)0.004
储层有效厚度/m30Langmuir压力/MPa5
基质渗透率/10-3μm25×10-5水平井长度/m1 500
裂缝渗透率/10-3μm22压裂段数/段25
孔隙度0.05裂缝半长/m60
页岩密度/(kg/m3)2 500最小井底流压/MPa5
), ArticleFig(id=1322942402696192690, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258508890079423, articleId=1322942384023151176, language=CN, label=表1, caption=

模型计算基本参数

, figureFileSmall=null, figureFileBig=null, tableContent=
基本参数参数值基本参数参数值
地层压力/MPa45岩石压缩系数/MPa-11.5×10-5
地层温度/K373.15井筒储集系数1×10-5
储层有效长度/m1 800表皮系数1×10-3
储层有效宽度/m250Langmuir体积/(m3/kg)0.004
储层有效厚度/m30Langmuir压力/MPa5
基质渗透率/10-3μm25×10-5水平井长度/m1 500
裂缝渗透率/10-3μm22压裂段数/段25
孔隙度0.05裂缝半长/m60
页岩密度/(kg/m3)2 500最小井底流压/MPa5
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考虑岩石蠕变的页岩气压裂水平井产能预测模型研究
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梁洪彬 1, 2 , 曾黄奔 3 , 戚志林 3 , 刘华 2 , 王妍妍 2 , 李慧琳 4 , 余启奎 5 , 刘爱华 5
油气藏评价与开发 | 油气开发 2026,16(4): 828-836
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油气藏评价与开发 |油气开发 2026 , 16 (4) : 828 -836
考虑岩石蠕变的页岩气压裂水平井产能预测模型研究
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[Author(id=1322942390130057837, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258508890079423, articleId=1322942384023151176, orderNo=0, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=1272958896@qq.com, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1322942390222332528, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258508890079423, articleId=1322942384023151176, authorId=1322942390130057837, language=EN, stringName=HONGBIN LIANG, firstName=HONGBIN, middleName=null, lastName=LIANG, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=1, 2, address=1 Chongqing Unconventional Oil and Gas Development Institute, Chongqing University of Science and Technology, Chongqing 401331, China
