Article(id=1223210593302204781, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, issueId=1223210584024400210, articleNumber=null, orderNo=null, doi=10.20040/j.cnki.1000-7709.2023.20212707, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1639065600000, receivedDateStr=2021-12-10, revisedDate=1646064000000, revisedDateStr=2022-03-01, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1769565731596, onlineDateStr=2026-01-28, pubDate=1687622400000, pubDateStr=2023-06-25, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1769565731596, onlineIssueDateStr=2026-01-28, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1769565731596, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1769565731596, updator=13701087609, issue=Issue{id=1223210584024400210, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, year='2023', volume='41', issue='6', pageStart='1', pageEnd='220', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='null', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=1, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1769565729385, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1769593153259, updator=13701087609, preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, ext={EN=IssueExt(id=1223325608164348105, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, issueId=1223210584024400210, language=EN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=), CN=IssueExt(id=1223325608164348106, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, issueId=1223210584024400210, language=CN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=)}, issueFiles=null}, startPage=1, endPage=4, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1223210593600000397, articleId=1223210593302204781, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, language=EN, title=Influence of Climate Abrupt Change on Extreme Distribution of Staged Rainfall in Jiangxi Province Based on Genetic Algorithm, columnId=1222925279849341011, journalTitle=Water Resources and Power, columnName=HYDROLOGY, WATER RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=
In order to study the influence of climate change on rainfall extreme value distribution in main flood season, based on the daily rainfall data from 1960 to 2017 in Jiangxi Province, a variety of test methods were used to detect and test the abrupt change points. Genetic algorithm and Fisher's optimal segmentation method were used to stage the flood season before and after the climate abrupt change, and the extreme distribution of staged rainfall and design rainfall before and after the climate abrupt change were discussed. The results show that 1991 was the abrupt change year of precipitation in Jiangxi Province from 1960 to 2017, and it was necessary to pay more attention to the occurrence of extreme heavy rainfall in Guangchang and Poyang Lake regions. Genetic algorithm is suitable for the division and staging of flood season. After the abrupt climate change (1991-2017), the designed rainfall value in the main flood season of Jiangxi Province was greater than that before the abrupt climate change (1960-1990), and also greater than that in the whole period (1960-2017). When calculating the designed flood based on the designed rainfall, the influence of climate change on the designed rainfall value should be considered, and strengthen protection against floods.
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为了研究气候变化对江西省内主汛期降雨极值分布的影响,以江西省1960~2017年的逐日降雨资料为基础资料,采用多种检验方法检测突变点并对突变点进行检验,使用遗传算法与Fisher最优分割法对气候突变前后的汛期进行分期,并对气候突变前后分期降雨极值分布与设计降雨进行探讨。结果表明,1960~2017年江西省降雨量突变年为1991年,广昌与鄱阳湖区域需重点关注极端强降雨的发生;遗传算法适用于汛期划分与分期,气候突变后(1991~2017年)江西省主汛期设计降雨值大于气候突变前(1960~1990年),也大于整时段(1960~2017年)所得设计降雨值,在以设计降雨为基础推求江西省设计洪水时,需考虑气候变化对设计降雨值的影响,加强对洪水的防范。
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, authorsList=唐莉, 刘海明, 魏希, 闫中月, 杨冰冰)}, authors=[Author(id=1223210594610827757, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, orderNo=0, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=Li370336892@163.com, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1223210594736656888, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, authorId=1223210594610827757, language=EN, stringName=Li TANG, firstName=Li, middleName=null, lastName=TANG, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=
a, b, address=
a.Jiangxi Provincial Soft Science Research Base of Water Security and Sustainable Development, Nanchang Institute of Technology, Nanchang 330099, China
b.School of Business Administration, Nanchang Institute of Technology, Nanchang 330099, China, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1223210594824737280, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, authorId=1223210594610827757, language=CN, stringName=唐莉, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=
a, b, address=
a.南昌工程学院江西省水安全与可持续发展软科学研究基地,江西 南昌 330099
b.南昌工程学院工商管理学院,江西 南昌 330099, bio={"content":"
唐莉(1992-),女,博士、讲师,研究方向为水文学及水资源,E-mail:Li370336892@163.com
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唐莉(1992-),女,博士、讲师,研究方向为水文学及水资源,E-mail:Li370336892@163.com
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b.School of Business Administration, Nanchang Institute of Technology, Nanchang 330099, China), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1223210594304643540, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, companyId=1223210594287866323, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=
b.南昌工程学院工商管理学院,江西 南昌 330099)])]), Author(id=1223210594921206280, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, orderNo=1, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=lauhoiming@foxmail.com, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1223210595021869586, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, authorId=1223210594921206280, language=EN, stringName=Hai-ming LIU, firstName=Hai-ming, middleName=null, lastName=LIU, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=
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b.School of Business Administration, Nanchang Institute of Technology, Nanchang 330099, China, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1223210595114144280, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, authorId=1223210594921206280, language=CN, stringName=刘海明, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=
b, address=
b.南昌工程学院工商管理学院,江西 南昌 330099, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1223210594287866323, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, xref=b., ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1223210594296254931, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, companyId=1223210594287866323, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=
b.School of Business Administration, Nanchang Institute of Technology, Nanchang 330099, China), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1223210594304643540, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, companyId=1223210594287866323, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=
b.南昌工程学院工商管理学院,江西 南昌 330099)])]), Author(id=1223210595202224673, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, orderNo=2, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=null, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1223210595298693674, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, authorId=1223210595202224673, language=EN, stringName=Xi WEI, firstName=Xi, middleName=null, lastName=WEI, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=
c, address=
c.Comprehensive Management Section, Nanchang Institute of Technology, Nanchang 330099, China, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1223210595420328497, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, authorId=1223210595202224673, language=CN, stringName=魏希, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=
c, address=
c.南昌工程学院综合管理科,江西 南昌 330099, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1223210594447249886, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, xref=c., ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1223210594455638496, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, companyId=1223210594447249886, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=
c.Comprehensive Management Section, Nanchang Institute of Technology, Nanchang 330099, China), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1223210594476610018, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, companyId=1223210594447249886, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=
c.南昌工程学院综合管理科,江西 南昌 330099)])]), Author(id=1223210595529380411, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, orderNo=3, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=null, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1223210595642626628, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, authorId=1223210595529380411, language=EN, stringName=Zhong-yue YAN, firstName=Zhong-yue, middleName=null, lastName=YAN, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=
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b.School of Business Administration, Nanchang Institute of Technology, Nanchang 330099, China, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1223210595747484239, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, authorId=1223210595529380411, language=CN, stringName=闫中月, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=
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b.南昌工程学院工商管理学院,江西 南昌 330099, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1223210594287866323, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, xref=b., ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1223210594296254931, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, companyId=1223210594287866323, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=
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b.School of Business Administration, Nanchang Institute of Technology, Nanchang 330099, China, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1223210596066251374, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, authorId=1223210595818787417, language=CN, stringName=杨冰冰, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=
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b.南昌工程学院工商管理学院,江西 南昌 330099, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null)}, companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1223210594287866323, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, xref=b., ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1223210594296254931, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, articleId=1223210593302204781, companyId=1223210594287866323, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=
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