电源学报

基于极值理论的储能基础响应能力配置

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白雪婷

电源学报 | 新能源发电与储能 2026,24(3): 119-127

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电源学报 |新能源发电与储能 2026 , 24 (3) : 119 -127

基于极值理论的储能基础响应能力配置

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白雪婷

作者信息

北京智盟信通科技有限公司智能诊断事业部，北京　100176

通讯作者:

白雪婷（1995—　），女，通信作者，本科，工程师。研究方向：新能源及储能规划优化研究，电网主设备健康管理研究与应用。E-mail：15612631272@163.com。

Configuration of Basic Responsiveness Capability of Energy Storage Based on Extreme Value Theory

Xueting BAI

Affiliations

Intelligent Diagnostic Department, Beijing Zhimeng Information and Telecommunication Technology Company, Beijing 100176, China

出版时间: 2026-03-30 doi: 10.13234/j.issn.2095-2805.2026.3.119

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摘要

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聚焦储能配置研究，针对分布式光伏出力数据不完备、数据质量差等痛点问题，提出了基于极值理论的储能基础响应能力配置方法。首先，提出了基于广义极值分布的分布式光伏出力概率性分析方法，并对不同极值颗粒度下的功率数据进行拟合分析；其次，面向减少弃光率和常态化平滑波动两大目标，基于对分布式光伏出力重现期和重现水平的分析计算，提出了储能基础响应能力配置方法；最后，以某地区分布式光伏电站出力数据进行算例仿真，验证了所提方法的可行性和可推广性。结果表明，广义极值分布能实现对分布式光伏出力分布的良好拟合，且对数据精度的依赖性较小。同时，所提方法给出的储能基础响应能力的配置结果，与中国部分省份对于光伏项目配储容量的最低要求不谋而合。

关键词

分布式光伏 / 广义极值分布 / 储能 / 重现期 / 重现水平

Abstract

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With a focus on the research of energy storage configuration and aimed at the problems such as incomplete data and poor data quality of distributed photovoltaic output, a configuration method for the basic responsiveness capability of energy storage based on the extreme value theory is proposed. First, a probabilistic analysis method for distributed photovoltaic output based on generalized extreme value distribution is put forward, and the power data under different granularities of extreme value is fitted and analyzed. Second, with two goals of reducing the photovoltaic abandonment rate and smoothing the output fluctuation normally, the configuration method for the basic responsiveness capability of energy storage is proposed based on the return period and return level of distributed photovoltaic output. Finally, the feasibility and extensibility of the proposed method are verified by simulations of an example based on the output data of a distributed photovoltaic power station in a certain area. Results show that the generalized extreme value distribution can achieve a good fitting of distributed photovoltaic output distribution, and the dependence on data accuracy is minor. Meanwhile, the configuration results of the basic responsiveness capability of energy storage given by the proposed method agree with the minimum storage capacity requirements for photovoltaic projects in some provinces of China.

Key words

Distributed photovoltaic / generalized extreme value distribution / energy storage / return period / return level

引用本文

白雪婷. 基于极值理论的储能基础响应能力配置. 电源学报, 2026 , 24 (3) : 119 -127 . DOI: 10.13234/j.issn.2095-2805.2026.3.119

Xueting BAI. Configuration of Basic Responsiveness Capability of Energy Storage Based on Extreme Value Theory[J]. Journal of Power Supply, 2026 , 24 (3) : 119 -127 . DOI: 10.13234/j.issn.2095-2805.2026.3.119

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2026年第24卷第3期

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文章信息

doi: 10.13234/j.issn.2095-2805.2026.3.119

接收时间：2023-09-21
首发时间：2026-10-29
出版时间：2026-03-30

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收稿日期：2023-09-21
修回日期：2023-12-02
录用日期：2024-01-02

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作者信息

北京智盟信通科技有限公司智能诊断事业部，北京　100176

通讯作者:

白雪婷（1995—　），女，通信作者，本科，工程师。研究方向：新能源及储能规划优化研究，电网主设备健康管理研究与应用。E-mail：15612631272@163.com。

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2种不同金属材料的力学参数

科 Family	属数 Number of genus	种数 Number of species	占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%)	属 Genus	种数 Number of species	占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae	2	11	5.26	鹅膏菌属 Amanita	10	4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae	2	12	5.74	丝盖伞属 Inocybe	5	2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae	8	14	6.70	蜡蘑属 Laccaria	5	2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae	3	23	11.00	小皮伞属 Marasmius	6	2.87
				小菇属 Mycena	11	5.26
				光柄菇属 Pluteus	5	2.39
				红菇属 Russula	17	8.13
				栓菌属 Trametes	5	2.39

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