2 National Key Laboratory of Shale Oil and Gas Enrichment Mechanisms and Efficient Development, Beijing 102206, China, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1322942390297830001, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1322258508890079423, articleId=1322942384023151176, authorId=1322942390130057837, language=CN, stringName=梁洪彬, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=1, 2, address=1 重庆科技大学非常规油气开发研究院,重庆 401331
2 页岩油气富集机理与高效开发全国重点实验室,北京 102206, bio={"content":"

梁洪彬(1991—),男,博士,副教授,主要从事非常规油气田开发研究工作。地址:重庆市沙坪坝区大学城东路20号,邮政编码:401331。E-mail:

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梁洪彬(1991—),男,博士,副教授,主要从事非常规油气田开发研究工作。地址:重庆市沙坪坝区大学城东路20号,邮政编码:401331。E-mail:

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梁洪彬1, 2 , 曾黄奔3, 戚志林3, 刘华2, 王妍妍2, 李慧琳4, 余启奎5, 刘爱华5
作者信息
  • 1 重庆科技大学非常规油气开发研究院,重庆 401331
  • 2 页岩油气富集机理与高效开发全国重点实验室,北京 102206
  • 3 重庆科技大学石油与天然气工程学院,重庆 401331
  • 4 中国石油西南油气田分公司重庆气矿,重庆 401331
  • 5 中国石化中原油田分公司,河南 濮阳 457001
作者简介:

梁洪彬(1991—),男,博士,副教授,主要从事非常规油气田开发研究工作。地址:重庆市沙坪坝区大学城东路20号,邮政编码:401331。E-mail:

Production capacity prediction model of shale gas fractured horizontal wells considering rock creep
HONGBIN LIANG1, 2 , HUANGBEN ZENG3, ZHILIN QI3, HUA LIU2, YANYAN WANG2, HUILIN LI4, QIKUI YU5, AIHUA LIU5
Affiliations
  • 1 Chongqing Unconventional Oil and Gas Development Institute, Chongqing University of Science and Technology, Chongqing 401331, China
  • 2 National Key Laboratory of Shale Oil and Gas Enrichment Mechanisms and Efficient Development, Beijing 102206, China
  • 3 School of Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering, Chongqing University of Science and Technology, Chongqing 401331, China
  • 4 Chongqing Gas Mine, PetroChina Southwest Oil & Gas Field Company, Chongqing 401331, China
  • 5 Sinopec Zhongyuan Oilfield Company, Puyang, Henan 457001, China
出版时间: 2026-07-26 doi: 10.13809/j.cnki.cn32-1825/te.2025148
文章导航
收藏切换
页岩气  /  产能预测  /  蠕变  /  吸附  /  应力敏感
shale gas  /  production prediction  /  creep  /  adsorption  /  stress sensitivity
