Article(id=1223201258782184069, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, issueId=1223201250133524577, articleNumber=null, orderNo=null, doi=10.20040/j.cnki.1000-7709.2023.20221679, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1660492800000, receivedDateStr=2022-08-15, revisedDate=1663689600000, revisedDateStr=2022-09-21, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1769563506073, onlineDateStr=2026-01-28, pubDate=1690214400000, pubDateStr=2023-07-25, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1769563506073, onlineIssueDateStr=2026-01-28, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1769563506073, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1769563506073, updator=13701087609, issue=Issue{id=1223201250133524577, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, year='2023', volume='41', issue='7', pageStart='1', pageEnd='220', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='null', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=1, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1769563504012, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1769563583713, updator=13701087609, preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, ext={EN=IssueExt(id=1223201584469885927, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, issueId=1223201250133524577, language=EN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=), CN=IssueExt(id=1223201584469885928, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, issueId=1223201250133524577, language=CN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=)}, issueFiles=null}, startPage=16, endPage=18, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1223201259667182284, articleId=1223201258782184069, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1205116964453384197, language=EN, title=Analysis of the Impact of Urbanization on Runoff Change in Jialu River, columnId=1223185960926564679, journalTitle=Water Resources and Power, columnName=HYDROLOGY，WATER RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=

With the continuous development of the city, influenced by climate change and human activities, the runoff of urban water system has changed greatly. In order to further research the runoff trend and its main influencing factors brought by urbanization, the application of the comparison of slope change ratio in hydrological change analysis was further innovated, and the contribution rate of underlying surface to runoff change was separated from human activities. Taking Zhengzhou city as an example, combined with Mann-Kendall test method, the contribution rate of climate change factors, underlying surface factors and other human activities to runoff change was calculated. The results indicate that the measured runoff flow showed an upward trend from 1980 to 2019, and a sudden change occurred in 2008. In the impact analysis of runoff, the change of underlying surface and other human activities are the main influencing factors, and their contribution rates are 69.76% and 56.19%. According to the analysis of the main influencing factors, the main reasons are as follows: The hardening of the underlying surface increases runoff yield and flow concentration, and the population increases and the emissions increase.

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随着城市的不断发展，受气候变化和人类活动的影响，城市水系径流量发生较大变化。为进一步研究城市化所带来的径流量变化趋势及其主要影响因素，对累积斜率变化率法在水文变化分析的应用中进一步创新，从人类活动因素中分离出下垫面对径流量变化的贡献率，并以贾鲁河流域郑州段为例结合Mann-Kendall检验法，求出气候变化因素和下垫面因素及其他人类活动因素对径流量变化的贡献率。结果表明，1980~2019年实测径流量呈上升趋势，并在2008年发生突变。在对径流量的影响分析中，下垫面变化和其他人类活动为主要影响因素，其贡献率分别为69.76%、56.19%。针对主要影响因素分析原因主要为下垫面硬化使产汇流增大及人口增多排放量增大。

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魏怀斌（1981-），男，博士、副教授、博导，研究方向为水文水资源，E-mail：weihuaibin2008@126.com

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魏怀斌（1981-），男，博士、副教授、博导，研究方向为水文水资源，E-mail：weihuaibin2008@126.com

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