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创新政策、产业结构升级与城市经济韧性——基于国家创新型城市建设的准自然实验

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王鹏 , 肖晋

技术经济 | 技术经济评价 2025,44(11): 141-154

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技术经济 |技术经济评价 2025 , 44 (11) : 141 -154

创新政策、产业结构升级与城市经济韧性——基于国家创新型城市建设的准自然实验

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王鹏（1977—），博士，暨南大学经济学院教授，博士研究生导师，研究方向：区域经济与创新、产业链供应链韧性

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肖晋（2001—），暨南大学经济学院硕士研究生，研究方向：创新型城市与经济韧性。

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肖晋（2001—），暨南大学经济学院硕士研究生，研究方向：创新型城市与经济韧性。

王鹏, 肖晋

作者信息

暨南大学经济学院，广州 510632

作者简介:

王鹏（1977—），博士，暨南大学经济学院教授，博士研究生导师，研究方向：区域经济与创新、产业链供应链韧性

肖晋（2001—），暨南大学经济学院硕士研究生，研究方向：创新型城市与经济韧性。

Innovation Policies, Industrial Structure Upgrading, and Urban Economic Resilience: Evidence from a Quasi-natural Experiment of the Pilot Project of Innovative Cities in China

Peng Wang, Jin Xiao

Affiliations

School of Economics, Jinan University, Guangzhou 510006, China

出版时间: 2025-11-25 doi: 10.12404/j.issn.1002-980X.25012009

文章导航

摘要

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如何从政策层面有效提升城市经济韧性是一项值得关注的议题，本文基于多时点双重差分模型，将创新型城市建设、产业结构和城市经济韧性纳入统一研究框架，以2010—2022年中国283个地级市为研究样本，探讨了创新型城市建设对城市经济韧性的影响，并检验了产业结构升级的中介效应。结果表明：创新型城市建设对城市经济韧性的提升作用显著，该结论通过了一系列的稳健性检验；机制分析表明，创新型城市建设对产业结构升级有显著的促进作用，进而增强本地经济韧性，影响路径包括推动产业结构高级化和产业结构合理化两个方面，其中主要通过产业结构合理化这一机制实现；异质性分析表明，政策作用对西部城市、非资源型城市和大规模城市的经济韧性提升效果更显著。

关键词

创新型城市 / 经济韧性 / 多时点双重差分 / 产业结构升级

Abstract

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How to effectively enhance urban economic resilience at the policy level is a topic worth paying attention to. A staggered difference-in-difference model was employed to integrate innovative city construction, industrial structure, and urban economic resilience into a unified framework. Using data from 283 prefecture-level and above cities in China from 2010 to 2022, the impact of innovative city construction on urban economic resilience was explored, and the mediating effect of industrial structure upgrading was examined. The findings indicate that innovative city construction significantly promotes urban economic resilience, and the conclusion remains valid after a series of robustness tests. Mechanism analysis shows that innovative city construction significantly promotes the upgrading of industrial structure, thereby boosting local economic resilience. The impact path includes two aspects: promoting industrial structure upgrading and rationalization, with the latter being the primary mechanism. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the policy effect is more significant in western cities, non resource-based cities, and large-scale cities.

Key words

innovative city / economic resilience / multi-period difference-in-differences model / upgrading of industrial structure

引用本文

王鹏, 肖晋. 创新政策、产业结构升级与城市经济韧性——基于国家创新型城市建设的准自然实验. 技术经济, 2025 , 44 (11) : 141 -154 . DOI: 10.12404/j.issn.1002-980X.25012009

Peng Wang, Jin Xiao. Innovation Policies, Industrial Structure Upgrading, and Urban Economic Resilience: Evidence from a Quasi-natural Experiment of the Pilot Project of Innovative Cities in China[J]. Journal of Technology Economics, 2025 , 44 (11) : 141 -154 . DOI: 10.12404/j.issn.1002-980X.25012009

基金

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国家自然科学基金面上项目“基于多层次嵌套复杂系统的产业链韧性演化机理、断链预警及优化提升研究”(72474084)
广东省自然科学基金面上项目“防范化解重大风险背景下城市网络韧性治理及风险防控研究”(2025A1515010198)
广东产业发展与粤港澳台区域合作研究中心科研项目(37714001004)

参考文献

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2025年第44卷第11期

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文章信息

doi: 10.12404/j.issn.1002-980X.25012009

接收时间：2024-09-08
首发时间：2026-10-27
出版时间：2025-11-25

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收稿日期：2024-09-08

基金

国家自然科学基金面上项目“基于多层次嵌套复杂系统的产业链韧性演化机理、断链预警及优化提升研究”(72474084)

广东省自然科学基金面上项目“防范化解重大风险背景下城市网络韧性治理及风险防控研究”(2025A1515010198)

广东产业发展与粤港澳台区域合作研究中心科研项目(37714001004)

作者信息

暨南大学经济学院，广州 510632

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2种不同金属材料的力学参数

科 Family	属数 Number of genus	种数 Number of species	占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%)	属 Genus	种数 Number of species	占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae	2	11	5.26	鹅膏菌属 Amanita	10	4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae	2	12	5.74	丝盖伞属 Inocybe	5	2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae	8	14	6.70	蜡蘑属 Laccaria	5	2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae	3	23	11.00	小皮伞属 Marasmius	6	2.87
				小菇属 Mycena	11	5.26
				光柄菇属 Pluteus	5	2.39
				红菇属 Russula	17	8.13
				栓菌属 Trametes	5	2.39

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