梁洪彬, 曾黄奔, 戚志林, 刘华, 王妍妍, 李慧琳, 余启奎, 刘爱华. 考虑岩石蠕变的页岩气压裂水平井产能预测模型研究. 油气藏评价与开发, 2026 , 16 (4) : 828 -836 . DOI: 10.13809/j.cnki.cn32-1825/te.2025148
HONGBIN LIANG, HUANGBEN ZENG, ZHILIN QI, HUA LIU, YANYAN WANG, HUILIN LI, QIKUI YU, AIHUA LIU. Production capacity prediction model of shale gas fractured horizontal wells considering rock creep[J]. Petroleum Reservoir Evaluation and Development, 2026 , 16 (4) : 828 -836 . DOI: 10.13809/j.cnki.cn32-1825/te.2025148
中国页岩气资源储量丰富,但开发难度大,特别是受储层超低孔、超低渗等地质特征影响,导致页岩气产量初期递减快,气井最终可采储量(Estimated Ultimate Recovery,EUR)低[1-3],亟须开展页岩气井产能预测方法研究,明确各因素对气井产能的影响规律。
目前,针对页岩气渗流机理的研究已取得丰硕的成果。页岩气在基质孔内流动时,受微纳米孔道限域效应影响,游离气与孔隙壁面间的碰撞频率更高,同时部分气体以吸附态赋存在孔隙壁面,因此,气体在基质孔内以黏滞流、努森扩散、表面扩散等多种形式进行传质[4-6],其中,表面扩散对基质传质能力的影响会随着压力的降低而增大[7-8]。页岩储层中的天然裂缝和压裂裂缝尺度通常介于微米至毫米级[9],故气体在裂缝系统内的渗流机理与常规气藏相近,主要为达西渗流[10],但由于页岩气常采用压裂水平井开发[11],导致压后气井附近的气体流动更加复杂,需分区描述,如三线性流[12]、五线性流[13]。页岩气井EUR预测方法主要有解析法、数值模拟法、经验产量递减法、现代产量递减法、物质平衡法、概率法、机器学习法[14-18]。其中,解析法因其物理意义明确,可考虑页岩气复杂渗流机理,同时能够表征出产能与地层压力等物理参数间的函数关系,目前应用广泛[19-22]。
在页岩气产能影响因素分析中,现阶段考虑的影响因素主要分为吸附参数等地质因素和压裂参数等工程因素两大类,但由于评价方法不同,主控因素尚存在认识分歧[23-26]。近年来,为进一步提高页岩气井EUR,气井生产制度已由放压生产向控压生产转变,并会出现气井“产能反转”现象[27],即控压井累积产气量相较于放压井累积产气量呈现出先低后高的变化特征。针对控压生产增产机理,有研究表明可能与应力敏感效应[28]、岩石蠕变效应有关[27],但目前相关理论研究较少,多以现场实践认识为主,特别是岩石蠕变效应对页岩气井产能的影响尚不明确。因此,该研究结合页岩蠕变特征,提出考虑岩石蠕变等复杂作用机理的页岩气压裂水平井产能预测方法,明确岩石蠕变、吸附作用等因素对气井产能的影响规律,揭示页岩气井控压增产机理,为页岩气井开发方案的科学编制提供理论依据。
受支撑剂压实、变形、破碎、嵌入及运移等影响,页岩压裂裂缝常表现出较强的应力敏感性[29-30],即裂缝渗透率会随着有效应力的增加而降低,通常采用指数型应力敏感模型进行描述,即:
kf=kfiexp-ησi-σ
式中:kf为裂缝渗透率,单位10-3μm2;kfi为初始裂缝渗透率,单位10-3μm2;η为应力敏感系数,单位MPa-1;σi为初始应力,单位MPa;σ为当前应力,单位MPa。
将页岩气在裂缝内的流动视为平行板间的流动,则裂缝渗透率可表示为[31]:
kf=φfwf  212
式中:φf为裂缝孔隙度;wf为裂缝宽度,单位m。
根据裂缝密度的定义,裂缝孔隙度可表达为[32]:
φf=nfwf
式中:nf为裂缝密度,单位m-1。
由式(2)和式(3)可得当前裂缝渗透率与初始裂缝渗透率间的关系为:
kf=wf  3wfi  3kfi
式中:wfi为初始裂缝宽度,单位m。
根据应变定义,并结合式(1)和式(4)有:
εf=Δwfwfi=wfi-wfwfi=1-exp-13ησi-σ
式中:εf为裂缝应变;Δwf为裂缝变形量,单位m。
对式(5)进行泰勒展开得:
εf≈13ησi-σ
由式(6)可知,现有的页岩裂缝应力敏感模型主要反映的是裂缝线弹性特征,这与缝内受高强度支撑剂影响有关。然而,页岩作为软岩的一种,还应考虑其黏弹性特征。由岩石力学实验表明[32],页岩存在蠕变效应,可分为衰减蠕变、稳态蠕变和加速蠕变3个阶段。由于页岩气开发时地层有效应力是缓慢增大的,且储层上覆岩层压力作用可增大页岩瞬时抗压强度,因此,在气井生产过程中页岩应以稳态蠕变为主,可借助应用广泛的Burgers模型[33]来综合描述页岩黏弹性特征,即:
σi=σ1=σ2ε=ε1+ε2ε˙1=σ˙1/E1+σ1/ηMσ2=E2ε2+ηKε˙2
式中:σ1和σ2分别为Maxwell(马克斯威尔)体和Kelvin(开尔文)体所受应力,单位MPa;ε为总应变;ε1和ε2分别为Maxwell体和Kelvin体的应变;ε˙1为Maxwell体的应变对时间t的一阶导数,单位s-1;ε˙2为Kelvin体的应变对时间t的一阶导数,单位s-1;σ˙1为Maxwell体所受应力对时间t的一阶导数,单位MPa/s;E1和E2分别为Maxwell体和Kelvin体的弹性模量,单位MPa;ηM和ηK分别为Maxwell体和Kelvin体的黏滞系数,单位MPa·s。
求解式(7),并考虑页岩储层蠕变主要受有效应力影响,因此,页岩蠕变效应引起的应变量应为:
ε=1E1+1ηMt+1E2[1-exp(-E2ηKt)]σi-σ
假设基质孔为圆管型,则根据应变定义,基质孔发生蠕变效应后的应变量为:
ε=ΔVcVp=Vp-VcVp=1-πrc  2Lπro  2L=1-rc  2ro  2
发生蠕变效应后的基质孔隙半径为:
rc=ro1-ε
式中:ΔVc为蠕变效应引起的体积变化量,单位m3;Vc为岩石蠕变后的孔隙体积,单位m3;Vp为岩石初始孔隙体积,单位m3;rc为岩石蠕变后的孔隙半径,单位m;ro为页岩吸附前的孔隙半径,单位m;L为岩石孔隙长度,单位m。
由蠕变效应引起的孔隙半径变化率为:
ξc=rcro=1-ε
式中:ξc为蠕变效应引起的孔隙半径变化率。
蠕变具有时间相关性,使孔径不仅受压力作用,还随时间发生变化,进而增大了解析模型的非线性程度与求解难度。因此,将蠕变引起的孔径随时间的变化近似处理为不同离散时间下的孔径修正系数。
若基质孔壁完全被气体吸附,且满足Langmuir(朗格缪尔)吸附规律,则基质孔隙半径为:
rao=ro-dCH4
式中:rao为吸附后的孔隙半径,单位m;dCH4为甲烷分子直径,单位m。
若气体在基质孔内的表面覆盖度为θ,将吸附区域进行面积等效处理,则有:
πro  2-πrao    2θ=πro  2-πra  2
其中:
θ=VaVL=ppL+p
式中:θ为表面覆盖度;ra为等效孔隙半径,单位m;Va为页岩气吸附体积,单位m3/t;VL为Langmuir体积,单位m3/t;p为地层压力,单位MPa;pL为Langmuir压力,单位MPa。
由式(13)可得:
ra=ro  2-θ2ro-dCH4dCH4
因此,由吸附效应引起的孔隙半径变化率为:
ξa=raro=1-θ2-dCH4rodCH4ro
式中:ξa为吸附效应引起的孔隙半径变化率。
结合式(11)和式(16)可得综合考虑蠕变效应和吸附效应影响的基质孔隙半径为:
rac=roξaξc
式中:rac为综合考虑吸附效应和蠕变效应影响的基质孔隙半径,单位m。
若页岩外表体积Vb中有nm根半径为ro、长度为L的毛管束孔隙,则根据孔隙度定义式可分别获得页岩吸附前后的孔隙度模型分别为:
φo=VoVb=nmπro  2LVb
φac=VacVb=nmπrac    2LVb
式中:φo为页岩吸附前初始基质孔隙度;φac为当前基质孔隙度;Vo为页岩吸附前初始基质孔隙体积,单位m3;nm为基质毛管束根数,单位根;Vac为当前基质孔隙体积,单位m3;Vb为页岩外表体积,单位m3。
由式(18)和式(19)可得:
φac=rac    2ro  2φo
根据Kozeny-Carman(高才尼-卡尔曼)模型,并考虑基质微纳米孔隙对气体流动的影响[34],基质渗透率可表示为:
km=Fφacrac    28τ2=Fφorac    48τ2ro  2=Fξa  4ξc  4φoro  28τ2=Fξa  4ξc  4kmi
其中:
kmi=φoro  28τ2
F=1+DKna3πμg2rac    2p2α-1
DKna=1-θDKn+θDs
式中:km为基质渗透率,单位10-3 μm2;kmi为初始基质渗透率,单位10-3 μm2;F为孔道内滑移速度的无量纲校正系数;τ为迂曲度;μg为气体黏度,单位mPa·s;α为稀薄效应系数;DKn为努森扩散系数,单位m2/s;DKna为吸附作用影响下努森扩散系数,单位m2/s;Ds为表面扩散系数,单位m2/s。
吴建发等[30]通过对川南地区龙马溪组页岩开展页岩压裂裂缝应力敏感性实验测试发现,相同有效应力变化范围下,有效应力加载幅度越大,后期对渗透率的伤害越显著(图1a)。采用指数型应力敏感模型式(1)对实验数据进行拟合,并进一步绘制应力敏感系数与有效应力加载幅度间的关系图发现,应力敏感系数随有效应力加载幅度呈线性关系(图1b)。
因此,页岩裂缝渗透率模型可表示为:
kf=kfiexp-mσeffpi-p
式中:pi为初始地层压力,单位MPa;σeff为有效应力加载幅度,单位MPa;m为单位有效应力加载幅度下应力敏感系数的变化,单位MPa-2。
页岩储层经水力压裂后可将储层分为压裂裂缝区、改造区和未改造区。当把压裂裂缝间的区域均视为诱导裂缝影响区时,页岩气符合三线性流特征;若只将压裂裂缝附近区域视为诱导裂缝影响区,则页岩气符合五线性流特征。相较之下,五线性流更符合页岩储层的实际压裂特征,其中1区为存在诱导裂缝的未压裂区,2、3、4区为不存在诱导裂缝的未压裂区[35],其气体流动方向如图2所示。
考虑到该研究涉及的非线性问题更复杂,包括与压力相关的吸附、应力敏感等机理,以及与时间相关的蠕变效应。因此,采用显式求解思路来简化问题的复杂程度,即如果五线性流方程的基本形式保持不变,则模型的无因次定义和通解不变,然后将每一离散时间节点下的压力、时间代入相应的机理模型中,算出相应的孔隙度、渗透率等物性参数值后带回通解,最终完成求解。基于五线性流模型建立在Laplace(拉普拉斯)空间考虑井筒储存和表皮效应的页岩气压裂水平井井底压力解为[35]:
m¯wDSc,CD=sm¯wD+Scs1+CDssm¯wD+Sc
其中,m¯wD为Laplace空间中无因次井底压力,表达式为:
m¯wD=πFCDsαftanhαf
模型中包含的参数表达式总结如下:
αf=sηf1-2βfFCD
βf=α1tanhα1wD/2-y1D+α0α0tanhα1wD/2-y1D+1
α0=-km2b2α2km1b1α1tanhα2yeD-y1D
α1=km3b3km1b1β1+f1s
α2=km4b4km2b2β2+f2s
β1=f3stanhf3sxeD-1
β2=f4stanhf4sxeD-1
f4s=sa4η41b4
f3s=sa3η31b3
f2s=sa2η21b2
f1s=sa1b1
式中:m¯wD为无因次井底拟压力;Sc为表皮系数;CD为无因次井筒储存系数;s为Laplace算子;FCD为无因次裂缝导流能力;ηf1、η21、η31、η41分别为压裂裂缝区、基质2区、3区、4区的无因次导压系数;a1、a2、a3、a4分别为基质1区、2区、3区和4区的无因次气体吸附系数;b1、b2、b3、b4分别为基质1区、2区、3区和4区的无因次视渗透率系数;km1、km2、km3、km4分别为基质1区、2区、3区和4区的渗透率,单位10-3μm2;wD为无因次压裂裂缝缝宽;xeD为单井控制范围的储层无因次半宽,单位m;yeD为相邻2条压裂裂缝间距之半的无因次距离;y1D为1区沿y方向的无因次距离;α0、α1、α2、αf、β1、β2、βf、f1(s)、f2(s)、f3(s)、f4(s)均为中间参数量。
页岩气压裂水平井五线性流模型通常求解到真实空间下的无因次压力解后,主要采用压力响应特征曲线进行生产动态分析。在采用Stehfest(施特费斯特)数值反演方法[36]将Laplace空间中的解转换到真实空间解的基础之上,进一步结合气体物性特征以及数值分析方法,将无因次解转换为有因次解。同时,引入蠕变效应和应力敏感效应分别对基质渗透率和裂缝渗透率进行修正,即结合产能试算法与页岩气物质平衡方程[37],采用牛顿迭代法求解时间节点的地层压力,进而根据式(21)和式(25)分别计算基质和裂缝的渗透率。通过编程完成页岩气压裂水平井产能计算,相应的计算流程如图3所示。
选取四川盆地某区块页岩气井实际生产动态数据,采用建立的页岩气产能预测模型,根据气井实际产量计算井底流压,结果表明,井底流压整体拟合率为81.82%。结合图4可知,该井受实际工况影响,产气量呈现多段式变化。因此,以生产第205天为节点将生产数据划分为前后两段,则井底流压拟合误差分别为27.18%和9.04%,且模型对后半段井底流压的变化规律拟合较好。产量多段式变化实质上是由于受工程影响而导致储层物性发生了改变,而解析法仅能采用一套储层物性数据计算,因此应以代表当前储层物性的后一段数据进行分析。综上所述,该研究建立的页岩气产能预测模型是可靠的。
根据表1中的物性参数,结合该研究建立的页岩气压裂水平井产能预测模型,进一步开展不同因素对页岩气井产能的影响规律分析。
通过计算对比考虑和忽略吸附作用这两种情况可知,吸附作用对页岩气井产能的影响程度将随着生产时间的增加而增大,若忽略吸附作用的影响,则EUR将被低估5.95%(图5)。在气井投产初期,吸附作用影响并不显著,主要以采出裂缝内游离气为主;随着裂缝周边基质内的压力不断下降,吸附气开始解吸,当气井进入中后期生产,吸附作用对气井产能的影响程度将进一步增大。因此,忽略吸附作用将会低估气井中后期产能。
通过计算对比忽略蠕变量、分别考虑5%蠕变及10%蠕变量这三种情况下的页岩气井产能可知,尽管页岩储层开发过程中主要发生的是稳态蠕变,即蠕变量通常不大,但蠕变效应在早期便已对气井产能产生显著影响,且蠕变量越大,气井EUR越低(图6)。如当10%蠕变量被忽略时,EUR将被高估4.31%。因此,页岩蠕变对气井产能的影响不可忽略。
通过计算对比考虑和忽略微纳米尺度效应这两种情况可知,尺度效应对气井产能的影响程度会随着生产时间的增加而增大(图7)。若忽略微纳米尺度效应影响,则EUR将被低估10.65%,即忽略尺度效应影响将低估气井后期产能。这是由于页岩基质富含微纳米孔,受表面扩散等限域空间内气固作用的综合影响,气体在小孔道低压区的流动能力增强。因此,微纳米尺度效应影响应被充分考虑。
通过计算不同应力敏感强度下的气井生产动态可知,当应力敏感系数从0.08 MPa-1降至0.04 MPa-1时,气井EUR可提升12.92%,即应力敏感效应对气井产能影响显著(图8)。因此,气井在生产过程中应充分考虑产能大小与应力敏感效应间的关系,即在确保一定经济效益下,需通过合理配产来保护储层,降低应力敏感效应的影响。
由图9可知,尽管在页岩气井生产初期,放压生产产能高于控压生产,但随着开发时间的增加,控压生产产能在气井生产中后期显著高于放压生产,提高了页岩气井的EUR,并且控压3次气井的最终可采储量优于控压2次气井。这是由于控压生产降低了应力敏感效应的不利影响,保障了气井中长期更加有效的生产。
1)页岩作为软岩的一种具有流变特征,在气井生产过程中可发生稳态蠕变,因此,采用Burgers模型对页岩黏弹性特征下的蠕变过程进行了描述。结合应变定义,进一步提出了考虑蠕变效应的基质孔径、孔隙度和渗透率的表征方法。
2)根据页岩气压裂水平井储层内气体的流动特征,建立了考虑岩石蠕变等复杂作用机理的页岩气压裂水平井产能预测模型及相应的产能计算流程。计算结果表明:忽略吸附作用、微纳米尺度效应将低估气井产能,而忽略岩石蠕变效应、应力敏感效应则会高估气井产能。
3)页岩气井采用控压生产要优于放压生产。控压生产尽管初期产能较低,但中后期产能会更高,其增产本质是降低了应力敏感效应带来的不利影响,保障气井中长期稳产增产。

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2026年第16卷第4期
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doi: 10.13809/j.cnki.cn32-1825/te.2025148
  • 接收时间:2025-08-18
  • 首发时间:2026-10-30
  • 出版时间:2026-07-26
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  • 收稿日期:2025-08-18
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    1 重庆科技大学非常规油气开发研究院,重庆 401331
    2 页岩油气富集机理与高效开发全国重点实验室,北京 102206
    3 重庆科技大学石油与天然气工程学院,重庆 401331
    4 中国石油西南油气田分公司重庆气矿,重庆 401331
    5 中国石化中原油田分公司,河南 濮阳 457001
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